• Nie Znaleziono Wyników

Weighted Coefficient Model for Bank Investment Portfolio Optimization

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2021

Share "Weighted Coefficient Model for Bank Investment Portfolio Optimization"

Copied!
14
0
0

Pełen tekst

(1)

vv

WEIGHTED COEFFICIENT MODEL FOR BANK

INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION

0\NKDLOR.X]KHOLHY  ,JRU%ULWFKHQNR  Maksym Zhytar*** Abstract

7KHDUWLFOHLQYHVWLJDWHVFRQFHSWXDOSRVLWLRQVRISURYLGLQJILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\ RIGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\,WHPSKDVL]HVWKHXVHRI the mechanism, which includes the choice of investment strategy on the basis RILQVWLWXWLRQDOIOH[LELOLW\RIGHFLVLRQPDNLQJRSWLPL]DWLRQRIEDQNLQYHVWPHQW SRUWIROLRWDNLQJLQWRDFFRXQWPDUNHWIOH[LELOLW\HYDOXDWLRQDQGUHJXODWLRQRI managerial flexibility of decision making.

.H\ZRUGV financial flexibility, institutional flexibility, market flexibility,

managerial flexibility, investment strategy.

1. Introduction

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qVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\ EHFRPHUHOHYDQW7KHDLPRIRXUUHVHDUFKLVWRGHYHORSDWKHRUHWLFDOIUDPHZRUN DQGFRQFHSWXDOSURYLVLRQVWRHQVXUHILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJ LQWKHLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\RIEDQNV *  3K''LUHFWRURIWKH(GXFDWLRQDODQG5HVHDUFK,QVWLWXWHRI)LQDQFHDQG%DQNLQJ1DWLRQDO8QLYHUVLW\RI6WDWH7D[ 6HUYLFHRI8NUDLQH8NUDLQH7HOHPDLOPNULVWR#\DQGH[XD ** 3K'7KH3URIHVVRURIWKH'HSDUWPHQWRI6RFLDODQG&RPSXWHU6FLHQFHV:\ĔV]D6]NRäD%L]QHVX1DWLRQDO/RXLV 8QLYHUVLW\3RODQG7HOHPDLOLEULWFKHQNR#JPDLOFRP ***  3K'$VVRFLDWH3URIHVVRUDWWKH'HSDUWPHQWRI%DQNLQJDQG)LQDQFLDO0RQLWRULQJ1DWLRQDO8QLYHUVLW\RI6WDWH7D[ 6HUYLFHRI8NUDLQH8NUDLQH7HOHPDLO]K\WDUPDNV\P#JPDLOFRP ,,,),1$1&,$/$63(&762)25*$1,=$7,21$/0$1$*(0(17

(2)

vv

2. State of the art

7DNLQJLQWRDFFRXQWH[LVWLQJDSSURDFKHVZKLFKGHWHUPLQHWKHIOH[LELOLW\RI WKHSRVLWLRQVRIYDULRXVHFRQRPLFWKHRULHVLWLVHVWDEOLVKHGWKDWWKHILQDQFLDO VFLHQFH KDV GHYHORSHG LWV RZQ DSSURDFK ZKLFK FRQVLGHUV IOH[LELOLW\ DV WKH DELOLW\WRFKDQJHWKHFDSLWDOVWUXFWXUHuWKHSRVVLELOLW\RIFRPSDQ\WRDGMXVWWKH FDSLWDOVWUXFWXUHGHSHQGLQJRQRSHUDWLQJFRQGLWLRQV7KLVSURSHUW\UHIOHFWVWKH V\VWHPqVDELOLW\WRFKDQJHWKHLUVWDWHVLQUHVSRQVHWRFKDQJHVRIIDFWRUVLQERWK H[WHUQDODQGLQWHUQDOHQYLURQPHQWVZKLFKGRQRWGHWHULRUDWHWKHHIILFLHQF\RILWV IXQFWLRQ =K\WDU 7KHUHIRUHIRUDEHWWHUXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHHVVHQFH RIIOH[LELOLW\LWLVDSSURSULDWHWRFRQVLGHUWKHFRQFHSWRIrILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\ RI WKH GHFLVLRQ PDNLQJ LQ WKH EDQNqV LQYHVWPHQW DFWLYLW\s LQ WKH EURDG DQG QDUURZVHQVHV,QWKHEURDGVHQVHILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJ LQWKHEDQNVqLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\PHDQVGLIIHUHQWRSSRUWXQLWLHVLQGHFLVLRQ PDNLQJLQLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLWLHVLQDQDUURZVHQVHLWLVWKHDELOLW\WRFKDQJHWKH VWUXFWXUHDQGFRPSRVLWLRQRIWKHLQYHVWPHQWSRUWIROLRRIWKHEDQNDWPLQLPDO FRVW DQG RU  ORVV RI YDOXH LQ DFFRUGDQFH ZLWK WKH FKDQJLQJ FRQGLWLRQV RI LPSOHPHQWDWLRQRILQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLWLHVE\WKHEDQNVWDNLQJLQWRDFFRXQWWKH RSHUDWLRQRIPDUNHWLQVWLWXWLRQDODQGPDQDJHULDOUHVWULFWLRQV

2QWKHEDVLVRIVXPPDUL]LQJWKHH[LVWLQJWKHRUHWLFDODFKLHYHPHQWVDQG FRQVLGHULQJ WKH LQKHUHQW IHDWXUHV RI EDQNVq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

