ECOLOGY SCORECARD: RWS ADDENDUM
SUMMARY SCORECARD: NOMINAL CASES
I t e m A l t e r n a t i v e s Closed Case SSB Case Open Case P r e s e n t O o s t e r s c h e l d e F i n a n c i a l Costs (DFL m i l l i o n ) : r u c t i o n c o s t from Jan. 1 , 1976 a l maintenance and o p e r a t i o n s y e a r e x p e n d i t u r e s S e c u r i t y nd f l o o d e d (ha) i n 1/4000 orm, L ( 9 0 )a c h n i c a l u n c e r t a i n t y s i t i o n p e r i o d expected damage: nd f l o o d e d (ha) lue o f r e a l p r o p e r t y f l o o d e d FL m i l l i o n ) mber o f people a t r i s k E c o l o g y s i e n t s : .pid k i l l o f b e n t h i c biomass ons afdw ) adual l o s s o f biomass ons afdw) ; r u n : .me t o s t a b i l i z e ( y e a r s ) i t a l biomass ( t o n s afdw) i t e n t i a l b e n t h o s - e a t i n g b i r d s :ons afdw) i t e n t i a l f i s h - e a t i n g b i r d s :ons afdw) j t e n t i a l mussels ( p e r c e n t o f resent) i t e n t i a l o y s t e r s ( p e r c e n t o f 'esent) .sh n u r s e r y f u n c t i o n ( p e r c e n t : p r e s e n t ) F i s h i n g s l o s t ual p r o d u c t i o n l o s s (DFL l i o n ) umulated n e t l o s s (DFL m i l l i o n ) S h i p p i n g umulated savings t h r o u g h 1999 L m i l l i o n ) 27.2 R e c r e a t i o n investment p o l i c y : c ided sea beach v i s i t s 3ded i n l a n d beach v i s i t s0 =rcent decrease i n s a l t - w a t e r i s h q u a n t i t y
limber o f moorings added <1060 I <900
N a t i o n a l Economy (Peak Y e a r ) u r t s (DFL m i l l i o n ) d i u c t i o n (DFL m i l l i o n ) R e g i o n a l E f f e c t s ber o f households d i s p l a c e d s ,dp e a k year d d u c t i o n , peak year (DFL m i l l i o n ) m g s : Best j I I n t e r m e d i a t e Worst For such a s t o r m , t h e r e i s a 9 0 - p e r c e n t p r o b a b i l i t y t h a t amount o f l a n d area f l o o d e d w i l l be no more t h a n t h e c a t e d v a l u e . A s h - f r e e d r y w e i g h t . A n n u a l l y , i n thousands. T o t a l ( d i r e c t p l u s i n d i r e c t ) i n c r e a s e . None None 28500 10 .05 100 100 100 I t e m Areas ( h a ) : Area under t i d a l i n f l u e n c e I n t e r t i d a l a r e a V e g e t a t e d mud f l a t s I n t e r s e c t i o n s Mud f l a t s and d e s i c c a t e d s h o r e l a n d s : P r e s e r v a t i o n o f s a l i n e c h a r a c t e r of mud f l a t s Abundance o f h a l o p h i l e p l a n t s Abundance o f o t h e r p l a n t s I n t e r t i d a l a r e a : Abundance o f s p e c i e s o f p l a n t s Abundance o f s p e c i e s o f a n i m a l s Biomass i n s a l t p a r t ( t o n s a f d wa) : P h y t o p l a n k t o n , seaweed, e e l g r a s s Z o o p l a n k t o n Zoobenthos o t h e r t h a n m u s s e l s , o y s t e r s , c o c k l e s Water: D i v e r s i t y o f s a l t - w a t e r s p e c i e s I n t e r s e c t i o n s and o t h e r n a t u r e areas i n s i d e the d i k e s W e s t e r s c h e l d t : E f f e c t s o f t h e f r e s h - w a t e r l o a d from t h e E a s t e r n Basin F o r e d e l t a : E f f e c t s on the b i o c e n i s Number o f s p e c i e s o f organisms i n t h e whole D e l t a a r e a , e x c l u d -i n g t h e W e s t e r s c h e l d t : P h y t o p l a n k t o n Z o o p l a n k t o n Phytobenthos Zoobenthos " H i g h e r " p l a n t s o u t s i d e d i k e s , i n f r e s h w a t e r " H i g h e r " p l a n t s o u t s i d e d i k e s , i n s a l t w a t e r R e p t i l e s , a m p h i b i a n s , and mammals A l t e r n a t i v e s Closed Case SSB Case Open Case |13000| [ -3600 I Same Same Same S a m e l Same 500 125 450 500| 125| 450| r 1300 1300 900 800 • 800 90 40 P r e s e n t O o s t e r s c h e l d e 45000 17000 1450 450 8900 600 4800 500 125 450 1300 800 75 30 Rankings: I | Best ^ I n t e r m e d i a t e Worst
SOURCE: R i j k s w a t e r s t a a t , Policy Analysis of Eastern Scheldt Alterna-tives, Nota DDRF-77.158, The Hague, May 1976, pp. 67-68.
