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Plenary Session Lectures of the Seventh International Symposium on Practical Design of Ships and Mobile Units, The Hague, The Netherlands, September 1998
Edited by:
M.W.C. Oosterveld and S.G. Tan
MARIN - Maritime Research Institute Netherlands, Wageningen, The Netherlands
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The 7th International Symposium on Practical Design of Ships and Mobile Units. PRADS '98, is held from 20-25 September 1998 in The Netherlands Congress Centre in The Hague. Earlier PRADSConferences have been held in Tokyo, Seoul, Trondheim, Varna and Newcastle.
The interest in the PRADS Conferences is growing and this time over 200 proposals for papers were received. The final programme includes 126 papers of high quality which are published in the Proceedings of the Conference by Elsevier in the series "Developments in Marine Technology". 250 participants from 30 different countries will attend the Conference. The largest delegations come from The Netherlands, Japan, Germany, Korea, Italy and UK.
Aspect of the Practical Design of Ships and Mobile Units considered in the selection of the papers were Design Synthesis, Production, Hydromechanics, Structures and Materials. and Offshore Engineering.
The organization of PRADS was supported by MARIN, Delft University of Technology, the
Netherlands Organization for Applied Research, the Royal Institute of Engineers in The Netherlands, the Royal Netherlands Association of Maritime Engineers, and the Royal Netherlands Navy.
During the OPENING & PLENARY SESSION of the Conference: Jr J.J.C.M. van Dooremalen, President Board of Directors, IHC Holland
will welcome the participants on behalf of the Netherlands Maritime Industry and the supporting
Organizations. Mr Van Dooremalen is a member of the Controlling Board of MARIN and a member of the Association of Shipyards in The Netherlands.
Representatives of the supporting organizations formed together the LOCAL ORGANIZING
COMMITTEE. They played a major role in the choice of the Technical Themes and the Paper selection. In the Plenary Session the members of the LOCAL ORGANIZATION COMMITTEE will give their vision about the main themes of the Conference. These Plenary lectures are included in this booklet.
PRADS Local Organizing Committee: Dr M.W.C. Oosterveld. Chairman Jr S.G. Tan, Secretary
Prof. Jr A. Aalbers Ir G.T.M. Janssen Jr P.J. Keuning Prof. Dr J.A. Pinkster Mr J. Veltman Prof. Dr J.H. Vugts
M.C.W. Oosterveld and S.G. Tan Editors
MARIN - MARIN
- Delft University of Technology
Netherlands Organization for Applied Research Royal Netherlands Navy
Delft University of Technology Royal Institute of Engineers
- Royal Netherlands Association of Maritime Engineers - Royal Institute of Engineers
CONTENTS
PageSafety and Ship design 1
A. Aalbers
Production of Complex Ships 10
A. Aalbers
Aspects of model tests and computations for ships and structures in waves 18
J.A. Pinkster and S.G. Tan
Some considerations on design of ship structures and materials 31
G.T.M. Janssen
Offshore technology in perspective 37
A. Aalbers
Delft University of Technology, Marine Technology, Ship Design Mekelweg 2, 2628 CD Delft, the Netherlands
INTRODUCTION
Two topics, which are always in the mind of a
designer, are Economy and Safety. If a design
is not economical it will never be built and if a
design turns out to be unsafe the designer is
responsible. The practising designer expects
fromthe scientists
and
researchers,
ascollected here at the PRADS symposium, that
they
willcontribute
tothe
further
development of tools and methods to judge
and improve economy and safety in an early
stage of the design process.The concerns from the point of view of a
practising designer are given with respect to
safety, which is always under pressure of
economy.
SAFETY
General
The attitude in
society towards safety is
changing
fromprescriptive
rules
toprescriptive safety levels. It is not sufficient
for the designer to refer to the prescriptive
rules, and it is not possible to refer to rules for
new ship types, because these are not covered
by the rules.
We will first discuss the hazards for a ship.
Hazards
What is the situation with respect to safety of
ship and crew? A sailor in 1890 still had a
chance of almost 4% to lose his ship, currently
that chance is less than 0.5%. In fig. 1 the
causes of accidents since 1939 are given. In
recent years the division over the various
causes is as follows [1]:
Foundering 40%
In 80% of these accidents the primary cause
was, however, a human error. For instance,
,
t.
V,
-Figure 1 Development of causes of accidents.
bad seamanship, insufficient knowledge of
equipment,
faults
in
procedures
communication errors and bad ergonomic
design.
Compared with
other
transport
modesshipping is safe in terms of absolute numbers
of fatalities per year. In Europe there are 300
times more fatalities in road transport and 9
times more in rail transport. Aviation
iscomparable with
shipping.However, per
passenger kilometre aviation is 25 times more
safe than shipping. [2]. In that respect much
can still be improved.The large
scale of shipping, for instance
cruise ships with more than 4000 persons on
board, requires a much higher safety level
than that of a motorcar with 4 persons on
board. The reluctance of the aircraft industry
to go beyond 500 passengers per aeroplane is
significant in this respect.
Rules and Regulations
Three independent instruments mainly cover
the safety of ships: the Load Line Convention,
the SOLAS Convention and the Rules of the
Classification Societies.Load Line Convention. The assignment of a
loadline
is executed bythe
National
Authorities.
SOLAS Convention. This convention deals
with intact stability and damaged stability,
lifesaving equipment and fire protection. The
Grounding 32%
Fire 18%
National Authorities
executethe SOLAS
convention.Classification Rules. The classification rules
cover the reliability of ship structures and
propulsion systems. The National authorities
and the Insurance companies require the
fulfilment to the classification rules.
We will now critically discuss some aspects of
the current safety rules.
3. FREEBOARD
History
The assignment of a load line to a ship is the
oldest safety measure in shipping, probably
going back to the Middle Ages when Italian
shipbuilders already applied freeboard/depth
ratio's of 0.25 to their ships. Being the oldest
instrument (SOLAS came later
after the
Titanic disaster) all kind of safety aspects
were covered, implicitly or explicitly, by the
Load Line Convention.Scope of Load Line Conference
During the last Load Line Conference of 1966
a farewell was given to the tradition that the
Load Line Conference covered virtually all
safety
aspects
of a
ship.
