BRE Bank Securities Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
BRE Bank Securities Opracowanie cykliczne
5 października 2009
Rynek akcji
Analiza Techniczna
Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
Sesja z dnia: 2 października 2009 r.
Indeks Otwarcie Maksimum Minimum Zamknięcie Zmiana DJIA 9 507,62 9 524,78 9 430,08 9 487,67 -0,23%
S&P 500 1 029,71 1 030,60 1 019,95 1 025,21 -0,45%
NASDAQ 2 040,84 2 064,15 2 040,73 2 048,11 -0,46%
DAX 5 532,65 5 536,63 5 442,32 5 467,90 -1,56%
CAC 40 3 695,47 3 698,79 3 627,40 3 649,90 -1,90%
FTSE 100 5 047,81 5 047,81 4 954,98 4 988,70 -1,17%
WIG20 2 188,33 2 195,98 2 144,13 2 144,13 -4,95%
BUX 19 903,68 20 040,07 19 677,43 19 956,28 -1,78%
PX 1 143,70 1 143,70 1 109,00 1 115,90 -3,21%
RTS1 1 885,72 1 885,72 1 775,28 1 831,00 -3,20%
SOFIX 476,18 476,18 459,63 468,97 -1,51%
BET10 4 311,73 4 311,73 4 111,30 4 123,80 -4,36%
XU100 47 258,29 47 403,63 46 169,41 46 856,94 -1,98%
BETELES 137,68 137,68 136,09 136,31 -1,28%
NIKKEI 9 848,07 9 852,17 9 714,18 9 731,87 -2,47%
SHCOMP 2 779,43 2 779,43 2 779,43 2 779,43 0,00%
Miedź 5 990,00 5 990,00 5 810,00 5 879,00 -1,77%
Ropa 68,02 68,20 66,23 67,14 -1,37%
PLN/USD 2,9236 2,9570 2,8833 2,9004 -0,79%
PLN/EUR 4,2524 4,2956 4,2176 4,2275 -0,59%
EUR/USD 1,4545 1,4648 1,4481 1,4576 0,21%
USBonds10 3,1787 3,2297 3,1044 3,2188 1,25%
GRBonds10 3,1400 3,1600 3,0930 3,1220 -1,11%
PLBonds10 6,2360 6,2520 6,2240 6,2410 0,08%
Źródło: Bloomberg
BRE Bank Securities Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
22 29 6
July
13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 8
September
14 21 28 5
October 15000
x100000
Volume (1,143,578,496)
0 50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (13.2859)
900 950 1000 1050 S&P500 (1,029.71, 1,030.60, 1,019.95, 1,025.21, -4.6400)
September November 2009 February April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (6.6692, 8.5646, -1.8954) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (18.0911)
650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 S&P500 (1,029.71, 1,030.60, 1,019.95, 1,025.21, -4.6400) 1200
NASDAQ
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (6.9910, 8.7401, -1.7491) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (16.6146)
1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 NSDQCOMP (2,040.84, 2,064.15, 2,040.73, 2,048.11, -9.3699) 2200
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (5.8097, 7.8709, -2.0612) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (11.2664)
6500 7000 7500 8000 8500 9000 9500 10000 10500 11000 DJIA (9,507.62, 9,524.78, 9,430.08, 9,487.67, -21.6104)
DJIA
22 29 6
July
13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 8
September
14 21 28 5
October 10000
x100000
Volume (707,776,768)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (14.9100)
1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 NSDQCOMP (2,040.84, 2,064.15, 2,040.73, 2,048.11, -9.3699) 2200
22 29 6
July
13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 8
September
14 21 28 5
October 30000
x10000
Volume (219,747,536)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (4.1612)
8000 8500 9000 9500 10000 DJIA (9,507.62, 9,524.78, 9,430.08, 9,487.67, -21.6104)
S&P 500
BRE Bank Securities Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
FTSE 100 DAX
CAC 40
November 2009 February March April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (6.8699, 9.0363, -2.1664) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (26.7928)
3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 DAX (5,532.65, 5,536.63, 5,442.32, 5,467.90, -86.6499)
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 15000 x10000 Volume (162,131,840)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (13.1462)
4500 4600 4700 4800 4900 5000 5100 5200 5300 5400 5500 5600 5700 DAX (5,532.65, 5,536.63, 5,442.32, 5,467.90, -86.6499) 5800
November 2009 February March April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (9.7122, 11.7493, -2.0371) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (19.6850)
2500 3000 3500 4000 CAC40 (3,695.47, 3,698.79, 3,627.40, 3,649.90, -70.8701)
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 20000
x10000
Volume (193,061,472)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (12.8131)
2900 3000 3100 3200 3300 3400 3500 3600 3700 3800 CAC40 (3,695.47, 3,698.79, 3,627.40, 3,649.90, -70.8701) 3900
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 1 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 15000 x100000 Volume (1,336,011,392)
0 50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (6.1919)
4100 4200 4300 4400 4500 4600 4700 4800 4900 5000 5100 FTSE100 (5,047.81, 5,047.81, 4,954.98, 4,988.70, -59.1099) 5200
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (10.0931, 11.4937, -1.4006) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (16.6638)