$FWXDOO\ PDUNHW IOH[LELOLW\ DEVRUEV WKH SURSHUW\ RI DVVHW OLTXLGLW\ DV D SRVVLELOLW\RILPPHGLDWHDVVHWUHDOL]DWLRQZLWKRXWWDQJLEOHORVVRILWVYDOXH 7DNLQJ LQWR DFFRXQW WKH LQIOXHQFH RI D QXPEHU RI IDFWRUV ZKLFK OLPLW WKH OLTXLGLW\RILQYHVWPHQWDVVHWVZHFDQVLQJOHRXWV\VWHPDWLFIDFWRUV OLTXLGLW\ RI WKH VWRFN PDUNHW  DQG VSHFLILF IDFWRUV LQGLYLGXDO FKDUDFWHULVWLFV RI WKH VHFXULWLHVWKHILQDQFLDOFRQGLWLRQRIWKHLVVXHU 

2QH RI WKH ILUVW GHILQLWLRQV RI OLTXLGLW\ ZDV JLYHQ E\ .H\QHV ZKR FRQVLGHUHGOLTXLGLW\DVDFRPELQDWLRQRIWLPHQHFHVVDU\IRUWKHWUDQVDFWLRQDQG WKHFRVWVDULVLQJLQFRQQHFWLRQZLWKLW .H\QHV %HVLGHVWKLVGHILQLWLRQ WKHUHDUHRWKHUYHU\FORVHLQFRQWHQW6RPHDXWKRUVXQGHUVWDQGOLTXLGLW\DVWKH SRVVLELOLW\RIEX\LQJRUVHOOLQJXQLWVRIWKHDVVHWVDWDQ\WLPHDWIDLUPDUNHW SULFHZKLOHLWLVXQGHUVWRRGWKDWWKHGLIIHUHQFHLQWKHSULFHVRIEX\LQJDQG

(3)

vv VHOOLQJDVVHWVRQWKHPDUNHWVKRXOGDOZD\VEHLQVLJQLILFDQW .RFK ,Q WKLVFDVHWKHPHDVXUHRIOLTXLGLW\RIWKHVHFXULWLHVLVWKHDYHUDJHGDLO\YDOXHRI FRXUVHVSUHDGTXRWHVRQPDMRUH[FKDQJHV Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê

Types of financial flexibility of the decision making in the bank’s investment activity

M a rk et fl ex ib il it y

The flexibility which is determined by systematic market factors: the liquidity of the stock market; the interest rate level; foreign currency exchange; WKHOLTXLGLW\RIWKHPRQHWDU\PDUNHWPDUNHWVSUHDGV\VWHPDWLF PDUNHW ULVN

The flexibility which is determined by formal institutional constraints: uQLYHUVDO UHVWULFWLRQIRUDOOVWRFNPDUNHWSDUWLFLSDQWV 

VSHFLILF UHVWULFWLRQIRUEDQNVDVSDUWLFLSDQWVRIWKHVHFXULWLHVPDUNHW

The flexibility which is determined by informal institutional constraints:

distrust of the national currency; low level of financial culture of the population; existence of the conflict of interest; the existence of corruption; lack of transparency of activities of issuers and professional stock market participants; limited and election participants’ access to information LQIRUPDWLRQDV\PPHWU\  the absence of law-abiding institution

The flexibility which is determined by the specific market factors: kind of securities and peculiarities of their treatment; concentration of ownership in the issuing company; the financial condition of the issuer; size of the issuing company; development prospects of the issuing company

In st it u ti o n a l fl ex ib il it y M a n a g er ia l fl ex ib il it y

The flexibility which is determined by the level of internal transaction costs:

the costs of obtaining information; the costs of laying and service implementation agreements; the costs of monitoring and control of administrative flexibility

The flexibility which is determined by the stage of decision-making

)LJXUH7\SHVRIILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqV LQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\

$QXPEHURIIRUHLJQVFLHQWLVWVJLYHWKHLUGHILQLWLRQVRIOLTXLGLW\E\ZKLFK WKH\ PHDQ SRVVLELOLW\ RI VHOOLQJ RU EX\LQJ DW DQ\ JLYHQ WLPH WKH UHTXLUHG QXPEHU RI DVVHWV ZLWK LQVLJQLILFDQW IOXFWXDWLRQV LQ SULFHV %UHQQDQ HW DO  6RGHQEHUJ  GHILQHVOLTXLGLW\DVWKHSRVVLELOLW\RIEX\LQJRUVHOOLQJ ODUJHTXDQWLWLHVRIDVVHWVTXLFNO\DQGDWORZFRVWZKLFKZLOOEHRILQWHUHVWIRU SRUWIROLRPDQDJHUVDQGSUDFWLWLRQHUVLQWKHVSKHUHRIULVNPDQDJHPHQW

7KH OLTXLGLW\ RI WKH DVVHW LV WKH DELOLW\ WR WUDQVIRUP LQWR FDVK DQG WKH GHJUHHRIOLTXLGLW\LVGHWHUPLQHGE\WKHGXUDWLRQRIWKHLQWHULPSHULRGGXULQJ ZKLFKWKLVWUDQVIRUPDWLRQFDQEHFDUULHGRXW .RYDOHQNR 

