RESULTS FROM FULL SCALE MEASUREMENTS
AND PREDICTIONS OF WAVE BENDING MOMENTS
ACTING ON SHIPS
(Project S-15)
by Rutger Bennet
Allan Ivarson and Nils Nordenström
1962
Report No. 32
STIFTELSEN FÖR
SKEPPSBYGGNADSTEKNISK FORSKNING
THE SWEDISH SHIPBUILDING RESEARCH FOUNDATION
Foreword
In l95 and 1959 the Swedish Shipbuilding Research Foundation
issued the reports No 13 resp0 15 about stress and motion measure-ments on ships at sea. The first report described the theoretica:l basis for a statistical analysis of measurements while the second report included test results from the fast-going cargo ships
N/S Canada and M/S Minnesota
Since then the stress irteasurements have been continued and extended to several ships of different types. Furthermore in co-operation between the Foundation and the Institution of Ship Design at Chalmers University of Technology, headed by professor Anders Svennerud, a research group has been established for
studies and analyses in connection with the measurements. The leader of the group has been civilingenjör Rutger Bennet of the Swedish Shipbuilding Research Foundation0
This research work has been possible through a generous grant from
Axel och Margaret Ax:son Johnsons stiftelse för allinän-nyttiga ändamAl
(Axel and Margaret Ax:son Johnsons Foundation)
The measurements on board ships have been carried out through the courtesy of the following owners:
Esso Petroleum Co. Ltd. Grand Cape Tankers, Inc. The Grängesberg Co.
The Johnson Line Shipping Co. Swedish Lloyd Steamship Co.
The Transatlantic Shipping Co. Ltd. Swedish American Line
Many people have participated in the measurements and given valuable help herewith. Particularly the officers on board the ships have shown great interest to the measurements.
The Stress Measurement Committee of the Reseach Foundation has discussed the results at different intervals.
Gothenburg, October, 1962 Lennart Swenson
In two previous reports (SSF 13 and 15) The Swedish Shipbuilding Research Foundation has described results of
statistical analysis of stress measurements on ships at sea. In this report results are presented of continued measurements on six other ships of various types.
Stresses have been measured in the strength deck or in the shell near the stringer corner, and as near amid-ships as practicable. In one ship stresses have also been measured at the forward and aft quarter lengths. The simple
beam theory has been assumed to be valid, and this has been confirmed by static tests on four of the ships.
For general conclusions measured wave stresses are of 1imnted value, as they depend on the actual section modulus at the gauge location of the test ship. In order to make a true comparison between the results from the various ships, the stresses have been converted to a dimensionless bending moment factor m, defined by
z
B
S umnmar y
where s = measured stress
Z = calculated section modulus at gauge location
For a given ship type the moment factor has been found to decrease with increasing ship length. The results show
an essential difference between fast cargo liners and ships of tanker type with large block coefficient. The latter type get the highest extreme values, while the bending moment which is exceeded with great probability (more than 1/100) is rather larger in the fast ships0 This may be even more pronounced if whipping and slamming stresses are taken into account.
A method for determining design values of bending moments using the tests results is proposed. A probability
of exceedance P = l0 is suggested for extreme design value. It is pointed out that the largest permitted wave stress generally must be smaller than the permitted total
-2-stress, produced by the sum of wave and still water bending moment. The total stress should be determined by the yield
point, with regard to unavoidable stress concentrations, while the maximum permitted waite stress is restricted by
considerations of fatigue and cumulative damage.
Regard±ng the longitudinal distribution of wave stresses,
tests on one of the ships have shown mean values of about O%
of the midship stress at the forward l/L length, and about
70% at the aft l/L. length.
The longitudinal stresses produced by horizontal bending are generally less than 2+0% of the vertical stresses. The only slightly affect the stresses at the deck edge, so the difference between the values from the port side gauge and the mean values of the port and starboard sides has been found to be less than 10%.
b1e of contents
Sid.
Ship Data, Measuring Equipment and Extent of
Measurements 1
Analysis and Results 3
Introduction 3
Statistical analysis of stress records 2+
Estimation of the r-value 5
The wave system 5
Influence of the wave state on the behding moment 7
Long-term distribution of the root mean square value
Average expected long-term distribution of wave
stresses 9
Design bending moment 10
Longitudinal distribution of wave stresses 12
Still water bending moments 13
1.
Shin Data, Measuring Euiment and Extent of Measurements
All relevant data for the test ships are found in Table
I.
The measuring equipment consists of a Philips PR 2210
automatic measuring bridge as the measuring and recording
unit and a couple of specially designed extensometers as the
gauge unit,
The extensometer is described in ref. 1.
The design of the extensometer is such that there will
be full compensation for temperature changes.
In order to divide the bending moment into a vertical and
a horizontal part there are two extensometers, one on each
side of the ship.
By a special connection-box and coupler it
is possible to select between three different combinations of
strain signals, namely the sum or the difference of the
star-board arid port side signals or the port side signal only.
The fist two of these signals will give the vertical and the
horizontal stress respectively.
On one ship in the series extensometers are also installed
at the qu'ter1erigths on the port side.
The coupler is also
extended, and thus it is possible to measure the port side
stress at each quarterlength in addition to the three above
mentioned combinations amidships.
On the dry cargo ships the extensometers have been placed
in the cargo hold in front of the bridge.
They are mounted
on the inside of the side shell about 200 mm from the stringer
angle, except in ship C, when they are on the underside of the
deck.
