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Using land subsidence observations for groundwater model calibration

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Delft University of Technology

Using land subsidence observations for groundwater model calibration

Tufekci, Nesrin; Schoups, Gerrit; Al Faitouri, Mohamed; Mahapatra, Pooja; van de Giesen, Nick; Hanssen, Ramon

Publication date 2017

Document Version Final published version

Citation (APA)

Tufekci, N., Schoups, G., Al Faitouri, M., Mahapatra, P., van de Giesen, N., & Hanssen, R. (2017). Using land subsidence observations for groundwater model calibration. Abstract from EGU General Assembly 2017, Vienna, Austria.

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Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 19, EGU2017-6380-1, 2017 EGU General Assembly 2017

© Author(s) 2017. CC Attribution 3.0 License.

Using land subsidence observations for groundwater model calibration

Nesrin Tufekci (1), Gerrit Schoups (1), Mohamed Al Faitouri (2), Pooja Mahapatra (3), Nick van de Giesen (1), and Ramon Hanssen (3)

(1) Delft University of Technology, Water Resources Management, Delft, Netherlands (n.tufekci@tudelft.nl), (2) Department of Earth Sciences, Faculty of Sciences, Benghazi University, Benghazi, Libya, (3) Delft University of Technology, Department of Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Delft, Netherlands

PS-InSAR derived subsidence and groundwater level time series are used to calibrate a groundwater model of Tazerbo well field, Libya, by estimating spatially varying elastic skeletal storage (Sske) and hydraulic conductivity (Hk) of the model area. Tazerbo well field is a part of the Great Man-Made River Project (GMMRP) designed with 108 wells and total pumping rate of 1 million m3/day. The water is pumped from the deep sandstone aquifer (Nubian sandstone), which is overlaid by a thick mudstone-siltstone aquitard. Pumping related deformation pat-terns around Tazerbo well field are obtained by processing 20 descending Envisat scenes for the period between 2004 and 2010, which yield a concentrated deformation around the well field with the maximum deformation rate around 4 mm/yr. The trends of time series of groundwater head and subsidence are in good agreement for observa-tion wells located in the vicinity of the pumping wells and the pattern of subsidence correlates with the locaobserva-tions of active wells. At the beginning of calibration, different pairs of Sske and Hk are assigned at observation well locations by trial and error so that the simulation results of the forward model would approximate heads and mean linear deformation velocity at these locations. Accordingly, the estimated initial parameters suggest relatively con-stant Hk(5 m/d) and increasing Sskefrom south to north (1x10−6 m−1 – 5x10−6 m−1). In order to refine their spatial distribution, representative values of Sskeand Hkare assigned at 25 equidistant points over the area, which are restricted by the predetermined values. To calibrate the parameters at assigned locations UCODE is used along with MATLAB. Once the convergence is achieved the estimated parameter values at these locations are held con-stant and new “in between – equidicon-stant” locations are determined to estimate Sskeand Hk in order to spatially refine their distribution. This approach is followed until the relation between observed and simulated results can-not be improved anymore. The final results, show good relation in the areas close to well sites, while difference between simulated and observed values increases towards the southeast boundary of PS-InSAR observations. This divergence can be explained by i) the uncertainty in the parameters at the southeast part of the model area, due to lack of deformation observations, ii) Sskemay have been underestimated at the locations with thin aquifer and thick aquitard material.

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