0HDQZKLOHDOOWKHVHLQWHUSUHWDWLRQVDUHFKDUDFWHUL]HGE\FHUWDLQOLPLWDWLRQV RIFRQVLGHULQJOLTXLGLW\IURPRQO\RQHRILWVVLGHV:HVKRXOGWKHUHIRUHDSSHDO WRWKHGHILQLWLRQVZKLFKPRUHFOHDUO\GLVWLQJXLVKWKHFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRUVLJQV

(4)

vv

RIDVVHWVOLTXLGLW\DOORZPRYLQJIURPWKHDEVWUDFWFKDUDFWHURIOLTXLGLW\WRLWV PRUHXQGHUVWDQGDEOHIRUP

7KXV VRPH DXWKRUV QRWH WKDW OLTXLGLW\ LQFOXGHV SURSHUWLHV VXFK DV WLPH UDSLGFRQFOXVLRQRIWKHDJUHHPHQW WUDQVDFWLRQFRVWV ORZHUWUDQVDFWLRQFRVWV  YROXPH ELJ GHDO VL]H  DQG SULFH QR VWURQJ LQIOXHQFH RQ SULFHV  &KD\NXQ  02q+DUDSRLQWVDWDODUJHYROXPHRIDJUHHPHQWVDWWKHVDPHWLPHWKH DJUHHPHQWVKRXOGQRWKDYHDVWURQJLPSDFWRQWKHSULFHRIWKHDVVHW 2q+DUD  2WKHUDXWKRUVFODULI\WKDWLQDGGLWLRQWRWKHLQGLYLGXDOFKDUDFWHULVWLFVRI WKHVHFXULWLHVDQGWKHFXUUHQWVWDWHRIWKHPDUNHWWKHOHYHORIOLTXLGLW\GHSHQGVRQD JLYHQLQYHVWPHQWFRQGLWLRQVLQFOXGLQJWKHYROXPHRIWKHSDFNDJHWKHVXSSRVHG LPPHGLDF\RILQYHVWPHQWVWKHDFWLYLW\VWUDWHJ\RISRUWIROLRPDQDJHPHQWWKH DYDLODELOLW\RIWKLVPDUNHWIRULQYHVWRUVDQGRWKHUIDFWRUV 1RUG 

,Q WXUQ WKH PDLQ IHDWXUH RI OLTXLGLW\ DFFRUGLQJ WR PRVW VFLHQWLVWV LV HIILFLHQF\ZKLFKLQWXUQGHSHQGVRQWZRPDLQIDFWRUVWKHDELOLW\RIWKHPDUNHW WRDEVRUERUSURYLGHDGHTXDWHYROXPHVRIVWRFNYDOXHV DEVROXWHPDUNHWVL]H DQG WKHYROXPHRIWKHDOOHJHGWUDQVDFWLRQ%HVLGHVLPPHGLDF\WKHPDLQLQGLFDWRURI DVVHWVOLTXLGLW\ZKLFKHVWLPDWHVWKHWLPHUHTXLUHGIRUWKHWUDQVDFWLRQZHZLOO LGHQWLI\RWKHUVLQGLFDWRUVZKLFKLQRXURSLQLRQDIIHFWWKHOHYHORIOLTXLGLW\RI WKHDVVHWQDPHO\WKHWLJKWQHVVWKHGHSWKDQGWKHUHVLOLHQFH

7KH LQGLFDWRU RI GHSWK UHIOHFWV WKH SRVVLEOH VFRSH RI WKH DJUHHPHQW DQG GRHV QRW FDUU\ D VLJQLILFDQW LPSDFW RQ SULFH WKH LQGLFDWRU RI WLJKWQHVV LV DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK WKH FRVWV LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI DJUHHPHQWV DQG UHIOHFWV WKH GHYLDWLRQ RI WKH FRQWUDFWVq SULFHV IURP DYHUDJH PDUNHW SULFH WKH LQGLFDWRU RI UHVLOLHQFH UHIOHFWV WKH VSHHG ZLWK ZKLFK SULFHV UHDFK D QHZ HTXLOLEULXP OHYHOGXHWRVWURQJIOXFWXDWLRQVZKLFKDUHFDXVHGE\WKHFRQFOXVLRQRIPDMRU WUDQVDFWLRQV +DUULV 

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

*HQHUDOOHJDOUHVWULFWLRQVDUHSUHVHQWHGE\OHJLVODWLYHQRUPDWLYHDFWVZKLFK GHWHUPLQHWKHFRQGLWLRQVDQGSURFHGXUHIRULVVXDQFHRIVHFXULWLHV VWRFNVERQGV WUHDVXU\ELOOVVDYLQJVFHUWLILFDWHV LVVXHVRIUHJXODWLRQRIPHGLDWLRQDFWLYLWLHV LQ RUJDQL]DWLRQ RI VHFXULWLHV FLUFXODWLRQ QRUPDWLYH DFWV ZKLFK GHILQH WKH VWUXFWXUHRIWKHEDQNLQJV\VWHPHFRQRPLFRUJDQL]DWLRQDODQGOHJDOSULQFLSOHV