On the tankers and the ore carrier they are mounted on
the deck amidships.
They are protected against damage and
damp by strong covers.
The cables are placed in pipes mounted
on the deck.
It is very easy to calibrate the equipment in a
mechani-cal way, by inserting thin sheets between the extensometer arid
its connecting rod.
The extensometer has been de8igned by Mr, Sten Brämberg,
Götaverken, who has also been responsible for the lay out and
installation of the equipment.
the tanker type (D - G). The results are given in the tabl.e of ship data table I.
For the dry cargo ships (A - C) it has not been possible to obtain a sufficiently large change in bending moment during ordinary service conditions to permit an accurate calibration.
On all ships the gauges are placed in such position that there will be no risk of local deflections.
According to several previous tests also on dry cargo ships it is resonable to assume the beam theory to be valid on all the test ships.
Thus the calculated section moduli according to table I have been used to convert the measured stresses into bending
moment s,
2.
Analysis arid Results
Entroduction
The statistical methods of analysing measurements of wave
bending stresses in ships' hulls are now universally adopted,
and several papers have been written on results of such
ana-lyses (6.11). Different purposes may be set up for this
research:
To determine mean values of actual stresses, occurring
with various statistical frequencies,
To develop a rational method for determining design
bending moments,
To establish the influence of various factors on the
wave bending moment, and on the whole to explain the
true nature of the wave moment mechanism.
Depending on which of these purposes the researcher is
aiming at, the methods of statistical analysis must be
diffe-rent.
It is impossible to attain them all by one single
method.
Purpose No. 3 above can not be achieved solely through
full scale measurements, but will ultimately be a result of
hydrodynatnic research, model tests and full scale tests.
Purpose No, 2, a design method, cannot be finally attained
until more knowledge is gained about actual values of stresses
or bending moments.
It is not yet definitely clear whether
hull scantlings should be decided by the ultimate extreme
stress which may occur once during the lifetime of a ship, or
if a large number of smaller stresses may be of greater
im-portance either for the safety or for the economy.
It follows
that the first thing that should be aimed at is to determine
average long term distributions of wave stresses which may be
expected with a high degree of confidence to occur in various
types of ships on various trade routes.
Many different methods have been suggested to establish
such long term distributions of wave stresses,
The most
di-rect way is naturally to measure stresses during
a
sufficient-ly long time and then plot all the measured values
on various
this method is not sufficient. The most important of all the factors which have influence on the bending stress is the
state of weather and waves, and it is practically impossible to ensure a true, average distribution of wave states during a limited period of tests. In order to obtain results of a general value in a shorter time, the statistical distribu-tion of stresses must be separated in the test analysis and
afterwards brought together through a weighting procedure applied to the measured stress distribution.
The present analysis of stress values, measured on seven ships of different types, has shown without any doubt that no simple distribution function of the usual type with only two parameters is generally valid during long periods. Such a distribution must necessarily have at least one more
parameter, which can take care of the different weather
distributions on different routes, and also of the different influences of each weather state on ships of different length and type.
Perhaps the most important of the different purposes that may be set up for the research on wave bending moments is to find rather rough values of the order of magnitudes of these moments. Before going further to establishing more exact values, we must get a general picture of the problem. It is a fact that very little is still known about which con-ditions really are the most dangerous for any specific ship. The question of whether extreme values or fatigue is the
cause of fractures is far from settled. It is quite possible that for some ship types ,a.nd on some routes the extreme values are critical, while in other cases fatigue is decisive. Thus it has been found valuable to calculate theoretical, avarage long term distributions of wave stresses, which don't give
exact measured values for any special ship, but rather show the average values to be expected for a large number of similar ships during a very long time. These distributions are believed to give a picture of some fundamental diff e-rences between long tankers and shorter, fast cargo liners. Statistica,l analysis of stress records
amplitudes are Rayleigh distributed during a fairly short
term0
This has been shown to be valid by so many independent
researches during the last years, that no more proof seems to
be necessary0
It has also been indirectly confirmed during the
present work0
The charac;eristic properties of the Rayleigh
function have thus been used for a comparatively rapid method
of estimating the root mean scuare value, which is the
para-meter of this distribution.
This paraneter will be designated
by the letter r.
The parameter r is decisive for the amplitude
distribu-tion during a period corresponding to some thousands of stress
variations0
All relevant external factors are rarely constant
for longer than that0
The variation during a long period may
be considered to consist of a large number of short term
distri-butions, each with its separate value of r.
This parameter
can consequently be regarded as a statistical variable with a
distribution of its own, which can be used for a calculation
of the long term distribution of the stress amplitudes
them-selves
Estirnationof the r--value
The method used for the estimation of the parameter r is
based on the theoretical extreme value distribution, derived
by CARTWRIGHT (2).
Each record was divided in groups of n
variations hog - sag, and in each group the largest amplitude
was measured.
If a record contained N such groups, a sample
of N values of
the largest of n
was obtained0
The mean of
this sample 1:ns computed, and with the aid of the theoretical
value of the largest of n, the roct mean square could he
calculated, The method is discussed in Appendix I.
For most of the ships hogging and sagging stresses have
been read off separately, using as mean level a visually
esti-mated line through all the snia.11 variations.
The wire system
During these tests the state of the wives has only been
determined through visual observations.
