# Pooled Bayesian Analysis Pooled Bayesian Analysis

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## Thank you you ! !

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-3

### ) per year.

Type of data Model 2

(Constant)

Model 3 (Linear 1)

Model 4 (Linear 2)

Original data – set 1

major data* a = 0.976 ± 0.003

a = 0.988 ± 0.005 b = (-7.3 ± 3.0) · 10-

4

a = 1 b = (-10.2 ± 1.6) ·

10-4

a = 1.031 ± 0.002 b = (-4.4 ± 0.2) · 10-3

c = (0.3 ± 0.1) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (-2.4 ± 0.2) · 10-3

c = (0.1 ± 0.1) · 10-4

plus reference pointsx a = 0.988 ± 0.003

a = 0.998 ± 0.005 b = (-8.5 ± 3.8) · 10-

4

a = 1 b = (-9.1 ± 2.1) · 10-4

a = 1.018 ± 0.003 b = (-3.1 ± 0.2) · 10-3

c = (0.2 ± 0.1) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (-1.8 ± 0.2) · 10-3

c = (0.1 ± 0.1) · 10-4

without Cohen’s and

miners’ datay a = 1.060 ± 0.028

a = 1.069 ± 0.056 b = (-3.4 ± 5.1) · 10-

4

a = 1 b = (10.6 ± 2.1) · 10-

4

a = 0.932 ± 0.037 b = (8.5 ± 1.4) · 10-3 c = (-0.6 ± 0.2) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (5.5 ± 1.1) · 10-3 c = (-0.4 ± 0.2) · 10-4 Partly pooled dataz– set 2

major dataz a = 0.981 ± 0.003

a = 0.998 ± 0.005 b = (-10.5 ± 3.7) ·

10-4

a = 1 b = (-11.0 ± 2.1) ·

10-4

a = 1.053 ± 0.003 b = (-5.9 ± 0.2) · 10-3

c = (0.4 ± 0.1) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (-2.2 ± 0.2) · 10-3

c = (0.1 ± 0.1) · 10-4

plus reference

pointsx a = 0.982 ± 0.003

a = 1.000 ± 0.005 b = (-12.0 ± 3.4) ·

10-4

a = 1 b = (-12.1 ± 2.0) ·

10-4

a = 1.050 ± 0.003 b = (-5.9 ± 0.2) · 10-3

c = (0.4 ± 0.1) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (-2.4 ± 0.2) · 10-3

c = (0.1 ± 0.1) · 10-4

without Cohen’s and

miners’ datay a = 1.060 ± 0.023

a = 1.074 ± 0.033 b = (-5.6 ± 4.3) · 10-

4

a = 1 b = (8.6 ± 2.1) · 10-4

a = 0.975 ± 0.030 b = (6.8 ± 1.3) · 10-3 c = (-0.5 ± 0.3) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (5.6 ± 1.1) · 10-3 c = (-0.4 ± 0.3) · 10-4

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-3

### ).

Type of data Model 2

(constant)

Model 3 (Linear 1)

Model 4 (Linear 2)

Original data – set 1

major data* a = 0.976 ± 0.003

a = 1.014 ± 0.005 b = (-26.8 ± 2.9) · 10-

4

a = 1 b = (-19.9 ± 1.5) · 10-

4

a = 1.180 ± 0.004 b = (-23.9 ± 0.3) · 10-3

c = (4.7 ± 0.2) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (-6.6 ± 0.2) · 10-3

c = (1.5 ± 0.1) · 10-4

without Cohen’s

and miners’ datax a = 1.065 ± 0.045

a = 0.985 ± 0.146 b = (38.1 ± 40.8) · 10-

4

a = 1 b = (33.2 ± 12.8) · 10-

4

a = 0.931 ± 0.038 b = (9.3 ± 1.3) · 10-3 c = (-0.9 ± 0.4) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (3.4 ± 1.3) · 10-3 c = (-0.1 ± 0.4) · 10-4

Partly pooled datay– set 2

major data a = 0.981 ± 0.003

a = 1.036 ± 0.005 b = (-40.0 ± 3.8) · 10-

4

a = 1 b = (-19.8 ± 2.2) · 10-

4

a = 1.176 ± 0.004 b = (-22.1 ± 0.4) · 10-3

c = (4.1 ± 0.2) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (-5.0 ± 0.3) · 10-3

c = (1.1 ± 0.2) · 10-4

without Cohen’s

and miners’ datax a = 1.066 ± 0.028

a = 1.019 ± 0.116 b = (25.3 ± 40.7) · 10-

4

a = 1 b = (31.7 ± 11.9) · 10-

4

a = 1.011 ± 0.034 b = (3.4 ± 1.2) · 10-3 c = (-0.1 ± 0.4) · 10-4

a = 1 b = (4.4 ± 1.2) · 10-3 c = (-0.3 ± 0.4) · 10-4

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