Stability and
subdivision (damaged
stability)
were not
taken
into account explicitly,but
the
following scope of application was valid [3]:prevention of entry of water into the hull
adequate reserve buoyancy
protection of the crew
adequate structural strength
limitation of wetness on deck
Unscientific approachLooking back it
is amazing to read the
unscientific considerations. The results of sea
keeping model tests were just becoming more
generally known, but not properly applied.
For instance, the influence of the block
coefficient and the bow flare on the required
bow height was considered in the wrong way.
Our current freeboards are based on those
invalid considerations.
Some other decisions and discussions, which
have their repercussions in our days, will now
be mentioned.Bulk carrier losses
Based on the favourable statistics of ships
built in accordance with the previous, 1930
Convention it was decided in 1966 to reduce
the freeboard of ships and to delete the
requirement
of a forecastle. The morereduction for the larger ships, as they were
considered as being above the weather. This,
however, was not accompanied with extra
requirements for hatch covers. The shipping
world was verysatisfied
with
this
contribution to the economy of ships. This
relaxation of the Load Line has contributed to
the large number of bulk carriers lost in the
last 30 years due to damaged hatch covers,
with the Derbyshire as the most pregnant
example.
Freeboard of small ships
Small ships were traditionally assigned a
relative small freeboard. This is based on the
consideration that they will not meet such
severe weather as larger ships on their large
trips. This resulted in ships under the 1930
Convention with very low dynamic stability,
since no explicit stability requirements were
available. Effortsat
the
Conference toincrease the freeboard of smaller ships to
improve their stability were not successful
becausestability
was not seen as a responsibility of the Load Line Conference. Asa compromise the Conference decided to
encourage the fitting of superstructures to
small ships, with a length of 35% of the ship
length, in order to increase the dynamic
stability of small ships.
Stability of small ships
Still our small ships are sailing with small
freeboardsand
inherent
smallstability
ranges. To comply with the intact stability
requirements this
isin
the mean time
counteracted
by largeGM-values. These
cause higher accelerations and unpleasant
rolling behaviour in rough weather.
The sailing area of small ships (say below
100m) is extended considerably to worldwide
operations. As a consequence these ships
meet much more
severeweather
than
anticipated by the Load Line Conference.
This may lead
to more damagethan
anticipated
tohatch
covers,ventilation
trunks and other watertight openings. A
captain of what we used to call a coaster, but
now sailing world wide, told that he is
anxious during every storm on the North
Atlantic
that
his
ventilation
trunks
are
smashed in by the waves, figure 2. His ship
fully complies with the Rules but is in fact
only suitable for sailing in restricted waters.
Feedback of seamenSeamen have not the attitude to complain
about their ships, but they should do this
more to make the ship designer more aware of
the circumstances at sea. The profession can
not accept that a captain of a large bulk
carrier said: 'the more I study the problem of
bulk carrier failure, the less I trust the naval
architects' [4].A critical re-assessment of the safety of small
ships with respect to watertight integrity is
required, as is the case for bulk carriers.
Scientific approach?
Currently discussions in IMO are going on
regarding new freeboard rules. There seems
to be more room now for a scientific approach,see for instance [5]. On the other hand in
these circles discussions take place whether a
rule should be given as a formula or in tables,
as if we are still in the times of the slide rule.
Apparently, no discussion is held on which
...tins at SEaWAv-R V -0 knots Japanese mol Chinese method CONTAINIER SHIP LID-IS Cob 0 35).0 65 5% 0% 20
There is no differentiation for sailing area,
but in stead a mean North Atlantic condition
is taken. We still accept 2.35 m green water
on board with a probability of 30% in a North
Atlantic storm on our ships (figure 3).
The consequences can be seen in figure 4
showing a ship in a North Atlantic storm,
designed with a bow height according to the
Load Line Rules and an alternative one with
a calculated bow height based on a rational
requirement for the rough sailing area of the
ship.Figure 4 - Minimum and rational bowheight
We should encourage direct calculations of
the freeboard and bow height of ships based
on their actual sailing area. When going
outside their design area the draught of the
ship should be adapted for that specific trip.
4. STABILITY
Intact stability
HistoryThe current intact stability requirements of
IMO are directly based on the work of Rahola
in 1939
[6].Explicit requirements to the
stability of ships were implemented only very
recently (IMCO 1968 conference). Especially
when compared
with
the date
ofthe
investigations of Reed into the capsizing of
the 'Captain' in 1870.
The approach of Rahola and subsequent of
IMO is based on a judgement of the curve of
arm of stability for a large number of
non-capsized ships, apparently safe, and non-capsized
ships, apparently unsafe. To remind this
important work
ofRahola
one of hisstatistical graphs is given in figure 5. The
current IMO requirements misses two of
Rahola's criteria, viz, the maximum capsize
angle and the influence of the dynamic angle
of repose of the cargo.100 20C 300 400 Snip length Lpp (01)
Figure 3 ILLC probability of green water.
,5 10 2
/
IC LL' 1 50 5. 4.0 %.°P
Old hull forms and proportions.
The stability requirements are based on old
ship types, old hull forms and old proportions,
not necessarily representing current practice.
The introduction of containerships, with the
possibility of cargo on deck, resulted in the
development of stability oriented designs.
These are characterised by high ratios of B/D,
BIT and Cb/C,p. A large number of model testsat HSVA revealed that these characteristics
have a deteriorating effect on the capsize
resistance in following waves. [7].
Additional requirements
Based on
these
modeltests,
additional
requirements to the curve of stability are
recommended in IMO resolution A749 (18),
applicable for containerships with a length
greater than 100m.
It
took15 years to
transfer these HSVA findings into Rules. This
is quite an improvement compared with the
findings of Reed, which took 90 years to
become Rule.
It is interesting to note that the old Rahola
criterion on total area of the curve of stability
is re-introduced. This recommendation can
cause a substantial required increase of the
GZ Iml 0,80 0,50 0,40 0,20 0° 20' Fig. 10 Vessel 111 d .5.00 rn form lector . 0.0627
Fig 5 Extra stability required for high B/D [8]
area of the curve of stability. See for example
figure 5 for a comparison of the existing curve
of stability and the new required curve for a
ship with a B/D of 2.45. [8]
Disproportionate dimensions.