For several
rea-sons the 3eaufort scale has been used to define the wave system.
in-experienced personnel) while on the other hand ship officers
ai'e generally accustomed to the Beaufort scale. Even if many
subjective and irrational factors contribute to the choice of this number at each special occasion, it is reasonable to
suppose that this estimate is in mean correct0 More or less
unconsciously the behaviour of the ship is also taken into account at this choice, which may be considered rather as an
van,
The Beaufort scale is originally made up according to the appearance of the sea, the relative amount of foam and
white caps etc. Afterwards the average wind velocity
corre-sponding to each Beaufort number has been determined by
mea-surements0 There are, however, large variations in these
wind speeds, especially at very low and very high Beauforts. This is evident from a comparison between statistics of wind velocities on the North Atlantic and similar statistics from
entries in the log books of ships, made in the saine area. In
fig. 2 the statistical distribution of Beauforts as measured on the North Atlantic weather ships () is compared to
corre-sponding distributions from ship logs. Wind speeds
correspon-ding to B. O - 3 are measured only 21 % of the time, while
this wave state is observed from ships during a much larger
percentage of time. This is not necessarily depending on bad
judgement on the bridge, but may be explained by the time
nee-ded for the full development of the sea, During a large
pro-portion of the time the sea has been estimated as B. O - 3, the wind has actually been stronger but has not had the
neces-sary time to raise the sea, And wave bending moments are
caused by the sea, not by the wind.
During each separate measuring period at th present tests the sea has been estimated by the ships officers in
the same way as usual, In order to adjust the observed stress
distributions according to the average distributions of wave states on different trade routes, it has therefore been consi-dered necessary to make a special investigation of log books
from several ships. The resulting distributions are found
B,
O-3
!-
56-7
- 9
10 - 12
-7-The Beaufort scale has been divided in the following
groups:
calm, or slight sea
moderate sea
rough sea
very rough sea
extremely rough sea
It cannot be considered justified to make a finer
distinc--tion than this, because of' all uncertainties in the estirnabion0
The group limits make a rather natural subdivision, according
to the given designations.
Influence of the wave state on the bendgmment
If the wave state is only defined by the Beaufort sc1e,
the variation of the observed r-value within each group must
necessarily be large.
This variation actually contains the
distributions of all factors having influence on the bending
stress, viz0 course, speed and displacement0
It also
indu-des the dviatìcns of the estimates of both wave state and
r-value.
This distribution of r-values within each separate
weather group has been found to be very nearly normal,
Anexample of this is given in fig. 3,
In Table III are given tJie mean values and standard
de-viations of the parameter r for all the test shipsmeasured in
different wave conditions.
These mean values are also given
in fig. La - !g as function of wave state,
Because of the
large number of measurements the means may be considered to
give a picture of the average influence of the waves on the
different ships.
It is interesting to note a principal difference between
the r-curves in fig.
2+ for ships A - C on one side, and for
ships D - G on the other.
For the first group a maximum
r-va--lue is obtained already in fairly moderate weather, while for
the others r is increasing all the way up to the most severe
weather,
As will be seen later on this fact has a very
im-portant effect on the resulting long term distribution of
wave stresses0
-Long-term distribution of the root mean scuare value
It has sometimes been suggested that the distribution of
the parameter r should be logarithmically normal. The
devia-tion which has been found, especially from the upper part of this distribution (6) has been attributed to the facts, that the tests have not been carried out for a sufficiently long time, and that the test ships have not met with really bad weather during this time.
This explanation does not seem to be adequate for all
ships. In several cases the log-normal distribution gives
much too high values for low probability of exceedance, in spite of the fact that the measurements contain a greater percentage of tests in hard weather than should be normal ac-cording to meteorological statistics.
If the r-distribution is to be used for estimating ex-treme values it must be valid up to at least four times the
standard deviation, and nearly all experimental distributions
have deviated upwards in this region. If a constant value
c is added and log (r + e) is used as variable, this will have the desired effect of straightening the experimental points. In this way a remarkably good fit has been obtained to the theoretical distribution for samples of several hundred
r-va-lues.
The constant c may be considered as a new parameter, which is determined by the weather distribution and by the
influence of various weather states on the ship. No general
method has yet been found for calculating c, other than as the value giving the best statistical result.
If a. long-term distribution of r could really be found, which is valid up to a sufficiently high probability level, this could be used to calculate an expected distribution of
the individual stress amplitudes. Every point on the
r-distri-bution corresponds to a Rayleigh distrir-distri-bution of stresses, and by integration the probability of exceeding any given stress
level may be computed. However, this needs a very accurate
knowledge of the upper part of the r-distribution, which is
not yet available, Work along these lines is going on, and
be possible to calculate the direct influence of the different weather intensities on various trade routes in this way,
Averae ex.ected lon-term distribution of wave stresses
The best way to obtain long-terni stress distributions is probably through integration of the r-distribution, as
des-cribed in the last paragraph0 It is, however, also possible
to calculate such distributions directly from the curves of
r as functions of Beaufort in fig. L1 This method is based
on the observed normal distribution of Beaufort numbers in
fig. 2. The theory is derived in Appendix III and the results
of the calculations are given in fig. 5a - 5g. To facilitate
a comparison between the different ships all these
distribu-tions are based on the same weather distribution, which is
the average of all trade routes according to fig. 2.
In fig. 5 is used a dimensionless bending moment factor in, defined by the equation
L3 B CWL
The wave bending moment Mw is here calculated from measured stress with a section modulus, which for most of the ships has been confirmed by static calibrations of the hulls (Table 1).
