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Probability Calculus

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Probability Calculus Anna Janicka

lecture X, 10.12.2019

INDEPENDENCE OF RV LINEAR REGRESSION

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Plan for Today

1. Independence – cont.

2. Multidimensional Normal RV 3. Linear regression

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Independent RV – reminder

1. Definition of independence

2. Independence of discrete RV

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Independent RV – cont.

1. Transformations of RV

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Properties of independent RV

2. Expected value of product

3. Example

4. Covariance of independent RV

5. Non-correlation

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Properties of independent RV – cont.

6. One-way implication only!

independence  non-correlation but  IS NOT TRUE!

7. Example – uniform distribution on circle 8. Sum of variances

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Properties of independent RV – cont. (2)

9. Example – sum of points on dice 10. Convolution of density functions

11. Example

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Convolution of densities – example

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Multidimensional Normal RV

1. Definition

2. Affine transformations of normal RV

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3. Two-dimensional normal RV with mean and a covariance matrix Q

Two-dimensional normal RV

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Condition of independence of normal RV

4. Theorem

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Linear regression

1. Best (in terms of average square deviation) linear approximation of

variable Y with variable X, i.e. aX+b:

minimizes solution:

Cytaty

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