(5)

vv

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

,QGLFDWLYHDQGOHJDOLQVWLWXWLRQDOFRQVWUDLQWVDUHPDLQO\VSHFLILFUHVWULFWLRQV IRU EDQNV 7KH VWDQGDUGV ZKLFK GLUHFWO\ LPSDFW WKH LQYHVWPHQW DFWLYLW\ LQ 8NUDLQHVKRXOGLQFOXGHLQYHVWPHQWUHJXODWLRQVRIHDFKLQVWLWXWLRQDQGWKHWRWDO DPRXQWRILQYHVWPHQWVWKHVWDQGDUGVRIPD[LPXPDPRXQWRIFUHGLWULVNRQ RQHFRXQWHUSDUW\DQGODUJHFUHGLWULVNVLQSDUWRIWKHEDQNqVRSHUDWLRQVZLWK ERQGV1RUPDWLYHYDOXHVVKRXOGQRWH[FHHGIRUXQLYHUVDOEDQNVuIRU FOHDULQJEDQNVuIRULQYHVWPHQWu6XFKUHJXODWRU\UHVWULFWLRQVRQ UDWLRQDOGLYHUVLILFDWLRQRIWKHLQYHVWPHQWSRUWIROLRGRQRWVLJQLILFDQWO\DIIHFW WKHLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLWLHVRIEDQNV 7KHLQWURGXFWLRQRIVHYHUHUHVWULFWLRQVLVFDXVHGE\WKHQHFHVVLW\WRIRUP WKH PDQGDWRU\ UHVHUYH IRU UHLPEXUVHPHQW RI ORVVHV IURP RSHUDWLRQV ZLWK VHFXULWLHV 7KH FUHDWLRQ RI VXFK UHVHUYH LV UHJXODWHG E\ WKH 5HJXODWLRQV RQ WKHSURFHGXUHIRUFDOFXODWLQJWKHUHVHUYHWRFRYHUSRVVLEOHORVVHVRQVHFXULWLHV WUDQVDFWLRQV DQG WKH 5HJXODWLRQV RQ WKH SURFHGXUH IRU GHWHUPLQLQJ WKH IDLU

(6)

vv

YDOXHIRUGHFUHDVHXVHIXOQHVVRIVHFXULWLHVDSSURYHGE\WKH1DWLRQDO%DQNRI 8NUDLQH№DQG №UHVSHFWLYHO\

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

7KH EDVLV RI WKH VFLHQWLILF DQG PHWKRGRORJLFDO DSSURDFK WR WKH FKRLFH RI LQYHVWPHQW VWUDWHJ\ EDVHG RQ LQVWLWXWLRQDO IOH[LELOLW\ RI GHFLVLRQ PDNLQJ LVEXLOGLQJDKLHUDUFKLFDOVWUXFWXUHZKLFKFRQVLVWVRIIRXUVWDJHVDQGEHJLQV ZLWKGHWHUPLQLQJWKHVHOHFWLRQPHWKRGVRILQYHVWPHQWVWUDWHJ\EDQNVDQGWKH FODVVLILFDWLRQ RI WKH IDFWRUV RI FDXVLQJ LW /D 3RUWD   7KH ILQDO UHVXOW RIFRQVWUXFWLRQRIWKHKLHUDUFK\LVWKHFKRLFHRIRSWLPDODOWHUQDWLYHYDULDQWV DFFRUGLQJWRWKHFODVVLILFDWLRQRISRUWIROLRVDQGW\SHVRIVHFXULWLHV

7KHVHSRUWIROLRVDUHFODVVLILHGDFFRUGLQJWRWKHIROORZLQJSULQFLSOHVVWDWH DQGPXQLFLSDOERQGVLQWKHEDQNqVSRUWIROLRRIIL[HGSURILWDELOLW\DQGWUDGLQJ SRUWIROLRFRUSRUDWHERQGVLQWKHSRUWIROLRRIQRQIL[HGSURILWDEOHQHVVLQWKH FRQWH[W RI GLIIHUHQW LQGXVWULHV VKDUHV LQ WKH EDQNqV SRUWIROLR RI QRQIL[HG SURILWDEOHQHVV LQ WKH FRQWH[W RI GLIIHUHQW LQGXVWULHV FRUSRUDWH ERQGV LQ WKH SRUWIROLRRIVHFXULWLHVIRUVDOH

7KH GHWHUPLQDWLRQ RI ZHLJKWLQJ FRHIILFLHQWV WDEOH   PDGH LW SRVVLEOH WR REWDLQ DQ LQWHJUDWHG DVVHVVPHQW RI WKH GHJUHH RI DWWUDFWLYHQHVV DQG DQ DSSURSULDWHFKRLFHRILQYHVWPHQWVWUDWHJ\ Pl   n l li li i

P

¦

s

˜

w

      

sli u iWK FULWHULRQ IRU DVVHVVLQJ WKH lWK LQYHVWPHQW VWUDWHJ\ wli u iWK ZHLJKWFRHIILFLHQWWKDWPHHWVWKHFULWHULDіnuQXPEHURIVHOHFWHGLQGLFDWRUV

(7)

vv

NO YES

MECHANISMOF PROVIDING FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY OF THE DECISION MAKING IN THE BANK’S INVESTMENT ACTIVITY

The choice of investment strategy based on institutional flexibility

of decision-making

Evaluation and regulation of managerial flexibility

of decision making Optimization of bank investment

portfolio taking into account market flexibility

EFFECTIVENESS CRITERION

RESULT: creates preconditions to ensure the profitability of investment banking activities while increasing the opportunities

realization of emerging prospects based on optimization of financial flexibility making decisions on its market, institutional and managerial components

Effectiveness Reliability

Systemness Dynamism

Stability Unity of strategies

Liquidity Diversification Adequacy PRINCIPLES Financial stability Effectiveness (result Alternativeness

TASKS OF PROVIDING FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY OF THE DECISION MAKING IN THE BANK’S INVESTMENT ACTIVITY

