1
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
Cooperative Vehicle Automation: the soft
sides and the hard constraints
Prof Dr Bart van Arem
Director TU Delft Transport Institute
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints
Dutch society and economy depend on
transport
Port of Rotterdam
Schiphol airport
Dense road network
3
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
Rijnwoude 1998
AGVs Port of
Rotterdam 1993
Parkshuttle Rivium,
1999
IEEE IV 2008, Eindhoven
Grand cooperative driving
challenge, Helmond 2011
Innovation relay 2013
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints
Self driving cars can improve
traffic efficiency and safety
Netherlands to facilitate large
scale testing of self driving
vehicles
Dutch minister of
Infrastructure & Environment
5
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints
7
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
Wilmink and Schuurman (2014)
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints
Cooperative
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9
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
Milanes et al, 2104
11
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints
Potential impacts on traffic
Prevent traffic jams
by better stability
Solve traffic jams by
increased outflow
Better distribution of
traffic over network
Less congestion
delay
Decreased
throughput by larger
headways
Decreased stability
by lack of anticipation
Increased risk of
congestion
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13
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
A20: bottleneck motorway, no
more space to expand
3+2 cross weaving
Short on-ramp
How can AVs relieve
congestion here?
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints
Implications of automated driving
(Milakis, van Arem, & van Wee, 2015; work in progress)
15
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints
Development of automated vehicles in the Netherlands:
scenarios for 2030 and 2050
(Milakis, Schnelder, van Arem, van Wee, & Correia, 2015; work in progress)
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Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints
Implications of AVs for National
Transport Model
•
Updated every 2 year to identify main transport problems
•
Used to support major transport infrastructure decisions
•
Typical horizon 20 years
•
What if AVs could deliver substantial capacity improvement in 20
years?
•
Approach
•
Literature study on potential roadway capaciities and value of time
•
Sensitivity analyses
•
Research plan
19
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015
Trajectory predication
Cooperative control
Traffic management
Driver monitoring
Failure modes
Weather conditions
Energy
Cost
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints
The soft sides and hard
constraints
Cooperative technology leverages automation
Real congestion bottlenecks are major
challenges
Societal and economic implications potentially
large
21
Challenge the future
Cooperative Vehicle Automation- the soft sides and hard constraints DITCM symposium Smart Mobility on the Road, Helmond, 30 March 2015