The waterline coefficient is considered to be in better agree-ment with theory than the more usual block coefficient (10).
All wave moments and stresses in the figures are half
the peak-to-peak values, For the ships with block
coeffici-ents larger than .75 no significant difference has been found
between hogging and sagging, both amplitudes being equal to
half the total variation. For the dry cargo ships with lower
block coefficient the relation is roughly the same as calcu-lated statically in a sine wave.
It is important to emphasise that these distributions
are not actually observed, but calculated on certain
assump-tions from a limited number of measured values, They are to be looked upon as mean distributions, which are expected in
the average on a large number of ships during a very long
time. Any single ship, e.g. one of the test ships, may very
peri J_O peri
-od which is essentially shorter than the service life. It has
not yet been possible to find realistic confidence intervals, so nothing definite can be said about the amount of departure
from these lines that may be expected. It is hoped that
futu-re futu-research will provide such confidence intervals. For the
purpose of this investigation the mean, expected distributions seem to be of greater value than the results from any specific ship, because it is possible to derive a general method of determining design bending moments for the average ship.
A better picture of the distributions is obtained from the cross curves with constant probability as parameber,
which are shown in fig. 6-e. The curves are drawn as
func-tians of ship length with respectively wave stress, moment
factor and effective wave height as ordinates, The effective
wave height is defined as the height of a sine wave, which by a conventional static calculation without correction for the Smith effect gives the same wave bending moment as the measu-red one.
A was mentioned before in connection with the influence of the waves, the distributions must be devided in two
separa-te groups. One group consists of dry cargo ships less than
150 m with blockcoefficient between .60 and .70, the other group is made up of tanker type ships from 150 to 250 m with
CB between .75 and .EO. This difference is evident from all
results. The reason must be a combination of length, speed
and natural pitching period in relation to the most frequent
wave lengths and periods. The longer ships have a higher
pitching period and generally a lower speed, which gives reso-nance and unfavourable phase conditions in quite different wave systems than is the case for the cargo liners, A special
investigation along these lines is planned, For the present
the two groups must be treated separately, Design bending moment
Several methods have been suggested for estimating the
extreme bending moment to be used for design (6,11). They
have all been based on distributions, either of initial valu-es or of extremvalu-es, which seem to overvalu-estimate the risk of
ex-involve statistical extrapolation, and it is then important that the basic distribution is valid up to very small
probabi-lities of exceedance. This condition has not been fulfilled
by the methods suggested before.
The wave bending moment which is expected to be exceeded with any given probability may be cetermined from curved of
the type shown in fig. 7. It is suggested here to use P = l0°
as a "design level. The total number of bending moment varia-tions during a service life of 20 - 30 years is of the order
of magnitude of 5.l0 Considering the rather small difference
in moment if this number is altered by a factor of 2 or 3, it
is not justified to make a more elaborate calculation0 It
is also believed .that no wave bending moments have ever been
recorded in ships of these types larger than what corres:on
to P = l0 in fig. 5. This value is regarded as an average
upper limit of expected wave bending moment.
The maximum wave moment to be used for design is then
Mw m L3 B CWL
(1)
where m = moment factor with P = l0 in fig. 7
To .obtain a design section modulus the still water
ben-ding moment must of course also be taken into account., The
basic figure should be the maximum permitted total stress (2 The complete expression for the section modulus Z is then
z Msw
Mw
(2)
(o
Now a second condition must be imposed on this modulus, besides that the total stress is less thanff0 The maximum wave stress must be kept below another limit, which may be called(11. It
is probable, from considerations of fatigue, that
1 always
has to be smaller than
6
even if the still water stress iszero.
The maximum permitted stress should only be governed
by the yield stress, with proper regard to stress
concentra-tions. If , is the largest expected wave stress and
j'
6.
ais the value exceeded 10 times during a service life of 5l0
-
12-= O.2Ji
for tankers (3)t7= 0.3((l
for Dry Cargo ships (1+)In order to keep 6'a at the same value for all ships, the maximum permitted wave stress consequently may be 1.5 times
higher in a tanker than in a D.C. ship. For instance, if
= 2.0 kg/mm2, the design value of will be 10.0 kg/mm2
for tanker type ships and
6.7
kg/mm2 for D.C. ships.The following expressions are finally obtained for the design section modulus:
Msw
Mw
Z.
-
(6)
'
I
Mw is obtained from equation (i) and fig. 7. Equation (6) is to be used if
/
.6
Msw<U0,.
1 Mw(- J.
It is naturally possible to derive equations for
fitting the points in fig. 7. The curves drawn in the figu-re have the following equations:
Tankers: m =
0.067
L°
D.C. ships: m = 0.0092
L05
Applied to equation (1) these expressions agree well with the
present practice of assuming Mw proportional to a power of L
between 2.3 and 205. More measurements are necessary, treated
in the same way as has been done here, before such formulas may be definitely established.
Longitudinal distribution of wave stresses
The ship D has been fitted with extensometers both
amid-ships and at the quarterlengths. At the latter points,
how-ever, only the stress of the port side has been measured.
This investigation is based on a smaller sample of measure-ments than the previous results amidships.