There was a comparable trend with B/D, but
in the opposite direction around 1870. For
reasons of probably tonnage rules and fitting
of shelter decks, the B/D ratio in those years
was around 1.3, leading to bad stability and
high losses of ships. Following the explication
of the losses in a paper by Martell concerning
'disproportionate dimensions of steamers' the
B/D ratio rose sharp to a value of about 1.7 in
1900. For non-shelter deckers this
valueremained up to 1960. [9]. From then on there
was a clear further increase up to values
above 2.0 up to 2.5, for stability reasons,
leading to the results as earlier mentioned.
High GM-valuesCompliance
with
these
latest
IMOrecommendations, which are requirements in
Germany, can only be achieved for a design
with given ratios, by an increase of the
GM-value. As was the case with the low freeboard
small ships.
Damaged stability
History
The current probabilistic damaged stability
requirements are of recent date, based on
sound scientific principles, but so complicated
that most designers still handle it as a black
box.
Old statistics
Also here the method is based on statistics
which uses the characteristics of old ships. In
the mean time most ships are of double hull
construction, having a much higher calision
resistance
than
the
singlehull
designsprevailing at the time of the formulation of
the requirements.
High GM-values.
The damaged
stability
rules
require
asurvival index, which is a weighted value of
the index on partial drafts and on the loaded
draft. One of the possibilities to achieve the
required index is to give the ship a high
GM-value
inthe partly
loadeddrafts while
4 . ... ..wet On eg2t .... ... ..ON = MM._ oh. yam 0300..
MElf0
i - ----300.. 0,00. oo-t , IIMI
0.000m 0 .. Figure 5 Jr or Nee, ongle0minimising the GM (containerships with deck
loads) at the loaded draft.
The unforeseen consequence of this rule is
therefore that the safety of the ship in the
partly loaded conditions decreases due to high
accelerations, while the
safetyat
loadedGM, partial draft b a ---b
GM{
subdivision draft draft
Figure 6 Damaged stability index [10]
conditions is not improved at all.
Net safety decreased.The net safety of the
ship istherefore
decreased due to the damaged stability rules.
The more when one realises that collisions
forms only 10% of the accidents while the shiphas to sail with the unpleasant GM-values its
whole life. Alsohere
the
designer
isstimulated by the rules and under economic
pressure,
to designships
with
largemetacentre heights.
5. CONSEQUENCES
Rules lead to high GM-values.We saw that low freeboard ships leads to high
GM-values, that the extra requirements for
containerships leads to high GM-values and
that
the damaged
stability requirements
leads to high GM-values.Seaworthy and seakind
These tendencies leading to higher GM-values
have a detrimental effect on the seakindliness
and accelerations of the ship. This creates
unsafe situations for the crew and large forces
on the cargo. We here see the contradiction
between the vision of the Authorities on a
seaworthy ship and the requirements for a
seakind ship from the point of view of the
crew and the cargo.
Proportions.The best compromise between seaworthiness
and seakindliness (if there is a contradiction
at all) has to be found. This will quite sure be
found with other proportions than the market
shows now. On longer term this insight
should lead to designs with lower B/D or B/T
values and more cargo below deck.Punishment for safety
This preferred tendency
is,however, not
encouraged and even punished by the fact
that ship owners have to pay more
harbour-and canal tolls for more safety harbour-and comfort.
Because these are based on the total volume
of the ship (Gross Tonnage). On the one hand
we see Port Authorities encouraging safety
with Green Awards, while on the other hand
they punish (probably ignorant) by higher
costs for ships with more spare buoyancy
(lower B/D) than strictly required. This has
been emphasised on many occasions by the
very experienced designer Ir. E. Vossnack.
For further examples see [11], [12] and [13].6. CONSTRUCTION
The Rules for the construction of ships have a
sound scientific base, at least for the response
of the construction on a defined load. Finite
element
methodsare
matured and
are
extensively used in the preliminary and final
design phases by yards and classification
societies. The problem still is not the response
of the construction but the loads imposed by
the sea. The previous experience- based rules
did implicitlytake
into accountthe
complicated and difficult to predict sea and
operational
conditions. Largeconstruction
failures are rare in our times. This is true
with the exemption of the bulk carriers with
their vulnerable hatch covers,
ventilation
trunks and bulkheads.
Mismatch between rules.
The hatch cover is a typical example of
a
mismatch between two sectors of the safety
requirements:
the Load Line
Conventionpromises a design load of 1.75 m of water
onthe hatch cover when obeying their rules.
This value is taken over by the classification
societies as a design load. In practice this
1A
lit
E
0 GM,
value can be much more. In the case of the
170000 tdwt bulk carrier Derbyshire it
isassumed that a water head of more than 11 m
has been on the hatch cover, leading to a
Figure 7 Collapsed hatchcover Derbyshire [14].
collapse with fatal consequences [14]
7. LIFESAVING
Safety barriers
Experience learns that disasters occur after a
sequence oftechnical
events
or human
mistakes. But it also learns that the saving of
people on board is prevented by a sequence of
mostly technical obstacles. As example the
unbelievable chain of events leading to the
disaster
andthe
unbelievable chainpreventing the saving of people is given here
on hand of the 'Estonia' disaster [15]. If there
are lifebelts on board then we apparently
accept that some time they have to be used.
Design to enable people
tobe saved
istherefore important.
Events leading to accident:
Inadequate methods to calculate the wave
loads on the bow visorInadequate methods
todimension the
construction of the bow visorMisunderstanding between Class and Flag
Authority on approval procedures leading
to a non-approved visor locking deviceNo action undertaken after problems on
sister ship with bow visor
Position sensors for signal lamps on wrong
position giving false indicationSeamanship error by persisting on too
high speed after suspect noises were heard
Miscommunication between crew when
reporting the apparent failure of the bow
doorDesign
fault:
Second door serving
assecond barrier connected to the bow visor
which also opened when bow visor failed Events preventing people to be saved:Very fast achievement of large list
Breaking
of windowsnear waterline
causing progressive floodingBlack out of main engines caused by list of
30°, no possibility any more to manoeuvre
the ship in better position
Black out of auxiliary engines at angle of
40°, no more lighting and communication
Evacuation very difficult: under large list
transverse stairs became almost vertical
passageways with width of 1 m became 1m
high
Break down of handrails in alleyways and
staircases under the weight of hanging
people
Loose carpets, floors and equipment falling
on peopleImpossible to launch boats and rafts under
a large list
Capsizing of life rafts under influence of
wind and waves
Some people survived all these horrors but
died when at last their life raft ruptured
when hoisting on board saving ship
As known IMO has reacted very fast on this
large accident and has given new rules in the
mean time.8. INTEGRATED SAFETY
Balanced safety
The current Rules and Regulations are not
sufficient based on state-of-the-art scientific
principles and are not related to each other.
