Proceedings of the Second World Congress on Safety of Transportation, Delft, 18-20 February 1998, ISBN: 90-407-1852-0, Delft University Press, The Netherlands (summary)

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Second World Congress on

Safety of ^

Transportation

18-20 February 1998

Prof. S. Hengst

ProfVfeSmit

DrrXATStoop^

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Second World Congress on

Safety of Transportation

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Second World Congress on

Safety of Transportation

18-20 February 1998 Proceedings

Imbalance between Growth and Safety?

Edited by:

S. Hengst

K. Smit

J.A. Stoop

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Published atid distributed by: D e l f t University Press Postbus 98 2600 M G D e l f t T h e Netherlands Telephone: + 3 1 15 2783254 Telefax: + 3 1 15 2781661 E - m a i l : D U P @ D U P . T U D e l f t . N L I S B N 90-407-1852-0 / C I P

A l l rights reserved. N o part o f the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized i n any f o r m or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage and retrieval system, w i t h o u t w r i t t e n permission f r o m the publisher: D e l f t University Press.

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Organisational Committees and Sponsors

C o m m i t t e e o f R e c o m m e n d a t i o n

N e i l K i n n o c k , European Connnissioner f o r Transport and Transeuropean NeUvorks Annemarie Jorritsnia, Minister o f Transport, Public Works and Water Management, T h e Netherlands

Pieter van Vollenhoven, Chairman o f I T S A and member o f the D u t c h R o y a l House Karel Wakker, Rector Magnificus D e l f t University o f Technology

Piet Akkennans, Rector Magnificus Erasmus University I^^ottcrdam

H u u b van Engclshovcn, President R o y a l Institution o f Engineers i n T h e Netherlands

O r g a n i z i n g C o m m i t t e e

Sjoerd Hengst, Professor at D e l f t University o f Technology, Chainnan o f the Organizing Committee

John Stoop, D e l f t University o f Technology', Secretary' o f the Organizing Committee Hercules Haralambidcs, Professor at Erasmus U n i v e n i t y Rotterdam

Cees Heijster, Secretary ITSA

Richard van der Horst, T N O H u m a n Factors Research Institute

A n d r é Loos, T R A I L Research School f o r Transport, Infrastructure and Logistics Kla.is Smit, Professor at D e l f t University o f Technology

International S c i e n t i f l c P r o g r a m m e C o m m i t t e e

Klaas Smit, D e l f t University o f Technology (Chainnan) James Mac Gillavry, D e l f t University o f Technology (Secretary)

A r i A;ilbcrs, D e l f t University of Technology Piet Bovy, D e l f t University of Technology Thomas D e g r é , I N R E T S

Jens Froese, Institute o f Ship Operation, Seatransport and Simulation Cees Glansdorp, Marine Analytics

Roger Goodall, Loughborough University

Sjalom Hakkert, Technion - Israel Institute o f Technology Hercules Haralambidcs, Erasmus University R o t t e r d a m R o b van der H e i j d e n , D e l f t University o f Technology Bandi H o r v a t , D e l f t University o f Technology

Christcr H y d c n , L u n d Institute o f Technology, L u n d University Jan de Kroes, Retired professor at D e l f t University o f Technology

Paul Martens, Belgian National Railway Company Jan Moraal, Eindhoven University o f Technology

H e n k Stassen, D e l f t University o f Technology Barry Swecdler, National Transportation Safety Board Jaap dc W i t , Directorate-General o f C i v i l Aviation

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vi

S u p p o r t i n g O r g a n i z a t i o n s

European Transport Safety C o u n c i l E T S C

Parlementary Advisory C o u n c i l on Transportation Safety P A C T S Deutsche Verkehrssichcrheits Rat D V R

Roy;d Institution o f Engineers i n the Netherlands K I V I Joint Aviation A u t h o r i t y J A A

European Railroad Research Institute E R R I French Institute o f Navigation

International Federation o f Airline POots Associations I F A L P A Federation o f European Victims on the R o a d F E V R

Sponsorship

T h e congress has been made possible by the financial support of: (in alphabetical order)

Amsterdam A i r p o r t Schiphol European Commission

Ministry o f Transport, Public Works and Water Management, the Netherlands Netherlands Railways Port o f Rotterdam HomoeiJ O i s t e r w i j k K o n i n k l i j k e N e d l l o y d N . V . Sniit International Guarantors D e l f t University o f Technology T N O Erasmus F o r u m Congress O r g a n i s a t i o n Erasmus F o m m P O B o x 1738 3000 D R R o t t e r d a m T h e Netherlands Tel: +31 10 4082302 Fax: + 3 1 10 4530784 E-mail: K . E . Luijcndijk@forum.svdu.eur.nl

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Amsterdam Airport Schiphol

1! i n n n ü

mill!!

