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Probability Calculus

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Probability Calculus Anna Janicka

lecture VIII, 26.11.2019

RANDOM VARIABLES – CONT.

RANDOM VECTORS – MULTIDIMENSIONAL RANDOM VARIABLES

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Plan for Today

1. Moments of random variables 2. Sample characteristics

3. Definition of a Random Vector 4. Joint and marginal distributions 5. Discrete and continuous RV

6. Expected values of functions 7. Covariance, correlation

8. Expected value, variance

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Moments – reminder

1. Definitions

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Moments: skewness, kurtosis

2. Definitions

3. Example: standard normal distribution

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Empirical distributions

1. In reality, we frequently do not know the distributions of random variables, and work with samples instead.

2.

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Empirical distributions – cont.

3.

this is the CDF of the empirical distribution

4.

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Empirical distributions – cont (2)

5.

6.

the mean and the variance of the empirical distribution

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End of material for the midterm test to be held on

Tuesday, December 3rd, 6:45 PM Aud Max

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Random vectors

1. A random vector (X1, X2, ..., Xn)

2. The joint distribution of a random vector:

3. Marginal distributions:

such that for we have

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Random vectors – cont.

4. Example: joint distribution is more than the aggregate of marginal distributions.

5. Cumulative distribution function:

6. No simple definitions of quantiles...

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Random vectors – types.

7. A discrete RV

8. Components are also discrete,

marginals obtained by summation 9. A continuous RV

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Random vectors – types (cont.)

10. Examples of continuous RV:

drawing from a unit square

drawing from a circle

a different type of density

11. Marginal distributions of continuous RV:

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Random vectors – types cont (2).

11. Marginal distributions (cont.)

12. If marginals are continuous, then the joint distribution need not be.

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Characteristics of random vectors

13. Expected values of functions of the components of a RV:

14. Examples

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The covariance and correlation coefficient

15. Definitions

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Covariance and correlation coefficient – cont.

16. Properties:

invariance to shifts

bilinearity of the covariance

variance as a special case

simplifying formula:

capture the linear relationship, in other cases may be misleading

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Correlation coefficient – properties

17. Schwarz inequality

18. Consequences for the correlation coef.

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Expected value and covariance matrix

19. Definitions:

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Cytaty

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