APPENDIX o b s 1 a = - 5 x = 1 .2 9 у = 1 1 .1 х0 = 1.630 ... : 6 ... 3 2 --- --- ---: / = 24.13 6 х - 16.060 2 9 --- --- --- --- : 4 ------- : R = 0.738 » у 7 * 2 6 ---S _____________ ; 2 --- --- í ________________i
♦ X
i
*
я
23 --- --- i 0 ________ »__________________________________ * _ J S2 0 —
y
> ---1
♦
*
:
i
g
♦ - 2 --- . ______________; q. 1 7 ----^ r — *--- i * ♦ 1 4 --- 4 - - 0 --- —--- i&
11 ---♦.---.--- .--- ---.---j c 5 ‘ 1 1 1 I 1--- !---1--- 1--- !--- 1--- 1---1--- 1---1---1---1---1---1---1--- 1 g -1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 1 4 15 16 173--
--- _J
g
8
F ig . 1. L in e a r r e g re s s io n m o d e l a n d re s id u e s f o r d is tu r b e d v a r ia b le у w ith d is tu r b a n c e c o n s t a n t a = —5 in c o m p a r is o n w ith L S m e th o d o b s 1 a = - 3 x = 1.29 у = 1 3 .1 xQ = 1.629 Ł ... ... : 6 , ... 2 , 3 2 --- --- I : _ у = 2 2 .7 8 1 x - 13.851 . I S ' 2 9 --- ---, ____________ : 4 --- : ™ R2= 0.752 ♦ " 3 ? I . » * й 2 6 ---______________________ :♦ л#*
i
2 _____-________________________♦
♦
-________________i:
8
2 3 ---S Z --- .. ; „ ; 4Ę.
'
:
0 --- , --- J - H
S
г о - - - , —
♦- - - ;
♦
s .
♦ . ' á r * n Оi ? —
*---í
•
;--- :--- --- \
Г
1 4 --- - --- --- j - 4 --- i 11 -I--- ,---,---,---,---,---t---,---,____ j _g . I 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 12 13 14 1 5 1 6 1 7 F ig . 2 . L in e a r r e g re s s io n m o d e l a n d re s id u e s f o r d i s tu r b e d v a r ia b le у w ith d i s t u r b a n c e c o n s t a n t a = — 3 in c o m p a r is o n w ith L S m e th o d Üobs 1 a = - 1 x = 1 .2 9 у = 15.1 х 0 =1.631 ^3 ... ...6 ... 3 2 --- ! i у = 21 426х - 11.643 4 --- í 2 9 --- ---9---i ♦ R =0.7499 ^ , 2 6 --- --- i 2 --- *---i --- *--- i
i
♦
. I
2 3---i
0--- .--- i
20---*--- 1
®
*
♦
*
♦
♦ /
»
-2 *--- i
1 7 --- *--- j 1 4 --- *--- j ' 4 !;
11 I I ! I---!---!--- :--- !--- i —6-I---- 1---- 1---- Г——I---- 1----1----1— !----1---- 1---- 1----!---- 1----!---- 1---- 1----i ^ 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 3 1 4 15 16 17 ; 5*
V>
I
Fig. 3. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = — 1
^
in comparison with LS method
§
J
obs 9 a = - 5 x = 1 .5 3 у = 1 5 xn = 4.608 i >--- y---
---
я
32 ... 6 ... :...g on y = 2 0 .8 5 1 x -11.009 ш2
*
1
4---r--- :--- g
R2= 0.6373 ♦ j. : £: 2 6 --- .---f S -*
--- i
„í --- *--- ;--- ;
♦
;ST
2 3 --- ---'• * * i . • / 4 : 0 ---- *---i --- : 20 ---i*
--- í * - 2 ________________ I _________________ - __________ Í17 - -
*--- 'i
14
--- J--- — --- j - * --- j 11 --- 1--- i--- 1--- 1--- i---1---1---ľ---i —6 --- 1----!----1----1----1----1----1--- 1—Ф—I----1----1--- 1----1----1----1----11.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1 6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Fig. 4. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = — 5
in comparison with LS method
obs 9 a = - 3 x = 1.53 y = 1 7 x0 = 4.623 z ľ ľ z z z ľ z ľ z ľ ľ ľ ľ z ľ ľ ľ ľ ľ ľ ľ z z z z ľ z ľ z ľ ľ z r ; 6 ... : 32 - ---: 2g y = 20.810x - 10.821_________________________ ; 4 --- ; ---j R 2 = 0.692 ♦ ^ . . , 6 --- _ 4 ^ ---: 2 — *--- : --- . --- n 23 - — j o • — --- 4--- i 2 0 --- , ♦--- i * . í? ♦ ♦ —9 ---*_______________ ; ся 1 7 --- ^ ^ ---í ♦ S 1 4 --- í - 4 --- • --- i & 2> 11 --- I--- 1--- 1--- 1--- 1--- 1--- 1--- !--- i —6 --- 1--- 1----1----1--- 1--- 1----1--- 1--- 1--- 1----!--- T--- I----1----1----1--- i ^ 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1 5 1 6 17 »
c
or
HFig. 5. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = — 3
|
m comparison with LS method
J.