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EUROPEAN COMMISSION

DIRECTORATE-GENERAL VII TRANSPORT

Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat

Nederlandse Spoorwegen

Port of

Rotterdam

R o t t e r d a m M u n i c i p a l P o r t M a n a g e m e n t

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ix

Session 1: Context and Policy

Parallel Session

A v i a t i o n

Chairman: P. Jorna, National Aerospace Laboratory

A i r Transport Safety: A n Emperical M o d e l , O . Bctancor 57 N e w Approaches i n Aviation Safety Oversight, F. Janvier 64 A European Organisation f o r Aviation Safety', K. Koplin 73 A Discontinuity i n the T r e n d o f Safety in C i v i l Aviation, W. Korenromp 84

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X

S h i p p i n g

Chainnan: H . Haralanibides, Erasmus Uniivrsily Rotterdam, Tlie Netherlands

A n Integration o f Economic and Safety Policy, G. Nieuwpoort 90 Integrated Managcmentsystcm in Shipping, G.H. Dooriiink and F. Kamman 97

Ships, Safe and Sure, J J . Wcslerbeek 104 Can Pilotage Performed i n C o m p e t i t i o n Provide a Safe Enviromnent f o r

the Shipping Industry, R. uan Goosu'illigen 108

Railroads

Chairman: J. dc Kroes, Delft Uniuersity of Technology, The Netherlands

Methods o f Calculation o f Risks at Marshalling Yards and O p e n Track

D u e to the Rail Transport o f Hazardous Goods, C . N . Smit 118 Investigation o f Railway-Incidents w i t h S A M O S : A Reactive T o o l f o r

Proactive Safety Improvement, J . P J . Hendriks 124

R o a d s

Chairman: R . van der Horst, TNO Human Factors Research Institute, The Netherlands

The R o l e o f N G O i n the Process o f Road Safety Improvement i n Poland, I. Battler and R. Krystek

Rewards to Stimulate Safety Belt Use: A n O v e r v i e w o f Research Findings, M.P. Hagcnzickcr

I m p r o v i n g the Fate o f R o a d Traffic Victims, M. Hacgi

A Risk-Based Analysis M e t h o d to Assess the External and Internal Safety in Infrastructure Projects i n the Netherlands, M.M. Kniiskamp and B.A. van den Horn

135

143 151

155

Pipelines

Chairman: R . van der H e i j d e n , Delft University of Technology, Tlie Netherlands

Development i n Pipchne Integrity Management at the N V Nederlandse Gasunie, The Netherlands, P. Rietjcns, A. Pijnacker Hordijk and R. Kornalijnslijper

The Transportation o f Dangerous Goods: A n Industry Penpectivc, H. Standaar

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x i

Session 2: Modality and Nationality

Plenary Keynotes

A n Industrial V i e w o n M a j o r Issues R e l a t e d to Safety

Safety Improvement by Cooperation, C. Bcsselink 189 A n Industrial V i e w o n Shipping and Safety, P. Stniijs 193 Railroad Safety Management and the Re-Engineering o f European

Railway Transport: A Welcome Challenge, H.-P. Hadorn 200

Remarks o n General Safety, J . Hall 204 T h e Appraisal o f Safety i n the Channel T u n n e l , A.VV. Evans 210

A v i a t i o n

Chaimian: T . van H o l t e n , Delft University of Technology, Tlie Netherlands

A Multi-Static Doppler Weather Radar to Measure Severe Weather, J J. van Gorp and L.P. Ligthan

Risky Carrier Identification, a Step i n Aviation Safety Improvement, T. Kwikkers and IV. Ovaa

S h i p p i n g

Chaimian: A . Aalbers, Delft University of Technology, Tlie Netherlands

Evacuation fi-om Ships: Account f o r Ship M o t i o n , L.C. Boer and W. Bles 231 Experience w i t h die Usage o f "Large Scale E C D I S " , P.A. Kluytenaar,

K. Gevers, P. Meyer and J.L. Meyer 237

R a i l r o a d s

Chairman: R . H o u b e n , Mmistry of Transport, Public Works and Water Adanagement, The Netherlands

Transport Safety, Public Safety and Public Transport, E. de Boer 245 H i g h Speed Trains and Safety i n the Nctlieriands, P. van der Torn, P. Dekker

and T. van der Velden 252

R o a d s

C h a i m i a n : J. Pauwelussen, TNO Vehicle Dynamics, Tlie Netherlands

220

226

T h e Ergonomics o f Traffic Signs, RJ.A. Rozestratcn and R. Alves dos Santos L o w - C o s t Safety Improvements at Freeway Discontinuities, T. Dijker,