Definition of strategies and tactics to ensure financial flexibility

in decision-making

Formation of optimal structure and composition of the investment

portfolio of the bank

Minimizing the negative impact of certain factors that affect the performance of investment activities

THE AIM: protection of the real value of bank equity capital from the impact of investment risks based financial flexibility

(8)

vv

Table 1. 7ZROHYHOVRIFRQVWUXFWLQJDPDWUL[RIDQDO\VLVRIKLHUDUFK\WRVHOHFW WKHLQYHVWPHQWVWUDWHJ\

7KHFULWHULDIRUVHOHFWLQJ The criteria IRUVHOHFWLQJ 3L 1RUPDOL]HG YHFWRU :L &RPSRQHQW RIWKHRZQ YHFWRU 3L 1RUPDOL]HG YHFWRU :L &RPSRQHQW RIWKHRZQ YHFWRU 3L 1RUPDOL]HG YHFWRU :L 7\SHRILQYHVWPHQWVWUDWHJ\ 3RUWIROLR (37%737%) 3RUWIROLR (PCBP, PCBB, PCBM, PCBC, PCBOPCS 3RUWIROLR (PSVPPSVB PSVMPSVC PSVO 7+((;7(51$/)$&7256 ,,QVWLWXWLRQDOIOH[LELOLW\ ,) u0,57 )RUPDOXQLYHUVDOUHVWULFWLRQV       )RUPDOVSHFLILFUHVWULFWLRQV       ,QIRUPDOUHVWULFWLRQV       ,QGLFDWLYHDQGOHJLVODWLYHUHVWULFWLRQV       7RWDO       ,,,0DUNHWLQGLFDWRUVRILQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\ 0, u0,11 3URILWDELOLW\       /LTXLGLW\       /HYHORIULVN       6WRFNLQGH[G\QDPLFV       ,QWHUHVWUDWHV       6SUHDGRIGHIDXOWLQJFRUSRUDWHDQGJR YHUQPHQWVHFXULWLHV     3UHPLXPIRUPDUNHWULVN   7RWDO       ,90DFURHFRQRPLFIDFWRUV 0) u0,05 5DWHRI*'3JURZWK       ,QIODWLRQUDWH       &XUUHQF\UDWHIOXFWXDWLRQV       %DODQFHRISD\PHQW       7RWDO       7+(,17(51$/)$&7256 ,,,QYHVWPHQWSRWHQWLDORIEDQN ,2 u0,27 5HVRXUFHSRWHQWLDO       5HVHUYHSRWHQWLDO     (IIHFWLYHSRWHQWLDO       7RWDO       2EWDLQHGUHVXOWVLQGLFDWHWKDWWKHPRVWLPSRUWDQWIDFWRUZKHQFKRRVLQJ LQYHVWPHQWVWUDWHJLHVGHSHQGLQJRQWKHFODVVLILFDWLRQRISRUWIROLRVDQGW\SHV

(9)

vv

RIVHFXULWLHVLVLQVWLWXWLRQDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqV LQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\ZKLFKFRQVLGHUVLQGLFDWRUVRIWKHLQVWLWXWLRQDOFRQVWUDLQWV WKDWDIIHFWWKHIRUPDWLRQRIORQJWHUPVWUDWHJLHVRIWKHEDQN

2IDOOILQDQFLDOLQVWUXPHQWVWKHPRVWLPSRUWDQWRQHLVVHWWLQJOLPLWVWKDW UHVWULFW PDUNHW ULVN   7KH VSHFLILF IDFWRUV DUH WKH IROORZLQJ IRU GRPHVWLFJRYHUQPHQWERQGVuH[HPSWLRQIURPUHVHUYHIRUPDWLRQ  IRU FRUSRUDWHERQGVuDGKHUHQFHWRWKHQRUPVRIWKHPD[LPXPFUHGLWULVN   DQGUHVHUYHUHTXLUHPHQWVIRUEDQNqVSRUWIROLR  IRUVKDUHVu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q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qVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\ERWKLQ WKHVKRUWDQGORQJWHUP

,WLVREYLRXVWKDWWKHUHVXOWRIWKHRSWLPL]DWLRQRILQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\RI WKH EDQN LV WKH FUHDWLRQ RI D EDODQFHG VWUXFWXUH RI WKH LQYHVWPHQW SRUWIROLR VRUWHGE\WKHW\SHRIVHFXULWLHVDQGFRQVLGHULQJH[WHUQDOULVNIDFWRUVDQGPDUNHW IOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\ )LJXUH 

7KHLPSOHPHQWDWLRQRIWKHSURSRVHGVFLHQWLILFDQGPHWKRGLFDODSSURDFK WR WKH RSWLPL]DWLRQ RI WKH LQYHVWPHQW SRUWIROLR DOORZV GHYHORSLQJ RSWLRQV RI PDQDJHPHQW RI PDUNHW IOH[LELOLW\ RI WKH GHFLVLRQ PDNLQJ LQ WKH EDQNqV LQYHVWPHQW DFWLYLW\ 7KHVH SDUDPHWHUV DUH TXDQWLWDWLYHO\ GHWHUPLQHG EDVLQJ RQWKHYDOXHRIWKHHUURURIWKHRUHWLFDOSURILWDEOHQHVVRIVHFXULWLHVWDNLQJLQWR DFFRXQWWKHJLYHQRISUREDELOLW\DQGXQV\VWHPDWLFULVN