KEY: — Much l e s s . - Less. + More. ++ Much more. 3A s h - f r e e d r y w e i g h t .
WATER MANAGEMENT SCORECARD
I tem C h l o r i n i t y o f f r e s h l a k e s ( g r / 1 ) : W i t h o u t e x t r a f l u s h i n g : N o r t h e r n B a s i n E a s t e r n B a s i n W i t h e x t r a f l u s h i n g : N o r t h e r n B a s i n E a s t e r n B a s i n P o s s i b l e e x p a n s i o n o f d r i n k i n g and i n d u s t r i a l w a t e r supply. Demand on n a t i o n a l w a t e r s u p p l y t o m a i n t a i n a c c e p t a b l e c h l o r i n i t y i n dry p e r i o d s ( c u m/sec) A l t e r n a t i v e s Closed Case SSB Case Open Case 15-. 3 ,3-.< .3-. 5 .5-1.2 1-.35 .15-.5 2-. 35 2-, 5 .25-. 6
Much Some II
Some-60 150
R a n k i n g s : Jest I n t e r m e d i a t e Worst
SOURCE: R i j k s w a t e r s t a a t , Policy Analysis of Eastern Scheldt Alternatives, Nota DDRF-77.158, The Hague, May 1976, p. 93.
aV a l u e s shown a r e t h e range o f c o n c e n t r a t i o n s ( l o w - h i g h ) e x p e c t e d d u r i n g a y e a r .
THE POLANO SCORECARDS
COMMERCIAL FISHING SCORECARDAnnual F i s h i n g Losses Jobs P r o d u c t i o n (DFL m i l l i o n ) Value added (DFL m i l l i o n ) E x p o r t revenue (DFL m i l l i o n ) Domestic c o n s u m p t i o n (DFL m i l l i o n ) A l t e r n a t i v e s C l o s e d Case SSB Case Open Case 1.4 t < i ]
\T<M
Rankings: I Best [ZZ3 I n t e r m e d i a t e WorstProtecting an Estuary from Floods—
A Policy Analysis of the Oosterschelde:
Vol. I, Summary Report,
The Rand Corporation, R-2121/1-NETH,
December 1977
RECREATION SCORECARD: UNDER NO-INVESTMENT POLICY
INLAND SHIPPING SCORECARD
Impact Measures Cost s a v i n g s t o i n d u s t r i e s t h a t s h i p goods (1976-1999, DFL m i l l i o n , u n d i s c o u n t e d ) S e p a r a t i o n o f c o m m e r c i a l and r e c r e a -t i o n a l -t r a f f i c Are a l t e r n a t e r o u t e s a l w a y s a v a i l a b l e ' A l t e r n a t i v e s Closed Case SSB Case Open Case 27.2
H3
Much Some Yes L i t t l e YesRankings: Best j I I n t e r m e d i a t e Worst
NATIONAL ECONOMY SCORECARD ( T o t a l3 i n c r e a s e s i n peak y e a r ) I tem Jobs I m p o r t s (DFL m i l l i o n ) P e r c e n t s t o n e i m p o r t s P r o d u c t i o n (DFL m i l l i o n ) Wages and p r o f i t s (DFL m i l l i o n ) A l t e r n a t i v e s Closed SSB Open Case Case Case
Rankings: ] Best | I n t e r m e d i a t e £ | Worst D i r e c t p l u s i n d i r e c t i n c r e a s e .
REGIONAL EFFECTS SCORECARD
I t e m Number o f h o u s e h o l d s d i s p l a c e d T o t a l ( d i r e c t p l u s i n d i r e c t ) e c o n o m i c :3 P r o d u c t i o n (DFL m i l l i o n ) Jobs Road t r a v e l : Improvements i n o p p o r t u n i t i e s Damage t o r u r a l e n v i r o n m e n t A l t e r n a t i v e s Closed SSB
Case Case Open Case
38 90 290 Medium M i n o r Medium S l i g h t 1 M i n o r 1 | S l i g h t I
Rankings: Best f I n t e r m e d i a t e Worst
I n c r e a s e s , peak y e a r . Type o f R e c r e a t i o n Sea beaches: Added s h o r e l i n e (km) I n c r e a s e i n a t t e n d a n c e ( a n n u a l v i s i t s , i n t h o u s a n d s ) I n l a n d beaches: Added s h o r e l i n e (km) I n c r e a s e i n a t t e n d a n c e ( a n n u a l v i s i t s , i n t h o u s a n d s ) B o a t i n g : Sea access r e s t r i c t e d f o r l a r g e b o a t s ?
