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2. (The Ehrenfest model of diffusion, a.k.a. "dog-flea model") Consider a Markov chain with transition probabilities p

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Rachunek Prawdopodobieństwa 2

Zestaw zadań nr 7

Termin realizacji: 19 XII 2008

1. Can a reversible chain be periodic?

2. (The Ehrenfest model of diffusion, a.k.a. "dog-flea model") Consider a Markov chain with transition probabilities p

i,i+1

= 1 − i/m, p

i,i−1

= i/m, for 0 ≤ m ≤ m. Show that if X

0

= i,

E(X

n

− m/2) = (i − m/2)(1 − 2/m)

n

→ 0,

as n → ∞ and m ≥ 2. Also, find a stationary distribution.

3. (Dla niedyskretnych) The Markov-Kakutani theorem asserts that , for any convex compact subset C of R

n

and any linear continuous mapping T of C into C, T has a fixed point.

Let T be a m × n matrix and let v ∈ R

n

. Farkas’s theorem asserts that exactly one of the following holds:

(i) there exists x ∈ R

n

such that x ≥ 0 and xT = v (ii) there exists y ∈ R

n

such thast yv

T

< 0 and T y

T

≥ 0

Use either of the above theorems to prove that a finite stochastic matrix has a non-negative non-zero left eigenvector corresponding to the eigenvalue 1. Conclude that a Markov chain with finitely many states has a stationary distribution.

4. Consider a chessboard with a lone white king making (legal) moves uniformly at random. What is the mean recurrence time of a corner square? Same question for queen, bishop, knight, rook.

(Hint: find the stationary distribution first)

5. A rook and a bishop perform independent symmetric random walks with synchronous steps on a 4 × 4 chessboard. If they start from a corner, find the expected number of steps until they meet again at the same corner.

6. Consider a symmetric random walk on a 3-dimensional integer lattice, starting at (0, 0, 0). Find an exact formula for P (X

2n

= (0, 0, 0)) and deduce, by Stirling’s formula, that the ultimate return to the origin is not certain.

7. Consider the reducible Markov chain given by the transition matrix

P =

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

.5 .3 0 0 .3 .7 0 0 0 0 .2 .8 0 0 .8 .2

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯ ,

Find two different stationary distributions.

1

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