(10)

vv Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê Ê

THE AIM: optimization of the investment portfolio taking into account market

flexibility of the decision making in the bank’s investment activity The choice of the types of securities in the investment portfolio of the bank

Definition of limitations optimization model

On investment potential of the bank

On correlation of profitableness of securities

On the level of risk

Modelling of optimal structure of the investment portfolio taking into account profitableness and risk

Calculation of coefficients of the market flexibility

Formation of optimal structure of portfolio by value of securities taking into account market flexibility of the decision making in the bank’s investment activity Making managerial decision in the investment activities of banks depending on the

obtained parameters 1 2 3 4 5 6 )LJXUH6FLHQWLILFDQGPHWKRGLFDODSSURDFKWRWKHRSWLPL]DWLRQRIWKHLQ YHVWPHQWSRUWIROLRWDNLQJLQWRDFFRXQWPDUNHWIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDN LQJLQWKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\ ,QRUGHUWRRUJDQL]HDQGDGPLQLVWUDWHLQYHVWPHQWSURFHVVHVLQWKHEDQNZH LPSURYHGVFLHQWLILFDQGPHWKRGLFDODSSURDFKWRWKHHYDOXDWLRQDQGUHJXODWLRQ RI PDQDJHULDO IOH[LELOLW\ RI WKH GHFLVLRQ PDNLQJ LQ WKH EDQNqV LQYHVWPHQW DFWLYLW\ WDNLQJ LQWR DFFRXQW LQGLFDWRUV ZKLFK DUH HOHFWHG IURP D SRVLWLRQ HYDOXDWLRQVWUXFWXUHTXDOLW\DQGTXDQWLW\RIWKHVXEV\VWHPRIDGPLQLVWUDWLRQ RIWKHEDQN 7DEOH  3URSRVHGV\VWHPRILQGLFDWRUVFDQEHFRQVLGHUHGDVLQGLFDWRUVRIHYDOXDWLRQ DQGUHJXODWLRQRIPDQDJHULDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqV LQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\+RZHYHUFRQVLGHULQJWKHIDFWWKDWLWKDVPXOWLGLUHFWLRQDO LPSDFWRQPDQDJHULDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQW DFWLYLW\LWLVDGYLVDEOHWRLQWHJUDWHWKHPLQWKHJHQHUDOLQGLFDWRU

¦

n

˜

i i i A

K

n

F





J

       )AuLQWHJUDOLQGLFDWRURIPDQDJHULDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKH

EDQNqVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\.iuVWDQGDUGL]HGYDOXHRIIHDWXUHV

γ

uZHLJKWLQJ

(11)

vv Table 2. 7KHLQGLFDWRUV\VWHPRIPDQDJHULDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJ LQWKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\ Factors of managerial flexibility of the decision making

Indicators of managerial flexibility of the decision making

Stimulants and destimulants of flexibility of the decision making

The threshold values

Quantitative and qualitative of composition bank staff

The coefficient of quality of personnel potential KKP

+  

KP

K

 d

The coefficient increase of level qualifications of personnel KPK

+  

PK

K

 d

The coefficient of provision of human resources KOK

+  

OK K

 d

The coefficient of stability of personnel

KSK

+  

SK

K

 d

The coefficient of personnel turnover

KTK – KTKd The degree of centralization or decentralization of the bank

The coefficient of centralization of functional management structure KCS

– KCSd

The coefficient of functional specialization KFS

+  

FS

K

 d

The coefficient of concentration of management functions KKF

KKFd

Type of organizational structure of the bank

The coefficient of structural tension

KSN

KSNd

The coefficient of operational work of the administrative apparatus KOR

+ 

OR

K d

The importance and the number of the decision making in the bank

The coefficient of effectiveness of implementation of decisions( ER K +  d ER K

The degree of control over the processes in

the bank

The coefficient of degree of control ( DC K +  d DC K )LJXUH2SWLPDODQGDFWXDOVSHFLILFZHLJKWRIVHFXULWLHVLQWKHLQYHVWPHQW SRUWIROLRRI3-6&&%‰8NUVRWVEDQN

(12)

vv 7KHSUHVHQWHGPHFKDQLVPRIHQVXULQJILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQ PDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\ZDVDSSUREDWHGRQWKHH[DPSOHRI 3XEOLFMRLQWVWRFNFRPSDQ\&RPPHUFLDO%DQN‰8NUVRWVEDQN™ ZKLFKLVRQH RIWKHWHQODUJHVWEDQNVLQ8NUDLQH IRUWKHSHULRGRI%DVHGRQ WKHREWDLQHGFRHIILFLHQWVRIILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\DQGQRUPDOL]HGFRHIILFLHQWVRI RSWLPL]DWLRQZHGHILQHGWKHVWUXFWXUHRIVHFXULWLHVLQYDOXHLQWKHLQYHVWPHQW SRUWIROLRRI3-6&&%‰8NUVRWVEDQN™ )LJXUH  $VVKRZQLQ)LJXUHRSWLPL]DWLRQRILQYHVWPHQWSRUWIROLRRIWKHEDQN LQ  LQYROYHVUHGXFLQJWKHVKDUHRIJRYHUQPHQWERQGVIURPWR VWRFNVuIURPWRE\LQFUHDVLQJWKHSURSRUWLRQRIERQGVIURP WRRWKHUVHFXULWLHVuIURPWR%DVLQJRQDSSUREDWLRQPRGHO WRHQVXUHILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQW DFWLYLW\ ZH PDGH WKH RSWLPL]DWLRQ RI WKH LQYHVWPHQW SRUWIROLR RI 3-6& &% ‰8NUVRWVEDQN™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totalLVFDOFXODWHGDVDZHLJKWHG DYHUDJHRQWKHDFWXDODQGRSWLPDOVWUXFWXUHV