Added moorings due t o d e p a r t u r e of F i s h i n g v e s s e l s L a r g e b o a t s S p o r t f i s h i n g : Decrease i n s a l t - w a t e r f i s h q u a n t i t y ( p e r c e n t ) Added s h o r e l i n e (km) F r e s h - w a t e r f i s h a v a i l a b l e ? T o u r i n g : Decrease i n a t t r a c t i v e n e s s o f a r e a s around d i k e s A m a j o r t o u r i s t s i t e a t mouth of O o s t e r s c h e l d e ? Closed SSB Open Case Case Case
Yes • Yes No 0 <900 • <900 25] "6+1 No • No None M i n o r No Major No
Rankings: Best I n t e r m e d i a t e Worst
RECREATION SCORECARD: UNDER UNRESTRAINED-INVESTMENT POLICY
Type o f R e c r e a t i o n Sea beaches: Added s h o r e l i n e (km) I n c r e a s e i n a t t e n d a n c e ( a n n u a l v i s i t s , i n t h o u s a n d s ) I n l a n d beaches: Added s h o r e l i n e (km) I n c r e a s e i n a t t e n d a n c e ( a n n u a l v i s i t s , i n thousands) B o a t i n g : Sea access r e s t r i c t e d f o r l a r g e boats?
Added moorings due t o d e p a r t u r e of F i s h i n g v e s s e l s Large b o a t s S p o r t f i s h i n g : Decrease i n s a l t - w a t e r f i s h q u a n t i t y ( p e r c e n t ) Added s h o r e l i n e (km) F r e s h - w a t e r f i s h a v a i l a b l e ? T o u r i n g : Decrease i n a t t r a c t i v e n e s s o f a r e a s around d i k e s A m a j o r t o u r i s t s i t e a t mouth of O o s t e r s c h e l d e ? Closed SSB Open Case Case Case
•338 17 >108 Yes
I I
, Yes No <240 <900 25 17+ Yes NoI
No None Yes R a n k i n g s : B e s t i n t e r m e d i a t e WorstECOLOGY SCORECARD: RWS ADDENDUM
SUMMARY SCORECARD: NOMINAL CASES
I t e m A l t e r n a t i v e s Closed Case SSB Case Open Case P r e s e n t O o s t e r s c h e l d e F i n a n c i a l Costs (DFL m i l l i o n ) : r u c t i o n c o s t from Jan. 1 , 1976 a l maintenance and o p e r a t i o n s y e a r e x p e n d i t u r e s S e c u r i t y nd f l o o d e d (ha) i n 1/4000 orm, L ( 9 0 )a c h n i c a l u n c e r t a i n t y s i t i o n p e r i o d expected damage: nd f l o o d e d (ha) lue o f r e a l p r o p e r t y f l o o d e d FL m i l l i o n ) mber o f people a t r i s k E c o l o g y s i e n t s : .pid k i l l o f b e n t h i c biomass ons afdw ) adual l o s s o f biomass ons afdw) ; r u n : .me t o s t a b i l i z e ( y e a r s ) i t a l biomass ( t o n s afdw) i t e n t i a l b e n t h o s - e a t i n g b i r d s :ons afdw) i t e n t i a l f i s h - e a t i n g b i r d s :ons afdw) j t e n t i a l mussels ( p e r c e n t o f resent) i t e n t i a l o y s t e r s ( p e r c e n t o f 'esent) .sh n u r s e r y f u n c t i o n ( p e r c e n t : p r e s e n t ) F i s h i n g s l o s t ual p r o d u c t i o n l o s s (DFL l i o n ) umulated n e t l o s s (DFL m i l l i o n ) S h i p p i n g umulated savings t h r o u g h 1999 L m i l l i o n ) 27.2 R e c r e a t i o n investment p o l i c y : c ided sea beach v i s i t s 3ded i n l a n d beach v i s i t s0 =rcent decrease i n s a l t - w a t e r i s h q u a n t i t y
limber o f moorings added <1060 I <900