The comparison between the stresses at the three points has been made in terms of the parameter r, the valuesof
13
-which are given in the table below:
Rayleigh parameter of stress amplitudes, r kg/mm2 Weather group/ Forward 1/Lt. L Aft 1/4 L amidships
Beaufort mean stand dey, mean stand mean stand dev
dey
From these values the long term distributions of wave moments have been calculated in the same way as has been described
before. These distributions are found in fig. 9.
At the assumed design level of P = l0 the stresses at
the forward and aft quarterlengths are respectively about
0 % and 70 % of the stress amidships. At the pro.bability
level of P =
io2,
however, the corresponding percentages areabout 90 and 0,
These figures, show that the maximum bending moment in reality is situated at some distance forward of amidships,
which also conforms with some recent model investigations. (7) Still water bendinE moments
The measuring equipment is fitted with a recorder, which
has a wide scale, This will give the advantage, that although
the recorder is very sensitive, there is no need to balance the zero drift caused by the different loading conditions of
the ship. It is thus easy to use the equipment as a "load
indicator",
In order to make use of this quality the zero level is balanced according to the calculated still water stress of
the ship. In some cases this proceeding has functioned
ex-cellently, while in others it has failed because of
equip-ment error causing a zero drift. For three of the ships it
has been possible to state the variations in the still water
bending moment (SWEM) at sea. The results are given in fig.
10-12 for some typical voyages.
Generally the SWEM at sea seems to be rather constant during
the voyages, On ship B some measurements have been made
at noon, which show ari increased hogging stress, This must
1/ 0-3 B 0.55 0.39 0.47 0.17 0.60 0.30
2/ 4-5 B 0.59 0.22 0.55 0,25 0.65 0.23
3/ 6-7 B
0.1
0.32 0.7e 0.31 0.99 0.33be due to thermal stresses. The gauges on this ship are
mounted on the side shell, and if the sun is shining straight
on the deck plating, there must be a tensile stress in the
aide shLl
at the gauge
positions.The tankers show a remarkable hogging stress just before
loading. At these occasions the cargo tanks will be empty and
sometimes the freshwater and fuel oil tanks forward are filled
up in order to reduce the trim. In this condition there must also be great shearing forces acting on the ship.
During the ballast voyages there will be great variations
in the SWUM caused by the shifting of ballast during the
tank-cleaning. During these conditions the measuning equipment has
in some cases been used as load indicator by the officers.
By improved installation the above mentioned equipment error
seems to have been overcome, so that this quality of the
equipment could now be used more generally.
In order to examine the SWBM variations in more general way a number of cargo distributions have been calculated in
the following way.
The SWBM may be expressed thus:
SWflM=M
M
-M
w dw d
where
M = moment of light ship
MdW = moment of cargo, bunkers etc.
Md = hydrostatical moment
The moments may be expressed by dimensionless constants k, kdw and kd,
which
aro defined in the following wayThe resuitsof the calculations are given in table IV.
=
kL'W
L = Length between p.p.Mdw =
kdwLDW
W = Weight of light shipMd = kdLD
DW = DeadweightP(x) = 1 - e
A straight line in the coordinate system of fig. L. is the
usual exponential distribution with n = 1. The Rayleigh
dis-tribution has n = 2. For the dry cargo ships A-C the value
of n is greater than unity, for most of the tankers n is very nearly unity, and for the ore carrier D n is slightly less
than unity. In all cases the parameter ari is the mean of
The value of n is obviously dependent on o factors, the
weather conditions and the response of the ship to each
sepa-rate weather state. The latter factor is naturally the most
important of all problems in this work.
If.it is assumed that log (r + c) is normally distribu-ted, the parameter c must be closely linked with the exponent
n in equation (10) above. Research is going on to find some
way of determining these constants, and if this can be done it will be possible to calculate curves like fig. 7 for any given ship on any route.
The influence of whipping stresses has not been properly
investigated. The records generally show a larger tendency
for whipping in the cargo liners than in the tankers.
Especi-ally the very fast ships with service speeds above 1 knots
may suffer severe whipping and slamming during such conditions
that full speed can only just be maintained, Most often the
speed has been reduced very soon after such conditions have been reached, and this has immediately reduced the vibrations, In such ships, where large vibratory stresses are frequent,
the number of amplitudes below about 2 kg/mm2 will be increased, thus making the curved form of the distributions in fig. 5 a
-5 c even more pronounced. This is a strong reason for
limi-ting the maximum permitted wave stress to a rather low
value in fast cargo liners, and may even be the real motive for the influence of speed on the design section modulus. Otherwise the speed seems to have a rather small influence on the low frequent wave bending moment.
(x/a)
15
-General conclusions
The distributions in figures 5 show the general trend of
the stress variation. It is probable that the distributions
for all ships may be represented by the function.
n
Books consulted
Bennet, R.
Stress and Motion Measurements on Ships at Sea.
The Swedish Shipbuilding Research Foundation
Report l3(i95) and 15(1959)
2Cartwright, D,E,
On estimating the mean energy of sea waves from the
highest waves in a record.
Proc0 of Royal Society London, A 2L4.7,
(l95)
3
Chapman, J.C.
The Interaction between a Ship's Hull and a Long
Superstructure.
Preprint, Inst. of Naval Architects. 6 March 1957.
4.
Crawford, L., Ruby, W.
Model Tests on Hull-Dechhouse Interaction,
Ship Structure Committee,
SSC-67, January 1955.
5
Hamrin, C-J.
Spänningsmätningar i fartyg till sjöss.
(Stress Measurements on Ships at Sea).