This leads to unbalance in the approach of the
various safety aspects of a ship and even to
unsafe
ships. Alsothe
introduction
of completely new shiptypes
likefast
catamarans and the introduction of very large
cruise ships makes in necessary to critically
judge the current approach of safety
in shipping.Two things are important in my opinion to
improve the current set of safety measures,
one concerning the contents of the safety
measures, one concerning the methodology:
Simulation of ships in operational and
extreme conditions using state of the art
knowledge and computer codesApplication of a structured and balanced
methodology known as Formal
SafetyAssessment
Simulation
A very
interesting
and
promisingdevelopment is the introduction of simulation
tools for the assessment of the behaviour of
ships inextreme
conditions,including
manoeuvring in
waves. At MARIN the
program Fredyn has been developed for some
Navies for the evaluation of new hull forms.
[16] With this simulation tool so far difficult
topredict
dynamicphenomena
like broaching,stability
in following waves,broaching and parametric rolling can now be
handled.
It was even possible
topredict
unexpected parametric
rollingof a large
cruise ship under moderate condition [17].
With a large number of simulations in various
sea states the experience which Rahola had to
gather from accidents in the past can now be
gathered before accidents take place.
The responsible designer of commercial ships
knows these phenomena but so far no tools
were available to predict them. While it is
known that the current regulations do not
take these phenomena into account this is a
big worry for the designer, and perhaps also
for the Authorities. We have to do the utmost
to get these methods available in day-to-day
design work.But
inany case
forthe
judgement of new or unusual ship types and
operational conditions.jnhlr,
13
Total Dynamic Stability Im-rad]
Figure 8 Capsize index as function of dynamic
stability [16].
Formal Safety Assessment
The Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) is due
to its complexity not suitable for day-day to
day design work [18]. The FSA methodology
consists of five steps viz,
identification of
hazards, risk assessment, risk control options,
cost benefit assessment and decision making.
A team of experts executes the identification
of hazards and the risk assessments. The
quality of the judgement can therefore very
much depend on the level and experience of
these experts. The main application of the
FSA-approach will be in the development of
consistent rules.
For designs strongly deviating from current
practice this approach, in combination with
scientific methods, is the only way to judge
the safety level of a design.New is
the
explicit use of cost/benefitevaluations. Apart from the selection of the
best alternative, also in economical respect,
there is sense in an example referenced by
Krappinger [19], that the use of too much
steel in a ship, leads to more risk for human
life as steel has to be mined and produced in
dangerous situations.
9. CONCLUSION
Shipping
is a safeindustry. But things
change fast. Faster than in aviation where
types are produced for more than 20 years.
In shipping we see the advent of fast ships,
very large passenger ships and ships with
new hull forms operating worldwide. We have
to be careful
and aware
of these new
developments to maintain the high required
safety level.We have seen that the various rules intend to
provide safe ships, but that they currently
=1
RISK CONTRIBUTION TR',
lead to sub-optima per safety instrument like
load line,intact
stability
and damaged
stability, and that even the safety on other
aspects, seakindliness, can deteriorate.
This is especially
the
casewith
the
deteriorating effects of damaged and intact
stability requirements leading to higher
GM-values on the seakindliness.
A plea is made to use advanced methods to
simulate the behaviour of ships in operational
conditions. The reliability of these programs
is sufficient and in any case better than the
approaches based on statistics based on old
ships or rules of thumb (load lines) which are
currently used.
A further plea is made to integrate all safety
aspects of a ship using the FSA-methodology
for the calibration of the rules and for the
assessment of unusual ships.
It
is advisedthat
designers
use
these
advanced methods on a voluntary base as
long as these have no statutory base.
The influence of punishment on extra safety
due to
the Gross Tonnage measurement
system should be deleted. A more rational tax
method should be invented.
It might be good to re-introduce the old
approach of the Load Line Conference, which
tried to cover all aspects of ship safety. But
now on
a scientificbase and including
seakindliness and economy.REFERENCES
I. Clingan, 'Safety at Sea-Its Risk
Management', Bulletin de l'AISM/IALA, 1986/1.'Priority Measures for Maritime Accident
Reduction', European Transport Safety
Council, August 1997.D.R. Murray Smith, 'The 1966
International Conference on Load Lines',
Quarterly Transactions, RINA, Vol.111, No.1, January 1969.
M. Grey, 'Creating a storm over how to
handle ship Lloyd's List, June 8, 1994.
H. Meier, C. Ostergaard, Zur direkten
Berechnung des Freibordes far den
Schiffsentwurf, Jahrbuch STG, 1996.
J. Rahola, 'The judging of the stability of
ships and the determination of the minimum
amount of stability', Helsinki, 1939.
P. Blume, 'On the influence of the
variation of righting levers in waves on
stability requirements'.
H. Hormann, D. Wagner, 'Stability
Criteria for present day ships design', 3rd
International Conference on Stability of Ships
and Ocean Vehicles, Gdansk, 1986.J.M. Murray, 'Merchant Ships, 1860-1960',
RINA, 1960.H. Stevelt, J. Dalgaard, 'Design and
optimisation of containervessels'
E. Eisenhardt, Termessungs-formeln
und Vermessungs-vorschriften, ihr Einfluss
auf den Entwurf von Schiffen'. Schiffstechnik
3, 1955/56.A. Aalbers, 'Ontwerpen van Schepen',
Inaugural Lecture, Delft, 1996.
E. Vossnack, 'Developments in Ship Design', Delft 1997.
R.A. Williams and R. Torchio, `M.V. Derbyshire Surveys. UK/EC Assessors' Report. A summary. 1998.
The Joint Accident Investigation
Commission of Estonia, Finland and Sweden,
Final report on the capsizing of the Ro-Ro Passenger Vessel MV Estonia'J.O. de Kat, R. Brouwer, K.A.
McTaggart, W.L. Thomas, 'Intact ship
survivability in extreme waves', 5thInternational Conference on Stability of Ships
and Ocean Vehicles, 1994.R.P. Dallinga, J.J. Blok, H.R. Luth,
'Excessive rolling of cruise ships in head and
following waves', RINA Internationalconference on ship motions and maneuvring,
1998.