BJ. Boekholt and P.H.L. Bovy

258

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U n d e r g r o u n d

Chaimian: B . Horvat, Delft Uiiirersity of Tecliiiology, Tlie Nellierlaiuh

Safety Considerations f o r Road Tunnels, J.F.A-f. IVessels 272 Safety o f Underground Public Transport, E. Weiiisteiii 276

U s e r s / O p e r a t o r s

Chaimian: J.P. Kahan, RAND Europe, Tlie Netherlands

Measuring Extern,il Safety at Schiphol, L . van Dorp, J.P. Kalian and J.A. Sloop

Downsizing Power and Speed, the Safe l^.oad to Fuel Economy, R o a d Safety and Sustainability, M. Kroon

Manufacturers

Chairman: J. Froese, Institute of Ship Operation, Seatransport and Simulation, Germany

Safety and Commercial Realities i n an Avionics Apphcation, E. Kesseler

and E. van dc Sluis 294 Rescue Vessels: T h e Influence o f Design f o r Safety o n the Design Process,

C. Gain, R. Binniiigliam, P. Sen and R.M. Cripps 305 Technical Design and Implementation o f a N e w Transport Concept:

C o m b i - R o a d , S. T.H. Jansen and A. W. Benschop 315

Institutional B o d i e s

Chairman: W . Thissen, Delft University of Technology, Tlie Netherlands

Safety as an Industrial Issue, A. van Poortvliet

Safety Certificate f o r Rail Transport Companies, H.G.D. Gramer Safety o f Transportation: Regulation and Safety, R . Lopez

S o c i a l G r o u p s a n d B o a r d s

Chairman: P . H . L . Bovy, Delft University of Technology, Tlie Netherlands

R i s k Management f o r the Transport o f Hazardous Substances, H. van Zwol 348 To I m p r o v e Safety per U n i t Distance o f M o b i h t y is to Increase M o b i H t y

per Head o f Population, GJ.S. Wilde 356 Amsterdam-Paris H i g h Speed Rail Link, RJ. Houben 363

279

284

325 332 344

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Session 3: Round Table Presentations

M a r i r i m e Safety

Chairman P. Struijs, Port of Rotterdam, The Netherlands

W . Hiibncr, Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development H . Walenkamp, Smit International

M . M u r t a u g h , VS National Transportation Safety Board H . Hanekamp, Port of Rotterdam

A v i a t i o n Safety

Chairman C. Besselink, Amsterdam Airport, Tlie Netherlands

S. Matthews, Flight Safety Foundation U.SA. H . Biisacker, Federal Ministry of Transport, Germany V. Agiiado, International Civil Aviation Organisation

R . Teymurasov, Chainnan Air Transport Accident Investigation Committee, Gommonweahh of Independent States

R . Schlccde, US National Transportation Safety Board G . van Heuvel tot Westervlier, KLA4 Cargo

R a i l r o a d s

Chairman G. Koppenberg, Netherlands Railways, The Netherlands

H . -P. H a d o m , Schwcitscrisclier Biindesbahn

R . Taylor, Rail track Safety and Standards Directorate U.K. E. Weinstein, US National Transportation Safety Board

R o a d T e l e m a t i c s

Chairman: K . Brookhuis, University of Groningen, 77i(' Netherlands

Teletnatics for Slow Travellers' Safety, P.H.L. Bovy and H. Botma Variable Speed Influencing: T h e Solution?, J . H . M Dicpens,

J.A.M. Hinkciikemper, E.G. Oostenbrink and B. Bach A Simulator Study on Adaptive Cmisc C o n t r o l Systems and the

Implications for Traffic Safety, M. Hoedemaeker, M. Wiethoff, J.H.T.H. Andriessen and P.C. van Wolffelaar

Safety Impacts o f Transport Telematics i n R o a d Traffic. A n exploration o f certainties and uncertainties, R. van der Heijden and V. Marcliau Traffic Flow Systems and Safety Analysis o f Longitudinal D r i v e r Support

Systems near a Freeway O n - R a m p Site, M.M. Minderhoud Legal Aspects o f vehicle Safety and Advanced Vehicle C o n t r o l Systems,

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xiv

R o a d safety in D e v e l o p i n g C o u n t r i e s and Sustainable R o a d D e s i g n

Chainnen: J. Moraal, Eindlioi'cn University of Teclmology, Tlie Netherlands H . Godthclp, TNO Human Factors Research Institute, llie Netherlands