˜

¦

fact i fact fact total

r

d

R

  ,  ˜

¦

opt i fact opt total r d R                2YHUDOOHIIHFWEf LVFDOFXODWHGDVDUHVXOWRIPXOWLSO\LQJWKHGLIIHUHQFH EHWZHHQSURILWDELOLW\RQWKHDFWXDODQGRSWLPDOVWUXFWXUHVRIWKHYDOXHRIWKH LQYHVWPHQWSRUWIROLRRIWKHEDQNS          ,  (  (R R y ˜S  y ˜

Ef totalopt totalfact POQ8$+

3. Conclusion

7KXVVXPPDUL]LQJWKHUHVXOWVRIWKHUHVHDUFKDOORZVWKHIROORZLQJFRQFOXVLRQV   ZHRIIHUHGFRQFHSWXDOSURYLVLRQVRISURYLGLQJILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\RI

WKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\RQWKHEDVLVRID V\VWHPDWLFDSSURDFKZKLFKFRPELQHVJHQHUDOVFLHQWLILFDQGVSHFLILF SULQFLSOHV JRDOV REMHFWLYHV HOHPHQWV RI WKH PHFKDQLVP RI WKHLU LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ WKH FULWHULRQ RI HIILFLHQF\ DQG FUHDWHV FRQGLWLRQV

(13)

vv WRHQVXUHWKHSURILWDELOLW\RILQYHVWPHQWEDQNLQJDFWLYLWLHVDQGDWWKH VDPHWLPHLQFUHDVHVWKHSRVVLELOLWLHVRILPSOHPHQWDWLRQRIHPHUJLQJ SURVSHFWVGXHWRRSWLPL]DWLRQOHYHORIILQDQFLDOIOH[LELOLW\RIPDNLQJ GHFLVLRQVRQLWVPDUNHWLQVWLWXWLRQDODQGDGPLQLVWUDWLYHFRPSRQHQWV   VFLHQWLILFDQGPHWKRGLFDODSSURDFKWRWKHFKRLFHRIEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQW

VWUDWHJ\ RQ WKH EDVLV RI LQVWLWXWLRQDO IOH[LELOLW\ LQ GHFLVLRQPDNLQJ XVHV PHWKRG RI DQDO\VLV RI KLHUDUFK\ WKDW WDNHV LQWR DFFRXQW WKH LPSDFW RI PDUNHW PDFURHFRQRPLF IDFWRUV RI LQYHVWPHQW DFWLYLW\ DQG LQYHVWPHQW SRWHQWLDO RI EDQNV UHVRXUFH UHVHUYH HIIHFWLYH  DQG RQ WKH EDVLV RI WKH UHFHLYHG KLHUDUFKLFDO VWUXFWXUH GHSHQGLQJ RQWKHFODVVLILFDWLRQRISRUWIROLRVDQGW\SHVRIVHFXULWLHVDOORZVWR VXEVWDQWLDWH WKH FKRLFH RI VWUDWHJLF RULHQWDWLRQ RI WKH LQYHVWPHQW VWUDWHJ\RIWKHEDQN

  VFLHQWLILF DQG PHWKRGLFDO DSSURDFK WR WKH RSWLPL]DWLRQ RI WKH LQYHVWPHQW SRUWIROLR DOORZV WR IRUP D YHFWRU RI GHYHORSPHQW GHSHQGLQJRQILQGLQJDFWXDOSURILWDEOHQHVVRIDSRVLWLYH QHJDWLYH  UDQJHRIYDOXHVDQGSURYLGHVVXEVWDQWLDWLRQRIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQ WKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\ERWKLQWKHVKRUWDQGORQJWHUP   VFLHQWLILF DQG PHWKRGLFDO DSSURDFK WR HYDOXDWLQJ DQG UHJXODWLQJ

PDQDJHULDO IOH[LELOLW\ RI WKH GHFLVLRQ PDNLQJ LQ WKH EDQNq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eferences

%UHQQDQ 0 &KRUGLD 7 6XEUDKPDQ\DP $ 7RQJ 4   6HOOuVLGH ,OOLTXLGLW\ DQG WKH &URVVu6HFWLRQ RI ([SHFWHG 6WRFN 5HWXUQV /RQGRQ &DVV%XVLQHVV6FKRRO5HWULHYHGIURPKWWSZZZFDVVFLW\DFXNBBGDWD DVVHWVSGIBILOH&KRUGLDSGI

