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(a) Find the probability that he wins exactly four games

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(1)

1. Evan likes to play two games of chance, A and B.

For game A, the probability that Evan wins is 0.9. He plays game A seven times.

(a) Find the probability that he wins exactly four games.

(2)

For game B, the probability that Evan wins is p. He plays game B seven times.

(b) Write down an expression, in terms of p, for the probability that he wins exactly four games.

(2) (c) Hence, find the values of p such that the probability that he wins exactly four games is

0.15.

(3) (Total 7 marks)

2. A test has five questions. To pass the test, at least three of the questions must be answered correctly.

The probability that Mark answers a question correctly is 5

1 . Let X be the number of questions

that Mark answers correctly.

(a) (i) Find E(X).

(ii) Find the probability that Mark passes the test.

(6)

Bill also takes the test. Let Y be the number of questions that Bill answers correctly.

The following table is the probability distribution for Y.

y 0 1 2 3 4 5

P(Y = y) 0.67 0.05 a + 2b a – b 2a + b 0.04

(b) (i) Show that 4a + 2b = 0.24.

(ii) Given that E(Y) = 1, find a and b.

(8)

(c) Find which student is more likely to pass the test.

(3) (Total 17 marks)

(2)

1. A biased coin is weighted such that the probability of obtaining a head is 7

4. The coin is tossed

6 times and X denotes the number of heads observed. Find the value of the ratio

) 2 ( P

) 3 ( P

X

X .

(Total 4 marks)

2. Over a one month period, Ava and Sven play a total of n games of tennis.

The probability that Ava wins any game is 0.4. The result of each game played is independent of any other game played.

Let X denote the number of games won by Ava over a one month period.

(a) Find an expression for P(X = 2) in terms of n.

(3)

(b) If the probability that Ava wins two games is 0.121 correct to three decimal places, find the value of n.

(3) (Total 6 marks)

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