R o a d Safety Problems and Traffic Accident Trends i n Nigeria,

G.N. Omaitge and CO. Ofocgbu 438 Speed C o n t r o l Project N 2 1 6 , L . Fortiiijn 448 Traffic Flow Characteristics d u r i n g Recurrent Events o n Freeways,

A. Polus and H. Schtvartzman 457 Sustainable Safety Focusses o n Spatial Planning, A. Walraad and M. Storm 463

Sustainable Safety on R u r a l I^oads, W. van der Wijk 470 Relationships beCwecn R o a d Aesthetics, D r i v i n g Speed and Safety

Evaluation, L . Zakotvska 479

Session 4: Research Methods and Common Agenda

Plenary Keynotes

O n F e e d b a c k a n d F e e d f o r w a r d L o o p s

R o a d Safety, P. Coriielissen 489 Confidential Incident R e p o r t i n g Systems, B. Bakker 494

T h e Estonia Accident: A Tragic O u t c o m e o f not M a k i n g a Pro-Active

Approach, A.-L. Eksborg 507 FUght Safety i n the CIS Countries, T.G. Aiiodina 510

F e e d b a c k F e e d f o r w a r d L o o p s

Chainnan: A . Evans, University Gollege London, U.K.

Attention to Safety i n the Decision M a k i n g o n Transport Infrastructure, J.F.M. Koppeiijan

Explicating Feedback and Feedforward Loops through the C o n d u c t o f Safety Studies, V.S. Ellingstad

B u i l d i n g Partnerships

Chairman: B . M . Sweedler, National Transportation Safety Board, U.S.A.

T h e Expert System for the Regional and Local Staff Implementing the R o a d Safety Improvement Programme i n Poland, L . Miclialski, K.Jamroz and R. Krystek

M a k i n g the Safety Scales W o r k , H.H. Siicl

516

526

530 538

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XV

B u i l d i n g Partnerships, Creating Support for Recommendations,

B.M. Sweedler 542

K n o w l e d g e Infrastructure

Chainnan: C. H y d é n , Lund Inslitue of Technology, Sweden

Self Surveillance and Other Tools for Safe D r i v i n g , J . L . de Kroes 548 Single Accident Investigation in Road Traffic, J . / l . Stoop, J.P. Kalian

and L. van Doq> 552 The Applicability o f the Aircraft's "Black B o x " to other Modes o f

Transport, K. Johnson and M. Poole 561

F u t u r e T r e n d s and T e c h n o l o g y

Chairman: R . Goodall, Loughborough University, U.K.

Central Advice System for Fleet Management and Operations, L . Dt' Cocn,

B.D. Netten and R.A. Vingerliocds 566 Accident Frequencies and Causes w i t h i n Transportation Corridors:

Balance or Imbalance?, N. Rosmuller and J. Willems 511 Safety and Availability w i t h i n C o m b i - R o a d , J.P.C. van Gennip,

A.W. Benschop, P. Gost, F J. Melchcrts, J .A. Stoop

and F.A. van Veenendaal 588

Plenary C l o s i n g Session

Chairman: P. Cornelisscn, Rapporteur on Road Safety to the European Parliament

Participators:

Steven de Vogel, Editor-in-Chitf Dutch Television Eric Nalder, Gliief Investigative Reporter

Jan D i r k Blaauw, Member of the Dutch Parliament

Marcel Haegi, Ghairman European Federation of Road Traffic Victims Lcnnart B e r g l i m d , Gliairman Estonia Foundation

C o n c l u d i n g R e m a r k s o f the Congress

K. Smit 603

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Proceedings of the Second World Congress on Safety of Transportation, Delft, 18-20 February 1998, ISBN: 90-407-1852-0, Delft University Press, The Netherlands (summary)

Second World Congress on

Safety of ^

Transportation

18-20 February 1998

Prof. S. Hengst

ProfVfeSmit

DrrXATStoop^

Second World Congress on

Safety of Transportation

Second World Congress on

Safety of Transportation

18-20 February 1998 Proceedings

Imbalance between Growth and Safety?

Edited by:

S. Hengst

K. Smit

J.A. Stoop

Organisational Committees and Sponsors

Amsterdam Airport Schiphol

1! i n n n ü

mill!!

•(r ir

EUROPEAN COMMISSION

DIRECTORATE-GENERAL VII TRANSPORT

Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat

Nederlandse Spoorwegen

Port of

Rotterdam

Contents

Session 1: Context and Policy

Session 2: Modality and Nationality

Session 3: Round Table Presentations

Session 4: Research Methods and Common Agenda