3 obs 9 a = -1 x = 1.53 y = 1 9 xn = 4.700 о
"
г—--- га
...
6 ...,
“
3 2 --- \ 2, y = 2 0 .7 6 9 x - 10.633 4 --- i 2 9 ---, --- : ♦ a 26 R 2 = 0.730 * ^ _____________j
2 ___________ *_____________
«______
I Ę♦
*
*
♦
*
-ł
2 3 --- г ^ < ---í 0 — »_______________________________________ . _____j Ч 2 0---;--- —
*———
--- ;
*
»
♦
и
• * ♦ - 2 --- --- » --- *--- ; o' 1 7 — • ---í : ♦ i p 1 4 --- i - 4 --- i 1 1 ^ 1 1 ' 1 1 >--- 1---1 “ 6 --- 1--- 1---1--- 1--- 1--- 1---1--- 1---1--- r---- T---1--- 1---1--- 1--- 1--- 1 1.2 1.3 1 4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 12 13 14 15 16 17Fig. 6. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = — 1
obs 9
a =
1
x =
1.53
y= 21
xn
=
4.476
... ... ... ... ... ... . Is-T— ♦ . C D - Ю ♦ C O ♦ - C N ♦ - ^ ♦ . о < » - C D ♦ 0 0 ♦ r^. ♦ C D ♦ Ю 4 ♦ C O ♦ C N J T _ o CD -3 C N J С 7 1Fig. 8. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant
in comparison with LS method
obs 9
a = 5
x = 1.53
y = 25
x0 = 4.573
31 ... ;
6 .... ...
... ~...i
y = 2 0 .6 4 6 x - 10.068 29 --- 5--- , ---I 4 --- _ --- : 27 R = 0.7015 « j f_____________ i • ♦^--- *--- »
i
25 ^ „ > r ♦ * ♦ 2 3 ---ir z i
i
0 ■ — --- s--- i*
:
!Я
2 1 ---1 o _________________________ í _____________________ i S 1 9 --- . y C *---j
Z * I I 17 - * ' Í 1 cr♦ •
!
S,
-I--- 1--- 1--- í--- 1--- !--- 1--- 1--- 1--- i -6-1--- 1----1----i----1----1--- 1----1--- ,--- ,----,----,----1----,--- ,----,----f--- j 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 S" ---_ _ --- --- t í---
*i
tr
g
Fíg. 9. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = 5
n
in comparison with LS method
3
obs 16
a = 1
x = 1.84
у = 29.7
x0 = 1.461
g.
—--- ---
--- --- ---
О
31 £■■... ...I 6 1 : О y = 2 1 .5 7 7 x - 11.749 . i ^ 2 9 --- -— : 4 --- -—---I S t 2 7 ______R 2 = 0 ™ ________ ^ _____________ j ‘ gjT
■
2 --- ---*---*---_ _ !
