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A comment on prognostic factors in burns

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A comment on prognostic factors in burns

Ian Ewington

1,2

, Tomasz Torlinski

1

, Randeep K. Mullhi

1

1Department of Anaesthetics and Critical Care, West Midlands Burns Centre, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, United Kingdom

2Royal Centre for Defence Medicine, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham, United Kingdom

LETTERS TO THE EDITOR

Dear Editor,

We read the recent paper “Prognos- tic factors in patients with burns” [1]

by Zielinski et al. with great interest.

The article is very informative, in a con- cise and eloquent manner, allowing the reader to familiarise themselves with the plethora of prognostication models used worldwide in the as- sessment of burn patients. However, reading the paper we noticed that two aspects may require further consider- ation to provide the reader with a more comprehensive understanding of prog- nostication in burn patients.

The authors discussed in detail the impact of age and comorbidities but did not emphasise the impact of frailty on the outcome of burn injuries. In recent years, numerous studies have tried to address this issue, with promi- nent research coming from centres in the UK and US [2–4]. Ward et al. found The Frailty Score to be a much more sensitive predictor of one-year mor- tality than the modified Baux score.

Their recommendation, based on the results from the UK, was to either in- corporate frailty into the modified Baux score or use it independently to improve mortality predictions [2].

Northern American data presented by Romanowski et al. confirmed that patients with a higher frailty score not only had a lower chance of survival, but also had a significantly higher rate of discharge to specialised nurs- ing facilities [3]. Those findings were confirmed by Maxwell et al., who con- cluded that frailty was more predictive of outcome when compared to age in patients with thermal injuries [4].

In addition, the authors discussed several general prognostication mod-

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5114/ait.2021.103516

Anaesthesiol Intensive Ther 2021; 53, 1: 89–90 Received: 25.07.2020, accepted: 13.10.2020 els, namely Apache II, MODS, and

SOFA. We thought that for complete- ness the authors should have also dis- cussed some other prognostic mod- els, especially the Denver MOF score, because this is the main organ dys- function score used in the Glue Grant benchmarking model – the biggest project to date designed to determine and compare outcomes of critically ill burn patients in leading academic centres in the USA [5]. It is also worth noting the research published by Yoon et al., which did not find Sepsis-3 to be particularly useful in the detection of complications such as sepsis in burn patients. The suggestion was that the SOFA score is more appropriate in such circumstances [6, 7].

In summary, we would like to con- gratulate the authors on an excellent and informative review, although we believe the points mentioned in our letter could have been discussed by the authors to allow a more compre- hensive and complete picture.

Acknowledgements

1. Financial support and sponsorship:

none.

2. Conflicts of interest: none.

RefeRences

1. Zieliński M, Wróblewski P, Kozielski J. Prognostic factors in patients with burns. Anaesthesiol Intensive Ther 2020; 52: 330-335. doi: 10.5114/ait.2020.97497.

2. Ward J, Phillips G, Radotra I, et al. Frailty: an indepen- dent predictor of burns mortality following in-patient admission. Burns 2018; 44: 1895-1902. doi: 10.1016/

j.burns.2018.09.022.

3. Romanowski KS, Barsun A, Pamlieri TL, Green- halgh DG, Sen S. Frailty score on admission pre- dicts outcomes in elderly burn injury. J Burn Care Res 2015; 36: 1-6. doi: 10.1097/BCR.00000000000 00190.

4. Maxwell D, Rhee P, Drake M, Hodge J, Ingram W, Williams R. Development of the Burn Frailty Index:

a prognostication index for elderly patients sustain-

corresponding Author:

Dr. Randeep Kaur Mullhi, Department of Anaesthetics and Critical Care, West Midlands Burns Centre, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham,

University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Mindelsohn Way, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2GW, UK, e-mail: Randeep.Mullhi@uhb.nhs.uk

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90

Ian Ewington, Tomasz Torlinski, Randeep K. Mullhi

ing burn injuries. Am J Surg 2019; 218: 87-94. doi:

10.1016/j.amjsurg.2018.11.012.

5. Klein MB, Goverman J, Hayden DL, et al. Bench- marking outcomes in the critically injured burn patient. Ann Surg 2014; 259: 833-841. doi: 10.1097/

SLA.0000000000000438.

6. Kym D. 3 Comparative usefulness of Sepsis-3, burn sepsis, and conventional sepsis criteria in patients with major burns. J Burn Care Res 2019; 40 (Suppl 1):

S6. doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/jbcr/irz013.007.

7. Yoon J, Kym D, Hur J, et al. Comparative useful- ness of Sepsis-3, burn sepsis, and conventional sepsis criteria in patients with major burns. Crit Care Med 2018; 46: e656-e662. doi: 10.1097/CCM.

0000000000003144.

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