'Interim Guidelines for the Application of
FSA to the IMO Rule-making Process'. MSC/Circ.829, 1997.0.
Krappinger,
Zusammenhange
zwischender
Wirtschaftlichkeit
und
Sicherheit von Schiffen, Institut fUr Schiffbau
der Universitat Hamburg, 1967.
Production of Complex Ships
A. AalbersDelft University of Technology, Marine Technology Mekelweg 2, 2628 CD Delft, the Netherlands
INTRODUCTION
It
isa human joy to
create things, and
especially moving things. Perhaps therefore
shipbuilding is a fascinating activity. The
creative process from the first design sketch
through
engineering,cutting,
welding,launching and seatrials is completed in a
relative short time and the people involved
can closely followthe creation
process.Parents working in shipbuilding have no
problem to explain their children what they
are doing. This is a reason, be it not an
objective one, to strive for the preservation of
shipyards in our expensive countries. It will,
however, be shownthat
despite severecompetition there are objective reasons for
shipbuilding in 'expensive' countries.
We will try to find this based on the cost
structure
of complex ships.It
will be indicated whichtechnical
andother
developments are necessary.
SHIPBUILDING
The following analysis
isbased on the
situation of shipyards in the Netherlands [11
The building of complex ships is a
one-of-a-kind industry with short lead times. This in
contrast
tothe
automobile oraircraft
industry which are massproduction industries
with long productlifecycles. This means that
the approach of a shipbuilder is difficult to
compare with the approach in other sectors of
industry.
Activities
The following
activities
arerequired
to produce a ship:Marketing: to identify which people are
interested in which type or size of ship
(shipyard approach) or which shipper is
interested
intransporting
goods (shipowner approach)Acquisition
and
design: to come onspeaking
terms
with
the
identifiedshipowner or shipper and to translate his
requirements in a design proposal with a
price and an operational performance
Engineering
Purchasing and subcontracting
Production of steel (aluminium, GRP etc)
Outfitting
Commissioning
Shipbuilding is still strongly associated with
the production ofthe
steel
hull. Theshipbuilder's first interest sometimes seem to
be to have his yard producing steel. But, the
raison d'etre of a shipbuilder is to produce
ships for the market.
The first interest for a shipbuilder should
therefore be to deliver attractive ships for the
market, off course at an attractive price.
Production is therefore only one part, be it an
important and expensive part, in the chain of
necessary activities to realize a ship.
Whether the various mentioned activities are
combined in one company, the shipyard or
divided over various companies, depends on
country and markets. In some countries it is
usual
that
designand
engineering
areperformed by design agencies on behalf of the
shipowners. The yard has to produce the steel
as a 'jobber' with no input in the design.
This has resulted sometimes in expensive
designs due to insufficient knowledge of the
factors which determine costs. A part of the
'design for production' hype can be attributed
to this insufficient knowledge resulting in
unneccessary expensive designs for instance
with for welders unaccessible constructions or
with too small engine rooms.Design for production is therefore a derivative
goal and should not be a main goal. The
shipowner is not interested how his ship is
produced as long as the ship is of good quality
and as longit
is cheap. Forinstance
production-friendly bulbs are not acceptable
any more to shipowners when they have a
lower hydrodynamic performance.When all mentioned activities are combined
in one company we have a complete shipyard.
The advantage is that all elements which can
lead to a successful ship are in one hand and
no sub-optimization takes place. But, more
and more there is a tendency to separate the
activities,and to
outsourceas much as
possible for cost or strategic reasons.What then remains as core at the end are
marketing,
design and purchasing.
Evenengineering and outfitting are outsourced.
Whether this
isto be desired or this
ispossible depends on the type of ship and the
environment
inwhich the
yard has
tooperate. Let us have a look at the
West-European and, more
specific,the Dutch
situation.
Environment
Labourcosts. Like
in
allWest-European
countries the cost of labour is high in the
Netherlands. The economical threat of the
emerging shipbuilding countries is clearly felt
inthe Netherlands.
Thereforegradually
everybody is realizes that it is important to
work hard, to be inventive and
to use the
advantage
of experience andtechnical
infrastructure
to keepshipbuilding
andshipping a healthy and important part of our
industry.
Productivity. Also in connection with the high
labour costs,the
mechanisation
andproductivity in the Netherlands are among
the highest in the world. The social structure
is sound, with only very few labour strikes.
Education. The level of education is generally
high. It is not easy to attract talented young
people for shipbuilding or shipping, which
still has an image of low-valued labour and of
uncertainty of jobs due to past experiences
with
closingyards.
This factor is alsoencountered in Japan, where the shipbuilding
industry has the image of what they call the
three K's, of dangerous, dirty and difficult.
Even in Korea the managers of shipyards are
complaining that the brightest young men are
not choosing any more for a job inshipbuilding, but in other parts of industry
like electronics. This situation will also come
in other countries climbing in their state of
industrialisation.
Tradition. It is an advantage for countries
when shipbuilding is
not a first
step in
industrialisation, but a long existing and
embedded part
of industry, with
stronghomemarkets for e.g. fishery, inland shipping
and transport of goods and persons.
Infrastucture.
There isan
excellentinfrastructure
inthe
Netherlands
forshipbuilding with education and research
institutes and local shipowners with modern
and specialized tonnage.
Size of shipbuilding. The size of the maritime
industry is internationally seen small, and
close to
a critical mass, below which no
sufficient research and developments in the
field of production technology can beperformed. Each individual yard certainly can
not perform sufficient research on its own.
How to be competitive?
Years ago the question was raised how to be
competitive in the sketched environment. The
succesfull yards in the Netherlands adopted
one or more of the following measures:concentration on complicated one-off 's
high productivity through organisation,
involvement of all people in the companyhigh productivity through mechanisation
Complex one-offs
The Dutch
shipbuilding
industry
has
succeeded to concentrate on complicated
one-off 's. This is one-off course supported by a strong
home-market in the Netherlands for complex
ships. This follows from for instance the
AWES statistics of delivered ships expressed
in gross tons and in compensated gross tons.
Therelation
between grosstons
and
compensated gross tons is an indication for
the size and complexity of a ship. Where this
factor forthe total
worldshipbuilding
production amounts to 0.65 to 0.75, this factor
is 1.8 to
2.4 for the Dutch shipbuilding
industry.