Inst. f. Skeppsbyggnad, KTH.
Report E-e-3, 1961.
E
Jasper, N.H. et.al.
Report of the Committee on Response to Wave Loads.
International Ship Structure Committee, Glasgow 1961.
David Taylor Model Basin, Report 1537,
7
Ltveit, M., MUrer, Chr., Vedeler, B,, Christensen, Hj.
Wave Loads on a T-2 Tanker Model,
European Shipbuilding, 10(1961) 1.
16
-¿3
Roll, H,U,
Height, Length and Steepness of Sea
North Atlantic,
Soc. of Naval Architects and Marine
Technical and Research Bulleting No
New York l95.
Waves in the
Engineers.
l-19,
9
Vasta, J,
Lessons Learned from Full Scale Ship StructuralTests.
Trans. Society of Naval Architects arid Marine Engineers,
l95.
17
-10 Vossers, G.
Fundamentals of the Behaviour of Ships in Waves. Netherlands Ship Model Basin.
Publ, No. 151 A mt. Shipb. Progr.
6(1959) 13
and following.11 Yuille, I.M,
Longitudinal Strength of Ships Royal Inst. of Naval Arch,
I
appendix I
Estimation of the ararneters of the hort-term distribution
When describing the bending moment variations due to wave loads in terms of estimates of statistic parameters, it is convenient to assume that the variations during a short time can be regarded as a stationary random process.
In practice however, the process is not stationary as the conditions such as sea state and heading of the ship is not constant, but investigations (an exhaustive literature survey is given in (6))indicate that the assumption generally leads to distributions to which the observed data fits good
for records of comparatively short time, such as our records of about a quarter of an hour.
As a check of the assumption of stationarity, an additio-nal series of measurements has been carried out on ship D.
Each measurement was started half an hour after the end of the
ordinary ones. The duration of the measurements was a
quar-ter of an hour, The analysis of these 2+ pairs of
measure-ments shows no significant deviation from the hypothesis that the differences between the estimated parameter of the first
and second measurement of the same occasion are due to the error introduced by the method of estimations
Thus the process can be said to be stationary at least during the time of measurement.
Concerning the randomness it can be stated that the
ben-ding moment variations are not random, There is a correlation
between succeeding crests which can be observed by eye on the records and also estimated by computing the autocorrelation function as made in (1) for a typical bending moment record. There it is shown that the only correlation of importance is between succeeding crests, and that the autocorrelation
func-tion for that case is numerically about 0.5. As the energy
spectrum is not infinitely narrow, the correlation function can not show the entire correlation, so 0.5 is an
underesti-mated value. The underestimation is however small, because
the spectrum is narrow (see e.g. energy spectra in (l))and
at any rate more narrow than that of sea waves. The reason
1:2
to pick out frequencies in the neighbourhood of its own natural piching frequency, unless the wave frequency is lower than
that of the ship0 In that case the wave frequency is dominant.
This tendency has been observed in most records and is also in
agreement with general theories for resonance fenomenons. The
comparison with sea waves is interesting because Cartwright (2) has shown that for a sea wave record extended over 224. hours and with autocorrelation between succeeding crests of about 0.5 the effect of correlation is negligible0
Another reason to neglect correlation - and this reason is in itself sufficient - is that the observed data generally fits very well to the distribution obtained by neglecting correlation.
It can thus be concluded that we do not introduce any con-siderable error by neglecting correlation.
Cartwright (2) has given a method to estimate the root mean square deviation Vn (notations from (2))and the relative
standard error in the estimate, from the largest of N
variations of a stationary random process knowing the spectrum
width ' and the autocorrelation of the record0 The spectrum
width can be estimated from the ratio: of the number of mean
value crossings and turning points of the record.
One example of the use of Cartwrights method on bending moment variations is given in (5)
In order to investigate the influence of and the error introduced by the simplifying assumption .= 0, corresponding to an infinitely narrow spectrum, all 155 measurements froni ship
B were analyzed both with the actual value on ¿. and with
= O. Table V gives some caracteristic values of ¿ and the corresponding values of r (the notation is explained
be-low). It can be observed that is far from zero but that
the influence on r is little. We will therefore use o.
Cartwright points out that the standard error in the esti-mate is reduced by a considerable amount by dividing a record
into subgroups and use the average of the largest values in
these groups. We have used about 10 subgroups of 12 periods
each, and have thereby reduced the relàtive standard error approximately from 0.11 to 0.05.
In order to facilitate the evaluation of our relatively large number of records, and get a high degree of accuracy, a program has been developed for the Facit EDB electronic computer, using the asympthotic expressions derived in (2).
This program computes ¿, M1, r, D and y, where r is
and y is the normalized extreme value according to equation 2. For ¿ = O the distribution function considered in (2) equals the Rayleigh distribution which is caracterized by the
single parameter r.