3400 3500 3600 3700 3800 3900 4000 4100 4200 4300 4400 4500 4600 4700 4800 4900 5000 51005200 FTSE100 (5,047.81, 5,047.81, 4,954.98, 4,988.70, -59.1099) 5300
BRE Bank Securities Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
PX
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (6.1582, 8.4447, -2.2865) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (34.9190)
1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 WIG20 (2,188.33, 2,195.98, 2,144.13, 2,144.13, -111.550) 2500
WIG 20
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 10000 x10000 Volume (45,999,468)
0 50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (21.4152)
1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250 2300 2350 WIG20 (2,188.33, 2,195.98, 2,144.13, 2,144.13, -111.550)
BUX
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (17.9247, 19.7267, -1.8019) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (5.5933)
9000 10000 11000 12000 13000 14000 15000 16000 17000 18000 19000 20000 21000 22000 BUX (19,903.68, 20,040.07, 19,677.43, 19,956.28, -360.760)
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 10000 x1000 Volume (6,978,246)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (5.0938)
14000 14500 15000 15500 16000 16500 17000 17500 18000 18500 19000 19500 20000 20500 21000 BUX (19,903.68, 20,040.07, 19,677.43, 19,956.28, -360.760)
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (9.6394, 13.7274, -4.0880) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (16.9787)
600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 PX50 (1,143.70, 1,143.70, 1,109.00, 1,115.90, -37.0000) 1300
22 29
July
7 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 29 5
October 50000 x100 Volume (3,771,880)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (34.4422)
850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 PX50 (1,143.70, 1,143.70, 1,109.00, 1,115.90, -37.0000) 1200
BRE Bank Securities Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 10000 30000 x1000 Volume (0)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (3.0205)
3200 3300 3400 3500 3600 3700 3800 3900 4000 4100 4200 4300 4400 BET10 (4,311.73, 4,311.73, 4,111.30, 4,123.80, -187.930) 4500
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
0 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (11.0110, 14.9855, -3.9746)
Oscylator srednioterminowy (11.1731) 50
2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 BET10 (4,311.73, 4,311.73, 4,111.30, 4,123.80, -187.930) 4500
RTX SOFIX
BET10
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 23 28 5
October 50000 x10 Volume (0)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (4.6666)
350 400 450 500 SOFIX (476.180, 476.180, 459.630, 468.970, -7.2100)
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
0 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (24.5947, 27.1713, -2.5766)
Oscylator srednioterminowy (2.9771) 50
300 400 500 600 700 800 900 SOFIX (476.180, 476.180, 459.630, 468.970, -7.2100)
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (19.8316, 18.9003, 0.9314) 0
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (27.1670)
1000 1500 2000 RTS (1,885.72, 1,885.72, 1,775.28, 1,831.00, -60.5699)
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 9999 19999 x10000000 Volume (109,008,003,072)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (17.5796)
1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 RTS (1,885.72, 1,885.72, 1,775.28, 1,831.00, -60.5699)
BRE Bank Securities Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
15 22 29
July
6 16 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 24 5
October 20000 x100000 Volume (1,652,055,552)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (16.1744)
9200 9300 9400 9500 9600 9700 9800 9900 10000 10100 10200 10300 10400 10500 10600 10700 10800 NIKKEI (9,848.07, 9,852.17, 9,714.18, 9,731.87, -246.770)
Sep Oct Nov Dec 2009 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Wskaznik srednioterminowy (0.8598, 3.5201, -2.6602) 0 Oscylator srednioterminowy (8.4649) 50
7000 7500 8000 8500 9000 9500 10000 10500 11000 11500 12000 12500 NIKKEI (9,848.07, 9,852.17, 9,714.18, 9,731.87, -246.770)
SHCOMP
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
0 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (-9.0857, -6.8811, -2.2046)
Oscylator srednioterminowy (4.6607) 50
2000 2500 3000 SHCOMP (2,772.57, 2,803.86, 2,763.71, 2,779.43, +24.8899) 3500
ISE 100
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 10000 20000 x1000000 Volume (0)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (17.4755)
2600 2700 2800 2900 3000 3100 3200 3300 3400 SHCOMP (2,772.57, 2,803.86, 2,763.71, 2,779.43, +24.8899) 3500
NIKKEI
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
0 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (14.0785, 15.9603, -1.8818)
Oscylator srednioterminowy (39.5683) 50
20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 50000 XU100 (47,258.29, 47,403.63, 46,169.41, 46,856.94, -947.449)