4
2 5 --- --- i : ;* 1
s 2 3--- v
♦ / ♦
f ---;
;
°-—---»—
-
Se
2 1 --- --- ,_2
________ : _______ ; i -1 9 --- : * . f 1 7 --- í --- í --- j 15 i--- 1--- '--- 1--- 1--- 1--- i--- 1--- i - 6 --- r— i— i— ,— ,— ,— i— ,— ,— i— i— ,— ,— ,— ,— .,__ j 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1 6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1617Fig. 10. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = 1
in comparison with LS method
obs 16
a = 3
x =1.84
у = 31.7
x0 = 4.622
^
31 ... ... ;
6
... ...
... !
20 y = 2 3 .2 3 3 x - 14.171________________________ : ; R 2 = 0.745 X Í ______________________________________________________ • --- i o ________ ♦ _____________________________________________ Í 2 5 --- --- * » * ^ 2 3 --- Ж - --- i 0 1♦ / *♦
*
♦
2 1--- !
rj.
S ♦ ♦
*
:
1 9 ---. ■ / . --- i . ♦ 1 7 — 5 í15 --- ’--- 1---’---1--- --- '---1--- I--- i - 6 - 1 --- 1--- i--- 1--- 1--- i--- 1---1---1--- 1--- 1--- 1--- 1--- I--- 1--- T---T---i <
1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1516 17 §
________________________________ ____ _______________________________СГ
I
Fig. 11. Linear regression model and residues for
disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = 3
^
in comparison with LS method
<g
Я
obs 16
a = 5
x = 1.84
y = 3 3 .7
x0 = 1.4621
>
... ...
~
--- ---
§
31 --- — __________________ _ j 6 ... - ... í on y = 2 4 .8 8 9 x - 16.592--- — j » ' j --- ---jr * --- - 4 --- --- — --- " • ę 2 7 - R = 0 -7 3 2 ______♦ V T - I ] . I 2 5 ____________________ ^ 2 ' “ T ♦ • • I23 --- - Л -rĹ--- i
0 —
i
♦ / • ♦
♦
2 1--- —X ♦ ♦
--- --- •; _ 2_____________________*
*♦--- —
; 1 9 --- I 1 7 --- --- ♦---__i ~ 4 — --- I 1 5 ' ' ' ’--- '--- »--- '--- ’--- i 6 — ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— ,— .— j 1.2 1.3 1 4 1 5 1.6 1.7 1 8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17Fig. 12. Linear regression model and residues for
disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = 5
obs 1 a = - 5 x = 1.29 у = 1 1 .1 x 0 = 1.630 ... ....- ... ... : 6 ...- ..., 3 2 --- 1 y = 2 4 .1 3 6 x - 16.060 4 2 9 --- ---i 4 ; --- ; 26 ______ * 2 = 0 '738 ___________ i 2 _____ »— I - - ______ T______ ±_______________ i 2 3 --- --- I 0 ---2 0 --- , ---. --- 1 * £ ♦
. u S *
- 2 --- • --- i 8 1 7 --- --- * — --- 1 * * I 1 4 --- — ___________________________________ I ---j S-^ 4—— * 1 I I I I--- 1---1---1--- i —6 --- 1--- 1--- 1--- 1--- 1--- i--- 1--- 1--- !--- 1--- 1--- !--- 1--- !--- !--- i---i ^1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1 8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
g
---—--- ---
c
o*
F ig. !3 . L in e a r regression m od e l and residues fo r d istu rb e d v a ria b le
у
w ith distu rb a n ce co n sta n ta =
— 5in co m p a riso n w ith LS m eth o d - .
3 obs 1 a = -1 x = 1.29 у = 1 5 .1 x 0 = 1.631 &
~
"
---
--- —--- ---
n
... ... ... ... ...;
6 ... ... .
