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The Monte Carlo simulation of the adaptive response effect in irradiated cells

Krzysztof Wojciech Fornalski, Paweł Wysocki LOWRAD 2016 Conference

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Agenda

The biophysical Monte Carlo model of the cell colony

The novel mathematical description of the adaptive response effect

How it works in practice?

Conclusions

(3)

Agenda

The biophysical Monte Carlo model of the cell colony

The novel mathematical description of the adaptive response effect

How it works in practice?

Conclusions

(4)

Main problems to solve

To simulate the behaviour of a group of irradiated cells treated as a physical

complex system

The group of cells = black box  to check the complex reaction to irradiation

Implementation of the bystander effect and adaptive response phenomena

Create a user-friendly software

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Methods

Monte Carlo simulation with a tree of probabilities (approx. 40 branches)

Each branch represents a biophysics of the cell (probability function, PF)

Variables of PFs: age, dose, no. of

damages, status of the cell, other PFs

Method used in e.g. high energy particle

and nucleus physics

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Tree of

probabilities

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Advantages

Practical tool to „play” with data

Each PF can be easily modified up to the recent knowledge or just if needed One can cut existing branches or add new ones (to obtain more detailed

specific effect)

No need of analytical solution

Fully stochastic approach (Monte Carlo)

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Exemplary probability

functions used in the model

Quasi-linear relationship instead of the linear one (e.g. to apply the concept of cross section from particle and nucleus physics)

P(𝜉)=1 − 𝑒

−𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡 ∙𝜉

The use of sigmoid function (Avrami equation from solid state physics)

P(𝜉)=1 − 𝑒

−𝑎𝜉𝑛

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Agenda

The biophysical Monte Carlo model of the cell colony

The novel mathematical description of the adaptive response effect

How it works in practice?

Conclusions

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The subject-of-the-day:

an adaptive response effect

Usually, the adaptive response effect is presented as dose- or time-dependent functions:

p(D) = 𝛽

1

𝐷

𝜈

𝑒

−𝛼1𝐷

p(t) = 𝛽

2

𝑡

𝛿

𝑒

−𝛼2𝑡

Now, the dose- and time-dependent PF can be presented as the joined formula:

p(D,t) = 𝑐𝐷

𝜈

𝑡

𝛿

𝑒

−𝛼1𝐷−𝛼2𝑡

0 0,005 0,01 0,015

0 0,05 0,1 0,15 0,2 0,25 0,3 0,35 0,4 0,45 0,5

dawka na jeden krok [mGy]

p-two odpowiedzi adaptacyjnej

Dose per step

Probability of AR

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Adaptive response effect

- dose and time dependent function

The calculated PF of the adaptive response:

P(D,t) = 𝑐𝐷

2

𝑡

2

𝑒

−𝛼1𝐷−𝛼2𝑡

for single-pulse irradiation; t=time since irradiation

P D, K = 𝑐

𝐾𝑘=0

𝐷

𝑘2

𝐾 − 𝑘

2

𝑒

−𝛼1𝐷𝑘−𝛼2 𝐾−𝑘

for multi-irradiation (discrete formula); K=time step

P(D, T)=𝑐

𝑡=0𝑇

𝐷

2

(𝑇) 𝑇 − 𝑡

2

𝑒

−𝛼1𝐷 (𝑇)−𝛼2 𝑇−𝑡

𝑑𝑇

for multi-irradiation (continuous formula); T=time (age)

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Adaptive response PF

Adaptive

response signals

from 2 pulses

were added up

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Adaptive response PF

High dose makes the probability of adaptive response lower

This small dose- pile is the same as the big one from the previous slide

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Adaptive response PF

Constant dose-rate gives the saturated probability of adaptive response

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Constant dose-rate

This finding can be also obtained

analytically from the continuous PF of

adaptive response when one assumes the constant dose-rate, which results in the simplification:

P(D, T)=𝑐

𝑇

𝑡=0 𝑇 − 𝑡 2 𝑒−𝛼 𝑇−𝑡 𝑑𝑇

Thus, the analytical solution can be presented as:

𝑃(𝑇) = 2

𝛼3 1 − 𝑒−𝛼𝑇 − 0.5𝛼2𝑇2 + 𝛼𝑇 𝑒−𝛼𝑇

see: Dobrzyński L., Fornalski K.W., Socol Y., Reszczyńska J.M. 'Modeling of irradiated cell transformation: dose- and time-dependent effects'. Radiation Research, Vol. 186, 2016

Saturation at P=2/α3

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Agenda

The biophysical Monte Carlo model of the cell colony

The novel mathematical description of the adaptive response effect

How it works in practice?

Conclusions

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How to use the adaptive

response probability function?

Check for which parameters the adaptive response (AR) signal gives a significant reply

AR parameters’ plot

AR parameters give the significant input in this area only

Parameters

taken from this region give the insignificant AR effect

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Priming dose effect

UAD = Unit of Absorbed

Significant adaptive response causes significant priming dose effect

AR too weak with

those parameters… AR too weak with

those parameters…

AR still too weak with those parameters, but some reduction is seen

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Probability of cancer

transformation of a single cell

Strong AR effect creates the hormetic-like

reduction of the cancer transforation risk

Here the adaptive response is insignificant

The model allows to present the risk curve of the cancer transformation of a single cell

The sigmoidal shape changes when adaptive response is strong

enough

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The fraction of damaged and cancer cells

Each point represents the independent simulation of 700 healthy cells during 300 time steps in constant dose-rate per step (horizontal axis)

Linear damages cause non-linear response of cancer transformation

Stronger AR moves

cancer curve to the right

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Agenda

The biophysical Monte Carlo model of the cell colony

The novel mathematical description of the adaptive response effect

How it works in practice?

Conclusions

(22)

Conclusions

The presented Monte Carlo stochastic model is the useful tool to simulate the irradiation of cells colony

The new concept of the dose- and time-dependent probability function of adaptive response gives many interesting findings and works well

The future development of the model is needed - the actual studies are focused on:

AR parameters calibration on the experimental data,

implementation of more advanced bystander effect,

creation of the user-friendly software,

development of the analytical approach to all biophysical solutions used in this model (see today presentation of Reszczyńska et al.)

22

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References

Fornalski K.W. 'Mechanistic model of the cells irradiation using the stochastic biophysical input'. International Journal of Low

Radiation, vol. 9, no. 5/6, 2014, pp. 370-395.

Dobrzyński L., Fornalski K.W., Socol Y., Reszczyńska J.M. 'Modeling of irradiated cell transformation: dose- and time-dependent

effects'. Radiation Research, Vol. 186, 2016, pp. 396–-406.

Fornalski K.W., Dobrzyński L., Reszczyńska J.M. 'Modelling of the radiation carcinogenesis - the analytic and stochastic approaches'.

Research Perspectives CRM Barcelona (Springer), in-press, 2016.

Proceedings of the LD-RadStats: DoReMi Workshop for Statisticians Interested in Contributing to EU Low Dose Radiation Research. 26- 28.10.2015; Barcelona, Spain.

Fornalski K.W., Dobrzyński L., Janiak M.K. 'A Stochastic Markov Model of Cellular Response to Radiation'. Dose-Response, vol. 9, no. 4, 2011, pp. 477-496.

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THANK YOU

krzysztof.fornalski@gmail.com

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