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Lecture 13-14 Dr Wioletta Nowak

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(1)

Financial Mathematics

(2)

Example

(3)
(4)

Three months

62.00

63.82

65.68

67.61

60.24

62.00

63.82

58.52

60.24

56.86

3.88

5.00

6.28

7.61

1.76

2.59

3.82

0.16

0.24

0.00

0.11

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.34

0.00

0.00

1.04

0.00

3.14

0.16

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.49

0.00

0.00

1.48

0.00

3.14

Price tree European call option

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Period - three weeks

62.00

62.87

63.74

64.63

61.15

62.00

62.87

60.30

61.15

59.47

2.45

3.14

3.88

4.63

1.51

2.14

2.87

0.66

1.15

0.00

0.04

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.09

0.00

0.00

0.22

0.00

0.53

0.04

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.09

0.00

0.00

0.22

0.00

0.53

Price tree European call option

(6)
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Incoherent binomial option tree

(the underlying asset pays predictable income)

(10)

Example

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Example - coherent binomial option tree

(American put option)

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Option strategies

Uncovered

long call, short call, long put, short put

Covered

(18)

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(20)

Covered option strategies

covered call – short call + long share

(21)
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(23)

Long call + short share

Long call Short share Profit

(24)
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vertical bull call

Long call Short call Profit

(27)

vertical bull put

Long put Short put Profit

(28)

vertical bear put

Long put Short put Profit

(29)

vertical bear call

Long call Short call Profit

(30)

Call butterfly (long + short2+long)

0

Long call 1

– 3

Short call x2

12=6*2

Long call 2

– 10

Profit

– 1

(31)
(32)

Put butterfly (long + short2+long)

0

Long put 1

45

Short put x2

– 74

Long put 2

28

Profit

– 1

(33)
(34)
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Short straddle -

short call + short put

K

S

T

,

0

C

min

min

S

T

K

,

0

P

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The Black-Scholes model - assumptions

• Markets are efficient (market movements cannot be

predicted)

• There are no transaction costs in buying the option

• The risk-free rate and volatility of the underlying asset

are known and constant

• The returns on the underlying are normally distributed

• The option is European and can only be exercised at

expiration

(41)

Pricing options in the Black-Scholes framework

• T – an expiration time, r – a risk-free interest rate,

– a stock’s

volatility (a standard deviation), K – a strike price, S(t) – price of the

stock at t, N(x) – the cumulative standard normal distribution (see a

standard normal distribution table).

(42)

Example

• You are given:

• The Back-Scholes framework holds

• The stock is currently selling for 50 PLN

• The option will expire in 5 months with a strike

price of 48 PLN

• The stock’s volatility is 20%

• The continuously compounded risk-free interest

rate is 10%

(43)
(44)
(45)

Example

European call

option

European put

option

The Black-Scholes

model

4.937968

0.984835

Binominal option tree

(continuously

compounded interest)

(46)

The Merton model

• T – an expiration time, r – a risk-free interest rate,

– a stock’s

volatility (a standard deviation), K – a strike price, S(t) – price of the

stock at t, N(x) – the cumulative standard normal distribution

d

– the

dividend yield of the stock.

(47)

Example (the Merton model)

• The stock is currently selling for 90 PLN,

• The stock’s volatility is 20%

• The strike price is 100 PLN, risk-free interest rate is10%

• The option expired at 3 months.

• The stock pays dividend continuously at a rate proportional to

its price. The dividend yield is 3%.

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