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 23 28 5
October 10000 x100000 Volume (545,560,064)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (0.00)
35000 40000 45000 50000 XU100 (47,258.29, 47,403.63, 46,169.41, 46,856.94, -947.449)
BRE Bank Securities Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 1 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 10000 30000 Volume (0)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (45.8184)
5000 5500 6000 6500 Miedz (5,990.00, 5,990.00, 5,810.00, 5,879.00, -106.000)
September November 2009 February March April May June July August September
0 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (5.3160, 10.9486, -5.6326)
Oscylator srednioterminowy (25.5525) 50
3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 Miedz (5,990.00, 5,990.00, 5,810.00, 5,879.00, -106.000)
ROPA
November 2009 February March April May June July August September
0 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (-3.0312, 0.2062, -3.2374)
Oscylator srednioterminowy (56.4839) 50
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 Ropa (68.0200, 68.2000, 66.2300, 67.1400, -0.9300) 85
November 2009 February March April May June July August September
-10 0 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (7.3721, 9.4490, -2.0768) 10
Oscylator srednioterminowy (12.5855) 50
110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 BETELES (137.680, 137.680, 136.090, 136.310, -1.7700)
BETELES
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October Volume (0) 0
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (91.5826)
60 65 70 75 Ropa (68.0200, 68.2000, 66.2300, 67.1400, -0.9300)
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 50000 x10000 Volume (337,047,296)
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (0.00)
115 120 125 130 135 140 BETELES (137.680, 137.680, 136.090, 136.310, -1.7700)
MIEDŹ
BRE Bank Securities Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October Volume (0) 0
0 50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (55.0517)
4.05 4.10 4.15 4.20 4.25 4.30 4.35 4.40 4.45 4.50 4.55 _EUR_PLN (4.25240, 4.29560, 4.21760, 4.22750, -0.02520)
November 2009 February March April May June July August September
0 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (0.6409, -1.4151, 2.0560) 10
Oscylator srednioterminowy (79.3789) 50
3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 _EUR_PLN (4.2524, 4.2956, 4.2176, 4.2275, -0.0252) 5.0
EUR/USD
November 2009 February March April May June July August September
0 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (2.9286, 2.9686, -0.0399)
50 Oscylator srednioterminowy (5.9138)
1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.45 _EUR_USD (1.45450, 1.46480, 1.44810, 1.45760, +0.00310)
November 2009 February March April May June July August September
0 10 Wskaznik srednioterminowy (-2.1311, -4.2215, 2.0904) 20
Oscylator srednioterminowy (86.8267) 50
2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 _USD_PLN (2.9236, 2.9570, 2.8833, 2.9004, -0.0232)
USD/PLN
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 0 Volume (0)
0 50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (26.4504)
1.38 1.39 1.40 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.46 1.47 1.48 1.49 _EUR_USD (1.45450, 1.46480, 1.44810, 1.45760, +0.00310)
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October Volume (0) 0
50 Oscylator krotkoterminowy (42.0151)
2.75 2.80 2.85 2.90 2.95 3.00 3.05 3.10 3.15 3.20 3.25 3.30 _USD_PLN (2.92360, 2.95700, 2.88330, 2.90040, -0.02320)
EUR/PLN
BRE Bank Securities Przegląd z Rynków Zagranicznych
Rentowność 10-letnich obligacji polskich Rentowność 10-letnich obligacji amerykańskich
Rentowność 10-letnich obligacji niemieckich
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 3.05 3.10 3.15 3.20 3.25 3.30 3.35 3.40 3.45 3.50 3.55 3.60 3.65 3.70 3.75 3.80 3.85 3.90 USBonds10 (3.18000, 3.23000, 3.10000, 3.22000, +0.04000)
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 5.95 6.00 6.05 6.10 6.15 6.20 6.25 6.30 6.35 6.40 6.45 PLBonds10 (6.24000, 6.25000, 6.22000, 6.24000, +0.00000)
22 29
July
6 13 20 27 3
August
10 17 24 31 7
September
14 21 28 5
October 3.10 3.15 3.20 3.25 3.30 3.35 3.40 3.45 3.50 GRBonds10 (3.14000, 3.16000, 3.09000, 3.12000, -0.04000)
2005 F M A M J J A S O N D 2007 M A M J J A S O N D 2008 M A M J J A S O N D 2009 A M J J A S O 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 USBonds10 (3.1800, 3.2300, 3.1000, 3.2200, +0.0400)
2005 F M A M J J A S O N D 2007 M A M J J A S O N D 2008 M A M J J A S O N D 2009 M A M J J A S O 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 GRBonds10 (3.1400, 3.1600, 3.0900, 3.1200, -0.0400) 4.9
2005 F M A M J J A S O N D 2007 M A M J J A S O N D 2008 M A M J J A S O N D 2009 M A M J J A S O 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 PLBonds10 (6.2400, 6.2500, 6.2200, 6.2400, +0.0000)