With complicated one-off 's it is normally so
that the direct labour costs constitutes a
small part of the total price of the ship, while
on the other hand the design and engineering
with high qualified people forms a substantial
It is the quality of the involved manhours
which is decisive for the competitiveness. Also
with ships with a larger part of the cost price
consisting out of manhours, it is possible to be
competitive,if
the
required
design or production know-how is available. Forexample, if the know how to weld a duplex
stainless steel is available, it takes still more
time to weld stainless steel than normal steel,
but if the know hoe is not available, it takes
very much more time, with still insufficient
results.
Examples of complex one-offs are deepfreeze
trawlers,
suppliers,
cablelayers, hopperdredgers, passengerferries.
3. PRODUCTION COSTS
Costcomponents
We will now investigate the cost structure of a
complex ship and try to identify the relative
importance
of the
various systemsand
activities. An overall view is given in fig 1 at
the end of this paper.
The first significant division can be made
between labour costs and material costs.
Labour- and materialcosts
About 70 percent of the price of the ship
consists of materialcosts, but this can also be
80 percent or more. This depends on the costs
of the equipment, the extent of subcontracting
and the state of mechanisation/robotization at
the yard.
The material costs
inthis example also
includes the material- and labourcosts of
sub-suppliers for conservation, airconditioning,
electrical installation, insulation. This can
differ appreciably per country or per yard.
The influence ofthe
material-
andsubcontracting part on the total price is high.
Influence of subcontractors. An important
consequence is that a shipyard can influence
to a large extent the manhour costs of his
sub-contractors. A good organisation of the yard
allows sub-contractors to offer lower prices. It
is preferred more and more to talk about
co-makers instead of suppliers.
Influence of specification.
The correct specification of a ship is very
important
forthe
costprice. An overspecificationof 5%,
which is easilyachieved, leads to a costprice increase of 3.5
%. A lot of efforts should therefore be put in a
correct specification. Fortunately it turns out
that not more than say 20 single items (main
engine, propeller, winches, cargo equipment
etc) are responsible for 80 % of the material
costs. Formaterials
andequipment
inprinciple worldmarket prices have to be paid.
This means that complex ships with their
large equipment content, are less sensible for
manhour rates
than
shipswith
a lowequipment content.
Manhours per system
We will further elaborate the manhours. The
total manhours are split over the various
functional elements out of which a ship is
built up like hull, equipment, accommodation
and machinery and activities like design,
engineering and transport (sometimes called
overhead).This turns out
for atypical
Steel. A shipyard is often identified with steel
production, and the impression exists that
steel
production isthe
most important
activity of a shipyard. This is clearly not the
case for complicated one-off's, as follows fromabove table. The variation of the importance
of manhours steel for various shiptypes is
shown in the following graph [2]. The more
complex the ship the less important is the
influence
of the
steelproduction
onthe
costprice of the ship.
Influence of Design
Remarkable are the low design costs for a
ship, which is less than 1%. The influence of
the design on the costs is on the other hand
very high, as we already saw when discussing
example as follows:Steel hull
50Equipment
10Accommodation 5
Machinery & Systems 15
Design <1
Engineering
10General 10
the specification. Some other examples are
given here taken from [3]. The followingexamples give cost items which are equivalent
Figure 2 Relative part of steel.
to one manyear designer
one extra ballasttank
100 kW of propulsionpower20 t of extra steel
deadweight penalty of 5 t
50 m2 of extra accommodationIt pays off therefore for a yard to have a good
design team (which is not the same as a big
design team).
Steel Hull
The steel hull of a complex ship still has a
large contribution to the total weight of the
ship, but attributes for less than 50 % of
manhours.
Fig.3 Hull as collection of mainly flat panels
It is not often realized that by far the largest
part of the steel consists of flat surfaces, and
only about 10 to 20 % of curved surfaces. Thisis shown in figure 4. In this graph with a
large variety of shipforms ranging from
Cb=0.58 to 0.78 the division of the various
surfaces is given.100%
division of plate areas
Figure 4 Division of plate areas.
E Shell curved Shell nat !U Bulkheads
0 Girders In db Decks
Comparison between a complicated and a
simple
ship. A comparison between the
involved costs for a complicated ship, for
instance a deepfreeze factory trawler and a
simple ship, for instance a tanker, as given in
the following graph. This reveals that the
costprice of the trawler consists for only 15 %
out of manhours steel, while for the tanker
this part is about 40 %. (This is under equal
circumstances. From [4] it is known that at
Odense this
figure isfar lower through
massive robotization).Figure 5 Comparison trawler and tanker
Consequence for investments
This implies that an improvement of 10 % in
steel production for a trawler would give a
total cost reduction of 1.5 %, while the same
improvement for a tanker would result in 4 %
costprice reduction..
The approach of sectionbuilding
and
robotization has to be seen in this perspective:
steel production forms a relative small part of
the costprice of complex ships.This means that the price at which it
iseconomical to invest in for instance robots, is
lower for these yards than for bigger yards
producing much more tons of steel per year,
for ships with a much larger steel part. Apart
from considerations of sizes
of robots
inrelation to the size of sections of
medium-sized ships.Steel production
We will further zoom into the steel production
activities, and give the relative importance of
the various activities. For that purpose ships
of various types and sizes
are analysed,
ranging
fromreefers
tostainless
steel
chemical tankers.
Sectionbuilding and assembly
The division between the building of
3D-sections in the steel factory and the assembly
of the 3D-sections on the slipway or in the
buildingdock is an indication of the size of
plates and the weight of sections which a yard
can handle.
sectionbuilding
80%
assembly
20%
total steel
100 %Allthough the weldingmeters in the assembly
phase are much less than those in the
sectionbuilding phase, still 20 % of the steel
hours are spent in the assembly phase, with
manual fitting of sections to each other and
welding them together
in often confined spaces.Sectionbuilding
The sectionbuilding consists of
the
preparations of the steelplates and profiles
like cutting and bending, the composition of
subassemblies like stiffened platefields and
webframes, the composition of the 3D section
out of the subassemblies (the fitting and
tackwelding) and the ens welding of the 3D
section.preparations
15 %subassemblies
10% webs & frames 10% fitting of sections35%
welding of sections20%
total
100 %Much attention has been paid in the past to
the development of numerical cutting,
one-side-weldingtechniques,
panelstreets
forlarge and small panels and the fabrication of
subassemblies like webs.But, still 65 % of the sectionbuilding consists
of
manual
work:the
fitting
ofthe
subassemblies like bulkheads and decks and
the end welding of the 3D- sections, which
takes place in mostly closed and confined
spaces. This is a large amount of handwork
which could potentially be handled by robots.