According to the Rayleigh distribution the probability to exceed the value x1 is
2
p(v1) = e'
where and V1 = xl r 2 - vi NWe will use equation L. in connection with the longterm
dis-tribution. Eauation L can also be written:
x = 2(elog(N/f))
(5)
To understand the meaning of f we consider a great number of similar ships being subjected to weather conditions which
give all ships the same r-value. If f = 0.01 then on the
average one ship out of a hundred will get bending moments
larger than the value computed from equation 50
1:3
(i)
(2)
is the normalized variable. By introducing f as the risk, or
the expected number of samples of size N from a population with parameter r where at least one value of the variable is larger than x1, and assuming that the probability to exceed the largest of N variations is 11M, which holds good for large N, we get
p(v ) =
-N (3)
(L)
I:L.
distribution is to plot the observed values of v versus N in a diagram containing the expected value of y as a function of
N and the confidence limits for y. This has been made for
ship B. See diagrams 13 and lL.. The points in the diagrams
scatter at random around the expected value and within the
expected confidence limits. This shows that the Rayleigh
dis-tribution is well suited to describe the bending moment varia-tions, at least the extreme ones ir which we are especially
Appendix II
Sirnplified calculation of the RavleiEh parameter
In a truncated Rayleigh distribution with the point of truncation x1, the probability that a value will exceed x is:
2 2 X2
-X1
z
x)
= Ç p(x) d x = e R X. J-From observationsIf these probabilities are eqalled
2 2
X.
-
X1
R1
ln n1 - ln ni
n. = number of variations exceeding x.
1 1
n1 = number of variations exceeding x1 It can be shown (1) that if
n1 = all the stress variations (which means x1 = o)
the greatest efficiency of the estimation will be about 65 % and occurs if n. = 0.20 ri 1 1 Thus n. i n =
1n5
ln ._]. n. i = r1 = X. 1 ln 5Appendix III
Calculation of probability of exceedance
The intention of the calculation is to get a long term
distribution of the wave-induced stresses of a ship,
When analyzing the stress measurements, the result will be a lot of r-values where r is the parameter in the Rayleigh distri-bution.
Before the calculation is made, these values have to be divided into five different groups concerning the weather and sea conditions of the actual measurements.
The weather groups are:
Group Sea state/Wind force Beaufor't
1
O-3
2
4-5
3
6-7
L.
- 9
5 10 - 12
The mean values and standard deviations of the r-values of each group are calculated.
For the calculation it is assumed that the r-values within each weather group are normally distributed. Examples of how this distribution fits are shown in fig0 3.
No t at ions
ni. = mean value of r-values of the group
= standard deviation
x = stress variations
= stress variation level (1, 2, 3, .... 10 kg/rrim2) For each weather group r is normally distributed. For each r-value x is Rayleigh distributed.
Put r - ru. i
u-r = u-ru. + iThe probability to exceed x: P(x) 2 2
X.
X.trI
Px.)=e
=e
JThe probability that u will happen: P(u)du u2
1 2
ï(u)du =
The probability of exceeding x in the i:th group:
Ql
j
P(x.) . u) duThe probability of exceeding x in all groups:
Q = 2 u2 Ç
-
+ur
1 = ,e e du -m/ i e -mAr u = +3 1 e Q. = P. J_.J i 5o. => o.
- i3
jr=i n. 111:2 u= -m/ú where Lu = 0.1The different weather groups are weighted by a certain coefficient P. i 2 I X. 2i I. .1 u + u«1 2
For the numerical treatment we put
X.
'm. +
i u 2
dulus Meas. point Clcu-lated m' Calculated atatical stress vari-ations in sine L/20-2 wave kg/mm Hogging 4,1 6.3
7.2
.6
9.7
10.7
9.2
Sagging4.9
.4
.7
10.5
11,5
12.7
11.0
Calibra-tions of ship bodies: Me asur ed stress varia-tion: - - -4.6
3.0
6,7
4.2
Calcula-ted s.y.
-
-
-
4.3
2.9
6.2
4.1
Table I Shin data Ship A B C D E F CType of Dry Dry Dry Ore Tanker Tanker Tanker
vessel cargo cargo cargo Carrier
¡Tanker
Deadweight
4600
tons
60O
9O5
21700
34200
45OO 65oo
Length bet- 97.. ween pp. n
l3.l
141,7
170.7 l9,l
214.9
23&4
Breathrnoul-14,5
ded m19,2
19.5
22.7
26,
31.1
35..4
Depth moul-9,22
ded11,7
12,1
13.5
14.3
15.2
171
Draught m6,9
7.
,1
9.4
10,7
11.5
13,1
Machinery3000
9000
2x7000
30O 2x9150
16500
22000
BHF 111F BHF IHP IHP SHP SHP Speed knots14
17
19,5
14,5
l6,
16.
16Blockcoeff,
O,6
0,66
0,65
0,79
0.77
O,0
O.0
Waterline
0.1
area coeff.0.79
O.0 0.4
o.6
0.
0.7
Prism.0.59
coeff, Section mo-2.60
Q,6
5.67
0.67
5.2
O.O
O,1
11.6
l.7
O.1
25e0
0.1
439
Ship Measuring equipment being on board (months) Table II
Survey of measuring activities..