&KD\NXQ$  7KHFKRLFHRILQGLFDWRUVIRUPHDVXULQJWKHOLTXLGLW\RI VHFXULWLHV 6WDWH PDQDJHPHQW LQ WKH WZHQW\ILUVW FHQWXU\ WUDGLWLRQ DQG

innovation, 3,u

'RQJ-.HPSI$<DGDY3  5HVLOLHQF\WKH1HJOHFWHG'LPHQVLRQ RI0DUNHW/LTXLGLW\1HZ<RUN(PSLULFDO(YLGHQFHIURPWKH1HZ<RUN

Stock Exchange 5HWULHYHG IURP KWWSSDSHUVVVUQFRPVROSDSHUV FIP"DEVWUDFWBLG 

(14)

vv

+DUULV /   /LTXLGLW\ WUDGLQJ UXOHV DQG HOHFWURQLF WUDGLQJ V\VWHPV

1HZ<RUN8QLYHUVLW\6DORPRQ&HQWHU0RQRJUDSK6HULHVLQ)LQDQFHDQG Economics, 4,

.H\QHV -   *HQHUDO 7KHRU\ RI (PSOR\PHQW ,QWHUHVW DQG 0RQH\ 0RVFRZ+HOLRV$59

.RFK,  7KHSULQFLSOHVDVVHVVLQJWKHOLTXLGLW\RIWKHVHFXULWLHV6RFLR

economic problems of formation and development of market economy,

u

.RYDOHQNR<0  7KHHVVHQFHRIWKHLQVWLWXWLRQDOHQYLURQPHQWRIWKH ILQDQFLDO VHFWRU RI WKH HFRQRP\ Economic Bulletin of Donbas, 1   u .X]KHOLHY0  (YDOXDWLRQDQGUHJXODWLRQRIDGPLQLVWUDWLYHIOH[LELOLW\ RIWKHGHFLVLRQPDNLQJLQWKHEDQNqVLQYHVWPHQWDFWLYLW\Scientific Bulletin RI1DWLRQDO/YLY7HFKQLFDO8QLYHUVLW\RI8NUDLQH  u /D3RUWD5  /HJDO'HWHUPLQDQWVRI([WHUQDO)LQDQFH7KH-RXUQDORI )LQDQFH

0DGX &   2SWLPXP LQIRUPDWLRQ WHFKQRORJ\ IRU VRFLRHFRQRPLF GHYHORSPHQW ,QIRUPDWLRQ 0DQDJHPHQW DQG &RPSXWHU 6HFXULW\    

1RUWK '   Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic

Performance0RVFRZ)RXQGDWLRQRIWKH(FRQRPLFERRNr%HJLQQLQJs 2q+DUD0  /LTXLGLW\DQG)LQDQFLDO0DUNHW6WDELOLW\NBB Working

Paper,u

5HJXODWLRQVRQWKHSURFHGXUHRIFDOFXODWLRQRIWKHDOORZDQFHIRUFRPSHQVDWLRQ RI SRVVLEOH ORVVHV RI EDQNV IURP VHFXULWLHV WUDQVDFWLRQV   .\LY

Ordinance of National Bank of Ukraine, 629 5HWULHYHG IURP KWWS ]DNRQUDGDJRYXDODZVVKRZ]u

6RGHQEHUJ-  ,V,W&ROGXS1RUWK"7KH/LTXLGLW\RQWKH6FDQGLQDYLDQ 6WRFN ([FKDQJHV Working Paper 9D[MR 9D[MR 8QLYHUVLW\ 5HWULHYHG

IURP KWWSZZZUHVHDUFKJDWHQHWSXEOLFDWLRQB,VBLWBFROGB

XSBQRUWK7KHBOLTXLGLW\BRQBWKHB6FDQGLQDYLDQBVWRFNBH[FKDQJHV

7KH )LQDQFLDO 'HYHORSPHQW 5HSRUW   5HWULHYHG IURP KWWSZZZ ZHIRUXPRUJUHSRUWVILQDQFLDOGHYHORSPHQWUHSRUW 7KHPDLQLQGLFDWRUVRIDFWLYLW\RIEDQNVRI8NUDLQH  .\LY1DWLRQDO %DQNRI8NUDLQH5HWULHYHGIRUPKWWSZZZEDQNJRYXD =K\WDU0  6HOHFWLRQRIWKH%DQN,QYHVWPHQW6WUDWHJ\RQWKH%DVLVRI WKH+LHUDUFK\$QDO\VLV0HWKRG6FLHQWLILFMRXUQDO‰%XVLQHVV,QIRUP™ u

Cytaty

Powiązane dokumenty

Inną z cnót mistrza jest jego postawa odpowiedzialności (Olbrycht 2007, s. Chodzi tutaj głównie o  psychopedagogiczną oraz moralną odpo- wiedzialność tworzenia więzi z 

Kłócą się z  doktrynami neoliberalnego ładu politycznego, z  grupami intere- sów zbiorowego egoizmu, z  dysfunkcjonalnymi instytucjami i  organami pań- stwa, wreszcie z 

Po pierwsze, podkreśla się, iż rzeczywista i pełna realizacja prawa do uczestnictwa społecznego dzieci opiera się na wprowadzeniu całej gamy warunków legislacyjnych, politycznych

„Najbardziej fascynującym zjawiskiem z punktu widzenia pedagogiki jest reorientacja i  kształtowanie się postaw społecznych wobec tych fenomenów transformacji globalnej,

Szukając odpowiedzi na pytanie dotyczące miejsc owego ukrycia moż- na odnieść się do poglądów R. Autor opisując szkołę jako przestrzeń nawiedzoną przez duchy:

“The image of science as establishing mastery over subjects, as demanding the absence of feeling, and as enforcing separateness of the knower from the known, all under the guise

Koncepcja przeprowadzonych badań opierała się na dwukrotnej rekon- strukcji obrazu współczesnej młodzieży; pierwszej – na podstawie badań prze- prowadzonych przez CBOS

Warto w tym miej- scu także dodać, że funkcjonowanie młodzieżowych subkultur staje się przed- miotem zainteresowań badaczy najczęściej wtedy, kiedy efekty ich działalno- ści