This should be considered not only for cost
reasons,
but
also forstrategic reasons,
because in the future it will become more and
more difficult to find people willing to enter
confined and enclosed spaces.
Preparations
A further look into the preparation phase
learns that the largest part of the preparation
time is
spent to cutting plates, including
handling and transport.
Bending of plates and profiles shares for 25 %
of the preparations.
The relative part of the preparation activities
in the total costprice is small. For instance
the bending of plates and profiles as part of
the total costprice amounts to (see fig 1 going
from the bottom up)(0.15 + 0.10)*0.15*0.80*0.30=0.009, : abt 1 %
It is, given the very small influence of the
curves plates on the total costs, not wise to
design a productionfriendly hullform if this
leads to a higher fuel consumption.
It must however be emphasized that large
overall cost savings are achieved by putting
much efforts in these relative small activities
like forming of plates and stiffeners.
The 'bottom-up' influence is much higher than
their part in the costprice would suggest.
High accuracy of
this
elements
greatly
simplifies further fitting and welding. It is
therefore
very costeffective toinvest
in14
cutting plates
50 % cutting profiles25%
bending plates
15% bending profiles 10%total
100 %improvement of accuracy of shellplating and
frames. Accuracy is further a prerequisite for
eventual introduction of robots or automats.
Real working hours
We have seen in the preceding paragraphs
the division of the hours over the various
aspects or processes.
A last division which can be made, is between
the hours spent for the actual job and all the
hours a welder or fitter has to spent before he
can start is actual job.
In the following figure (from [5]) a division is
given of the activities of fitters and welders on
a Japanese shipyard, divided over the aspects
preparatory, adjustments and main. It turns
outthat
'even' inthe
highly organizedems.stsrs as is.
So
Figure 6 Division of fitting and welding.
S
Japanese shipyards only one third of the time
is used for the actual job.
This fact of the low usage of machines is not
new. Already in 1921 Wilfrid Ayre [6], was
complaining that his punchingmachine could
not be used for more than 25 % of time, for
reasons
ofinsufficient
materialflow
etc.Apparently not much has improved therefore
in almost 80 years.
Motivation and organisation
Technicians have the attitude to look at
measurable,
mechanicalquantities
likeweldingmeters per hour or tons per day, but
perhaps the largest savings can be made at
the lowest costs in the improvement of the
division of activities of a fitter or a welder, by
preventing that he looses time with looking,
adjusting, checking. This should be improved
by providing high accuracy of components,
motivation and (self)-organisation.
An interesting view on the last mentioned
aspects was given at the ship production
symposium in Delft in 1992, by the Dutch
shipyard IHC [7].DEVELOPMENTS What has been done?
So far much attention has been paid to the
first stages of the production process, namely
thecomputer
generated
productioninformation, the preparations, the production
of
subassemblies
and
the
panellines.
Although
there
isstill
room forimprovements, especially in the intermediate
transport and storage, quite a lot has been
achieved in the preparatory phases.
Focus from preparations to assemblies
It is now time to focus on the second phase of
the buildingprocess,the
fitting
ofthe
subassemblies and the endwelding, which
amounts to 60 to 70 % of the sectionbuilding
hours. This
isstill
mainly handwork in
confined spaces.
Current
robots haveinsufficient room to enter the confined spaces
of medium sized complex ships.Focus on increase
of
real working hours
There is much room in the increase of real
working hours by motivation, organisation
and accuracy.
CONCLUSIONS Influence
of
steelmanhours steel counts for only 15 % of
total costs of complex ships
influence of curved surfaces on costprice is
smallinfluence of production accuracy of curved
surfaces on costprice is highInfluence
of
designcost of design less than 1%
influence of design on cost very high Design
of
construction for production:good accessibility for endwelders
reducing the number of parts
reducing difficult connections Accurate production:controlled
heat
input
for controlled deformationshigh accuracy of
frames
andplates
required
reduce non
accurate
elements
like bulbprofilesFlexible automation:
broadly based robotization not yet feasible
for economic reasons for small to medium
sized yards
handy portable tractor semi-automats for
use in confined spacesfurther robotization of production of
sub-assemblies when the price of the robots
allows suchREFERENCES:
H.A. Boer, A. Aalbers, 'Approach of Dutch
Shipyards
to Steelproduction', VVEMTConference, Madrid, 1993
H. Kerlen, `Methoden und Verfahren der
Schiffbaufertig,ung Ziele und Aufgaben fill'. die90er Jahre', Jahrbuch STG 79 (1985).
J. von Haartman, I. Kuutti, C. Schauman,
'Improving design productivity with a Product
model for initial ship design'
'The Yard View', 100A1, 3, 1993.
M. Yuzaki, et al, 'An approach to a new
ship production system based on advanced
accuracy control', Journal of Ship Production,
Vol. 9, No. 2, May 1993W. Ayre,
'Organization
for ShipProduction', Trans. NECIES, Vol. 27,
1920-1921.
J. van Sliedregt, 'Improving Productivity
inShipyards',
First
joint
conference onmarine safety and environment and ship
production, DUP, 1992.
Section Building
'reparation and Subassembly
Sections and Assembly on Slipway
assembly
20%
fitting and welding webs
10%
fitting and welding frames 5% welding plates 5% bending plates 10% cutting plates 30%
Figure 1 - Division of production costs
Materials and Labour
fitting sections 25 %
preparation and subassembly 35%
cutting and bending frames
25 % production webs 20% small panels 10% hull 50% welding sections 25 % materials 70% man hours 30% accommodation
Division of Man Hours
5 %machinery and piping
15 % equipment
design 10 %
1% general and engineering
19%
section building 80%
Aspects of model tests and computations for ships and other structures in waves
J.A. Pinkstera and S.G. Tan'
a Delft University of Technology, Ship Hydrodynamics Laboratory
Mekelweg 2, 2628 CD Delft, .The Netherlands
Maritime Research Institute Netherlands, Research and Development Department P.O. Box 28, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
1. INTRODUCTION
Knowledge on the loads on, and the behaviour of ships and other floating equipment in waves may be required for a variety of reasons related to the
structural design or the operations of such
structures. See Figure 1.