No. of ac-tive mease days
(days)
No., of mea- Most
se-surements vere we at h er (Beau-fort) Gr ea-t e sea-t measu-red stress range 2 (kg/mm A B L.7 57
12
192
10 10 7o C19
L.0 73 10 709 D39
139
3 ¿0 1117.0
E 63 73 'J-12.0
F 1L. E3 3 1 915.0
G 30 25 60 710.0
The measurements of this ship
are rather few and these figures are supposed.
o H) cf- (D Weather group 1 2 3 4 5 Ship m s m s m s m s m S A 0,25 0.14 0.37 0.22 0.69 0.15 0,59 0.17
o.o
0h20 B sag 0.52 0,22+ 0.71 0.25O.1
0.20 1.3 0.25 1.16 0.21 B hog O.41f 0.19 0.60 O.i0,63
0.12
0.95 0.10,96
0.17 C 0.53 0.10 0.740.19
1,12
0.22 1,07 0,25 0.940.16
Do37
0.17 0.2+3 0.24 0.90 0.43 1.04 0.26 2,25 0035 E 0.3e 0,25 0.61 0.34 0.EE 0,32 1.5e 0.45 2.13 0.32 F 0.40 0,20 0.67 0.26 1.43 0,2e 1.76 0,14 2,57 0.30 x) x) x) G 0.40 0.20 0.45 0.25 0.92 0.30 1.400.20
2.00 0.20Table IV
SWBM. Calculated stresses
and
coefficients.Ship Voyage Caic. still
water2stress kd kdw DW tons kg/mm B a 0.1771 0.2042
3975
b+2.3
o.
l09
O226 6930
C +2.10.l3l
0.2246 293 a -0.1 0.20350,l7l
21030 b +0.5 0.203e0.190e 2100
C -0.2 0.2036o.162
21120 d0.4
0.2040 0.1914 21900 a-5.5
0.201401469 32900
b-5.
0.2024 0.1474 33700 C-5.3
0.2019 0,1530 33900 d-5.3
0.2021 0.1672 34250 e-5.4
0.202101551
34300 f-5.5
0.2024 0,1559 34400 g-5.5
0.2022 0,1532 34400 h 0.2020 0.1541 34400i
-4.5
0.20240,1612 3L00
a-1,4
0. 19 0,150 19370 b-0.1
0.206 0.1954630
C-1.4
0.206 0,1 46610 d -2.4 0,2070.17
¿f9590 e-24
0.2110.19
4960
f-4.5
0.2070.14
49990tri
r = arithmetic mean of
s = stndrd deviation of
max = m.xumum ok served min = minimum observed
mr = geometric mean of r. Corresponds to arithmetic mean
aI
J..og r,Sr = standard deviation of log r.
Table V
Influence of spectrum width
Ship m ç s r
6max
C, min r (o) s r(0)mr ()
SH OOL7
O.2
O.l
0.977
1.000
_________ ______________ ___________
wflr.ilin
H 'ri0__09/
OZI09/
Q.Ç/ 1 I I OfrI 0ClO"I
0/100/
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09
OZ09
02
0
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General ro
Tanke r
ut e s
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routes
North Atlentic Ocean routes,
Ï
, North accord ngz
to Roll -Io
z
4
6
a
Iot
09...P,,
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1P7 95 00 70 '04°
3°to
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1,6rIk V.lbrV WE&THER GOUP3i
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6-8 L-9 $ t -I dUiS v9 90K ¿I;OI 6-8 L-9 2-O I 29
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Q-O 4 4 4 I a I QSTRESSES EXPECTED TO BE E)CEEDED WiTH VAtOUS PßA1LITIES P
Fig. 6.
o. u, & u) Cu9
G cE ECJo
eJE?
BENDING MOMENT RCTO m EXPECTED TO BE EXCEEDED WITH VARIOUS POBAILI1IES P.
Fig. 7.
'-I/
i
I
1/
/
/ /
iÌE
EFFECTIVE WAVE HEIG1T EXPECTED TO BE
EXCEEDED WiTh VAIOJS POBAILI11ES P.
Fig.
. (u g W) .z
uJ -J Q,-iI
0. W 0.I
J.0
s 0. 0. U IAJii:
s kp/m lo 9 &
i
crq t, 'Q 5 ¡t z &i
m G 5 ¡tsuip D
i. STRESS AT PORT SIDE
I -
AHIDSAIPSViL FORWAD
3
-'----
l/i+LAFT't. VEQT1CAL 5TES AHIDS1PS(FROH FI6.5D)
3 z I o
rj H o
vit
'r/mm t-SHIP B HOG VOYAGEa HOG HOG T I I I I I I It
3 5 6 7 5DAYS g io SHIP B VOYAGE C WEST BOUND IB tO I I I 12 l 19 E1 BOUND i WEST BOUND z WEST BOUND ¼ 3 5 I - SAG y PCP/mr I I I i L. 5 6 7 i 6 MEASURED AT NOONi
t
1 J. 5 DAYSHIPB
VOYWE d DAYS ¿ DM61t,569IO
TI 19 O323
1 'iO 'itDAYS
LO PD
SfrG
BALLkST
VARIATIONS IN STILL WAIEQ
BENDING MOMENTS AT SEA.
I
17Fig. 11.
jo .l. s DAYS LOPtO1-
2-
k- 5- 6-6 11 1 I sçI 5 15 KPJm,, SHIP E HOG BM.LSTz-K' Z
P,mmt-
i-O HOG Zß I I I I I I. jtg t9 31 VOVAE LOtD I I 35 3 3Ç1 SHIP F DP1YS Z l-J. 3 SAG H t) I HOGBt11T
Z-I -Ib O I , I II1-t
Fig. 13.
Scatter of measured extreme values. Ship
no 2. Sagging. q:: 2 i
t'C
L ol'i
I p s I.k\
.
.
,..a\41..
-..s . s s pPp
II
4 Pp
.
s II..
p t ... s. s p p4 s.s
s p,sp t s I o o o oÑ
o
c%i
o
Fig. 12+. Scatter of measured extreme values. Ship no 2. Hogging.
r -1 f I j