“
3 2 --- - ! 2, 29У=
21,4 2 6 x - 11.643_______________________ 4 ____________________________________________ j g; = 0.7499 *^
2 _____ _i _____________________ j §'
ф♦
23
г х % - - -
о - - - .-- - - i
4
2 0 --- , . --- • ♦ I • - 2 ---L________________*_________ : S ’17 — ^
*--- i
:
.
i
p 1 4 --- --- i - 4 ---\
' ' ' ' 1 ' 1—>
’ - 6 ---1----1--- 1----1----1--- 1--- 1----Г--- 1----1----1----1—-i----1--- 1----1--- i 1 2 1 3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1 9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17F ig. 14. L in e a r regression m od e l and residues fo r d istu rb e d v a ria b le у w ith d istu rb a n ce co n sta n t
a = —
1 in co m p a riso n w ith LS m ethodobs 9 a = - 3 x = 1.53 y = 17 x0 = 4.623 ... - ... , 6 ... ... ... .... : 3 2 --- ---
j
29 y = 20.81 Ox - 10.821___________ ____________ j 4 --- i --- j R 2 = 0.692 ♦ ^ j _________ í _________________-
_______________ !2 6
.
--- I
2
П
2 3 --- j 0 ---*--- j20 —
• --- i
-2____ :____1________ ^ ______i
1 7 --- ♦ ♦--- 1 1 4 j 4 --- * --- j11 I--- i--- 1--- 1--- T--- !--- I--- 1--- 1 —6 -I----1----r— T----1----1----I----1----1----'--- 1----1----1----p----!---- 1----1----i ^ 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 4 1 5 16 17 g '
I
Fig. 15. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = — 3
5;
in comparison with LS method
<§
a
»-»
obs 9 a = 1 x = 1 . 5 3 у = 21 Xq = 4.476 > Z Z Z ' ľ - . . ľ T I " . Z ľ ľ ľ ľ ľ ľ Z ľ . , 6 — I „ n ‘ y = 2 0 . 7 2 8 x - 10.445 j 4 _________________________________________________ j ® 2 9 --- ---щ---í ♦ о-2 7 R = 0 7 ^ --- -- / --- j 2 ____________________♦________________ j F 2 5 ---♦ --- -! ♦ * ♦ : 23 --- ---j♦ / *
° — --- • ---*--- I♦
.
•
2 1 --- y f --- i - 2 --- *--- i 1 9 --- ,* / % --- *--- i ♦ 17 - 1 --- j ^ --- ] 15 1--- !--- T--- 1--- I--- T--- 1--- 1--- i - 6 ----1--- 1----1--- 1--- 1--- 1--- 1----1----1----1----1----1--- 1----1----1--- 1----i 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1 8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17Fig. 16. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant a = 1
in comparison with LS method
obs 16 a = 3 x = 1.84 у = 31.7 x 0 = 1.4622 31 j - ... ...4...: 6 ] ... •; OQ y = 2 3 .2 3 3 x - 14.171 --- — — —---i 4 ---
-2 7 R = 0 .7 4 5 _________ ♦ У х ______________ i ♦ ф 2 5 --- . Ж Г - - 7 - : 2 — ^ --- ; --- - --- j 2 3 --- _________________________ i 0 ■ — i --- — --- j » y ľ * * ! * ' •B 2 1 ---— --- --- : 0 ♦ £ . / • * “ 2 *---i a 1 9 --- ♦ / --- : ♦ ♦ * 1 7 ---S -
--- i --- i --- í S-15 -I---’---T
---,---,---,---,---
t---T
---
;- 6l - ...- r.
... j 2 . 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1516 17 ~— ---
L---—---
B•4
cr
F ig 17. L in e a r regression m odel and residues fo r d istu rb e d va riab le у w ith d istu rb a n ce co n stan t
a
= 3 in co m parison w ith L S m ethod5' 3 obs 16 a = 5 x = 1.84 y = 33.7 x n = 1.4621 g.
“
--- --- —i
---31 ... 6 ] ... ~~... ...- ... : О 7Q у = 24.889x -1 6 .5 9 2 j • ! ^ „ R 2 = 0.732 . n 2 7---
---
2
.
*__________________
I
4
2 5 --- --- . j 3 2 3 --- --- 0 --- --- j *§♦ X %
♦
и
2 1 --- --- _ 2 ___________________ * j 5-*/
♦*
■ 3 1 9---
:
S
.
---
.