SHIP CHARACTERISTICS SEAKEEPING TOOLS SEAKEEPING OPERATIONAL CHARACTERISTICS CRITERIA DESIGN ASSESSMENT OPERATOR GUIDANCE SEA CONDITIONS
Figure 1. Seakeepina performance analysis
Regarding structural loads, we are concerned with extreme loads which a vessel may have to withstand during its operational life time on the one hand and on the other hand the fatigue loads leading
to the accumulation of fatigue damage.
The expected extreme loads are the prime input
to the structural design of a vessel, besides of
course the input based on the operational demands placed on the vessel. Extreme loads on ships are associated with high sea-states and often with large motion amplitudes. As a consequence non-linear
effects, i.e. that loads and motions are not a linear
function of the wave amplitudes and
that thefrequencies present in the wave loads contain
super-and subharmonics of the wave frequencies, can
become important.
Expected fatigue loads tend to have an impact
on details of the structural design and will not
dictate the overall structural design to the same degree as the extreme loads. Increasingly, however, information on fatigue loads is required as thestructures tend to become lighter and less material is used. This requires that statistical data on the
frequency distribution of load oscillations be
developed for short and long term. Short term in this sense being the statistics related to a particular sea-condition and long term being the statistics of
the loads as related to the lifetime of the vessel.
2. EXTREME BEHAVIOUR OF SHIPS Besides information on the loads due to the continuous action of waves on the structures of ships, information is required on the loads due to extreme events such as slamming and green water. The loads due to slamming are highly non-linear when related to the wave amplitudes and the
frequencies associated with the load oscillation after
an initial wave impact are related more to the
frequencies of the vibratory modes than to the wave
frequencies.
Higher sea-states and larger ship motions may lead to the occurrence of green water on deck.
While this is also
one of those
undesirableoccurrences which, as slamming, is avoided as much as possible, the effects of green water on deck
are potentially so much more dangerous for the crew, the ship and its cargo. Therefore not only is
the probability of occurrence a focal point but
increasingly attention is being paid to the actual behaviour of water on deck and to the effects interms of water heights, velocities on deck and
impact pressures on superstructures. Research in this field is aimed at, among others, more rationaldesign of wave breaking barriers on deck.
For ships at sea the influence of waves on the resistance and propulsion characteristics
are of
importance from the point of view of economy andthe time taken to reach the destination. The
resistance characteristics of a ship are traditionally based on the stil water resistance with corrections for the in-service condition of the hull taking into account in an approximative way, the resistance
increase in waves. Nowadays, more detailed
information on such effects are required in the design stage in order to be able to asses influence of changes in hull form, loading condition, course and speed etc. on the speed loss in waves. See Figure 2,
Blok (1993). 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0.45 (Frigates) 040 cs/Tm<0.25 A c .0 65 (Ferries) o.a. 0.28.<6S /T M<0.6.0 '--006.0.85 (Tankers) 0.50<cr /T s m A a
Figure 2. Thrust increase in waves. Blok (1993)
Motions of ships in waves can be influenced significantly by non-linear effects. A well known aspect in this sense is the rolling of ships in waves
coming from off-bow, off-stern or beam directions.
Another effect which has become more important in recent times is the occurrence of parametric rolling of ships which can occur in head or stern seas. See
Dallinga et al. (1998). This phenomenon is
especially of importance for cruise vessels. See
Figure 3.
Broaching effects of ships in stern or stern-quartering seas have always been of concern to designers and operators. The behaviour of a ship under such conditions is a complex combination of the effects of wave-induced motions and forces on the one hand and on the capacity of the vessels steering system to counteract these forces and the lateral stability of the vessel on the other hand. The onset of broaching and the subsequent behaviour in which large yaw accelerations and course changes
along with large roll motions can occur are elements
of highly complex and non-linear flow phenomena.
See, for
instance, De Kat
(1994). Broachingbecomes of greater importance as the speed of ships
increases. As such, the arrival of large, fast
passenger ferries in sea-areas with significant wave
action are
a cause
for extra concern. Recentexperiences with such vessels has shown that beside broaching, a relatively new phenomenon,
nose-diving, can occur when fast vessels of the catamaran
type, which have relatively small waterplane areas, travel at high speeds in stern or stern-quartering
seas.
With respect to high-speed craft, planing or semi-planing craft form a group on their own. The behaviour in waves of these vessels is heavily
influenced by non-linear effects. At high speeds, high acceleration levels may be reached which can lead to structural damage or personal injury of crew
and passengers.
0.2 0.4 0.6
WAVE 3 PITCH deg ROLL deg FIN ANGLE deg RUO ANGLE deg 15. 15. .II
I1
1/.1, I !I I 11111 t"
' .1 ' I I -,./vvv\C
Figure 3. Parametric rolling in stern waves. Dallinga et al. (1998)
3. FLOATING OFFSHORE EQUIPMENT The exploration for oil and gas deposits and the subsequent field developments which took place demanded new floating equipment for the purpose of carrying out new and novel tasks. Many of the aspects of working at sea made use of knowledge and experience gained from the operations of ships and other existing floating equipment. However, the scale and diversity of the activities also demanded equipment and methods to be developed for which no precedents existed. This led to new procedures for the design of floating equipment which rely much more on the application of knowledge of fundamentals regarding hydrodynamics, strength of materials and structures and assessments of the fatigue life of structures than had previously been the case with ships. Much of the knowledge gained over the last thirty years is now being incorporated
in design guide lines and rules.
Floating offshore equipment is required to
work in a variety of conditions and for a wide range
of applications.
Early on in the life-cycle of an offshore oil or gas field, exploration drilling followed by early
production may be carried out using a
semi-submersible drilling rig which is moored on
location by means of anchor lines, or, in case of deeper water, by means of dynamic positioning. The wave-induced motions will be of interest from the point of view of the drilling operations. At the
design stage special attention is paid to
minimisation of the wave-induced heave, roll and
pitch motions
of the
platform in operationalconditions and to the 'air-gap' in survival
conditions. The mooring forces are a result of the
wave, wind and current forces
actingon the
structure. Wind and current forces contain both lift and drag effects which, beside containing constant parts also contain sub- and superharmonic force fluctuations associated with flow instabilities. Wave forces consist of wave frequency force fluctuations leading to the well known wave frequency motions
and also contain mean and low frequency
components which contribute to the mooring loads. The latter force components contain non-linear