N a t i o n a l Economy (Peak Y e a r ) u r t s (DFL m i l l i o n ) d i u c t i o n (DFL m i l l i o n ) R e g i o n a l E f f e c t s ber o f households d i s p l a c e d s ,dp e a k year d d u c t i o n , peak year (DFL m i l l i o n ) m g s : Best j I I n t e r m e d i a t e Worst For such a s t o r m , t h e r e i s a 9 0 - p e r c e n t p r o b a b i l i t y t h a t amount o f l a n d area f l o o d e d w i l l be no more t h a n t h e c a t e d v a l u e . A s h - f r e e d r y w e i g h t . A n n u a l l y , i n thousands. T o t a l ( d i r e c t p l u s i n d i r e c t ) i n c r e a s e . None None 28500 10 .05 100 100 100 I t e m Areas ( h a ) : Area under t i d a l i n f l u e n c e I n t e r t i d a l a r e a V e g e t a t e d mud f l a t s I n t e r s e c t i o n s Mud f l a t s and d e s i c c a t e d s h o r e l a n d s : P r e s e r v a t i o n o f s a l i n e c h a r a c t e r of mud f l a t s Abundance o f h a l o p h i l e p l a n t s Abundance o f o t h e r p l a n t s I n t e r t i d a l a r e a : Abundance o f s p e c i e s o f p l a n t s Abundance o f s p e c i e s o f a n i m a l s Biomass i n s a l t p a r t ( t o n s a f d wa) : P h y t o p l a n k t o n , seaweed, e e l g r a s s Z o o p l a n k t o n Zoobenthos o t h e r t h a n m u s s e l s , o y s t e r s , c o c k l e s Water: D i v e r s i t y o f s a l t - w a t e r s p e c i e s I n t e r s e c t i o n s and o t h e r n a t u r e areas i n s i d e the d i k e s W e s t e r s c h e l d t : E f f e c t s o f t h e f r e s h - w a t e r l o a d from t h e E a s t e r n Basin F o r e d e l t a : E f f e c t s on the b i o c e n i s Number o f s p e c i e s o f organisms i n t h e whole D e l t a a r e a , e x c l u d -i n g t h e W e s t e r s c h e l d t : P h y t o p l a n k t o n Z o o p l a n k t o n Phytobenthos Zoobenthos " H i g h e r " p l a n t s o u t s i d e d i k e s , i n f r e s h w a t e r " H i g h e r " p l a n t s o u t s i d e d i k e s , i n s a l t w a t e r R e p t i l e s , a m p h i b i a n s , and mammals A l t e r n a t i v e s Closed Case SSB Case Open Case |13000| [ -3600 I Same Same Same S a m e l Same 500 125 450 500| 125| 450| r 1300 1300 900 800 • 800 90 40 P r e s e n t O o s t e r s c h e l d e 45000 17000 1450 450 8900 600 4800 500 125 450 1300 800 75 30 Rankings: I | Best ^ I n t e r m e d i a t e Worst
SOURCE: R i j k s w a t e r s t a a t , Policy Analysis of Eastern Scheldt Alterna-tives, Nota DDRF-77.158, The Hague, May 1976, pp. 67-68.
KEY: — Much l e s s . - Less. + More. ++ Much more. 3A s h - f r e e d r y w e i g h t .
WATER MANAGEMENT SCORECARD
I tem C h l o r i n i t y o f f r e s h l a k e s ( g r / 1 ) : W i t h o u t e x t r a f l u s h i n g : N o r t h e r n B a s i n E a s t e r n B a s i n W i t h e x t r a f l u s h i n g : N o r t h e r n B a s i n E a s t e r n B a s i n P o s s i b l e e x p a n s i o n o f d r i n k i n g and i n d u s t r i a l w a t e r supply. Demand on n a t i o n a l w a t e r s u p p l y t o m a i n t a i n a c c e p t a b l e c h l o r i n i t y i n dry p e r i o d s ( c u m/sec) A l t e r n a t i v e s Closed Case SSB Case Open Case 15-. 3 ,3-.< .3-. 5 .5-1.2 1-.35 .15-.5 2-. 35 2-, 5 .25-. 6
Much Some II
Some-60 150
R a n k i n g s : Jest I n t e r m e d i a t e Worst
SOURCE: R i j k s w a t e r s t a a t , Policy Analysis of Eastern Scheldt Alternatives, Nota DDRF-77.158, The Hague, May 1976, p. 93.
aV a l u e s shown a r e t h e range o f c o n c e n t r a t i o n s ( l o w - h i g h ) e x p e c t e d d u r i n g a y e a r .