Г
1 7 ---r b Č ---i---- --- i 15 ---I---.---.---.--- .--- .---.--- .--- i - e l - ... ... 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17F ig. 18. L in e a r regression m odel and residues fo r d istu rb e d va riab le у w ith d istu rb a n ce co n stan t
a =
5obs 1
с = -0.2 x =1.09
у =16.1
X
q= 1.598
g
32 --- — ---; 4]--- — --- *---i y = 17.202»-4 .8 7 1 ________________________________________________ 2 9 --- --- ф---: O --- : R 2 = 0.700 ♦ 2 - - * ---t---* — 2 6 --- --- í 1 ____________________ í __________________ ♦ ____________________________________________ * * ♦ 2 3 ---v / Ч i 0 ---j 2° ---*
i
_„1
:
i
^
- »---
t
*
T-1 4 --- -j . 4 --- í --- ; 11 ---1---!---1---1---1---1---1--- 1---1---1---i —5 ---1---1--- 1--- 1--- 1---1--- 1--- 1--- 1--- 1 i---:--- 1--- 1---1--- . 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 2po
_____________________________________________ ______________________________________________________ 5П
S
Fig. 19. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant с = — 0.2
^
in comparison with LS method
ere
5
obs 1
с = -0.05
x = 1.24
y=16.1
xn = 1.620
>
--- ---
...—... - ...Ш --- §
5 ... - ...: P 3 2 --- 4 --- ---; S3 y = 1 9 .9 8 7 x -9 .3 0 4 « e29
--- ---
I'
F
26 --- 1 - ^ --- ♦--- ---2 3 ---- S
f
---0 - *
--- •---2 0 ---*--- - i ---— - — ♦— « : ---1 7 --- ^ ^ - 3---*---*---14---^
---11 --- ,---,---,---1--- ,--- ,---,---,---,---,---i - 5 — .— .— .— >— ,— .— i— ,— i— -— ,— ,— .— ,— ,— ,— 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17Fig. 20. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant с = —0.05
in comparison with LS method
obs 9 с = -0 .1 5 x = 1 .3 8 у = 20 x0 = 1.798 ... ...- ... 5 ... - ...- ... 31 --- --- --- i y = 20.028X - 9.243 4 ---29 --- *---i 3 ___________________________________ í _______i 27 ---« = 0 -735---*--- ---1 2 _______________________________ . ________________ j
У
i
‘
•
2 5--- 1 1 --- --- *--- *--- *• 2 3 --- --- í 0 . ---*---♦ / *♦ _л
._ 1
_____________________________________________ JO 2 1 ______________ •—/*—____________________________:
л
.*
«
♦ rav.
♦ v * ♦ —2 ---• --- ; g 1 9 --- --- i / - 3 --- —---j --- *--- , ío 1 7 ---í ---; __________________________________________ ; t r f » o 15 --- ,--- ,--- ,--- ,--- ,--- ,--- ,--- ,--- i - 5 -J— ,— , i ■ ■■ ,— y - ^ - , — r - , — r -, , ,— ,— i 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1 8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 B'- - - -—
- - - -- - -
S
*1
cr
i
Fig. 21. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant с = —0.15 |in comparison with LS method _.
3
obs 9 с = -0 .0 5 x = 1.48 у = 20 xQ = 4.900 a. ---— — --- --- --- re 31 ... - ... v... ; 5 i ... ... ...; о y = 2 0 . 7 5 9 x - 10.49 i 4 --- _ 29 - i --- ---, ---i = fT = 0.7483 . . J --- — a 2 7 --- ' у / --- j--- 2 --- , --- . --- --- ES 2 5 --- -- -S --- ! 1 --- 5--- *--- *--- — 3 2 3 ---1 0 — --- Щ--- *--- 1 2 1 ---5 ^ — --- i --- 5 ^---5--- o ♦ / • - 2 --- *--- В 1 9 --- --- :--- - 3 ---? . ---i--- - 4 --- --- : ^ 5 I ' I I I I ! 1 - 5 - ---- 1 I ---- !' ■ ■ I----1----1----r— l----1----1--- 1----1--- 1--- 1----1----: 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 1 7Fig. 22. Linear regression model and residues for disturbed variable у with disturbance constant с = —0.05