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The use of X-band polarimetric radar to assess the impact of severe convection in urban drainage system

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The use of X-band polarimetric radar to assess the impact of severe convection in urban drainage system Ricardo Reinoso-Rondinel1, Herman Russchenberg1, Thijs IJpelaar1, Guendalina Bruni2, and Marie-Claire ten Veldhuis2

1

Department of Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands 2

Department of Water Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands Abstract

Weather observations are conventionally performed by single-polarimetric scanning C-band weather radars with a temporal and spatial resolution of approximately 5 min and 1 km, respectively. However, for urbanized areas, these resolutions may not be sufficient to obtain accurate quantity precipitation estimation (QPE) of fast-evolving weather phenomena. Therefore, to model fast rainfall-runoff processes and related short response times, urban hydrological modelling requires high resolution rainfall input data. In this work, a dual-polarimetric X-band weather radar (IDRA) located in the Cabauw Experimental Site for Atmospheric Research (CESAR) observatory of the Netherlands (NL) is used to observe and derive physical processes and obtain accurate QPE of severe rainfall events at high temporal and spatial resolutions. A large convective front moving over Western Europe on January 03 2012 was observed using the two C-bands operational radar from The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI in Dutch initials) and IDRA. The rainfall amount forecasted for the same event by the weather model HARMONIE (HIRLAM ALADIN Research on Mesoscale Operational NWP In Euromed) is used to study its implications at urban scales. The accuracy on estimated rainfall from HARMONIE and KNMI radars is compared against IDRA radar to analyze the spatial variability of QPE and its impact on the drainage system of Rotterdam urban area.

1. Introduction

Spatial and temporal resolutions from conventional radars may not be sufficient to detect extreme rainfall events at urban scales (Schellart et al., 2012). However, small X-band radars are suited to obtain localized weather observations at high resolution. For example, the research Center for Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA) consists of a network of dual-polarimetric X-band radars that obtain accurate QPE over regions with rapidly-evolving weather (Wang and Chandrasekar, 2010). In Western Europe, the RainGain project includes a network of X-band radars to obtain high resolution QPE in urbanized areas to cope with urban flooding (http://www.raingain.edu).

In this work, a long-lived convective front (squall line) moving over Western Europe is observed and analysed at distinct spatial and temporal resolutions to assess the variability of extreme rainfall at urban scales. In section 2, observations of the convective front by the KNMI radars are discussed. Forecasted QPE by the HARMONIE weather model is presented in section 3. In section 4, the accumulated QPE (AQPE) obtained

from KNMI radars and HARMONIE model are analysed and compared against AQPE from IDRA. Finally, a summary and conclusions are given in section 5.

2. KNMI radar observations

In the Netherlands, weather radar QPE is obtained by combining reflectivity (Z) in mm3 m-6 from the C-band radars located at DeBilt and DenHelder cities providing QPE at the altitude of 1.5 km with a gridded horizontal resolution of 2.4 km every 5 min (Overeem et.al., 2009). The relationship used to estimate QPE or rainfall rate (R) in mm hr-1 from reflectivity is given by the Marshall-Palmer relationship: 200 . . The estimated QPE field at 1420 UTC depicts a squall line as shown in Figure 1a). Typically, a squall line is a line of convective cells that forms along the cold front with a predominately trailing stratiform precipitation. However, the estimated QPE field showed stratiform regions behind and in front of the convective line; i.e., the convective line is surrounded by a trailing and a leading edge stratiform region. In the convective front, narrow segments approaching the NL show R values between 10 and 30 mm hr-1; while in stratiform regions small R values between 0.2 and 5 mm hr-1 are observed. The existence of both stratiform regions is due to the occluded front detected by the IR satellite SAT24-EISQ51 at 1200 UTC. The HARMONIE prediction model is introduced next.

3. The HARMONIE weather prediction model HARMONIE is a research prediction model with the capability to model and forecast convective weather scenarios (Krikken, 2012). In our setup, its domain area extends up to 750 km with a 2.5 km grid resolution and 60 vertical layers. HARMONIE gives QPE for a period of six hours starting at 1200 UTC every 10 min. QPE forecasted field at 10 m high and 1420 UTC is shown in Figure 1b). It can be seen that the forecasted convective line is situated behind the convective line observed by the KNMI radars. Note that, the trailing stratiform precipitation is not formed by the HARMONIE QPE field, although such stratiform region was observed by the KNMI radars, as shown in Figure 1a). Because we want to know the impact of the spatial and temporal variability of QPE on urban drainage systems, comparisons of the accumulated QPE at different scales are introduced next.

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4 T o u es (2 co m re m 1 K to A 3 m co d 5 F fo ob H D v K   Figure 1. Pan Figure 2   . IDRA an The research f 150 m appr ses backscat stimate QPE 2012). To c onstant durin min for HA espectively. T mm and accu 540 UTC is KNMI radars o meet the c AQPE for KN .09, 7.50, an mean of AQ omparable, t ifferent. . Conclusio or an impro orecast of e bservations HARMONIE Due to the ariability of KNMI radars  

anel a) QPE fie

2. Accumulate nd the accum radar IDRA roximately, w tter different E as described alculate AQ ng temporal ARMONIE, Then, QPE i umulated ove s shown in F s, a), and HA coverage area NMI radars, nd 3.16 mm QPE from K their spatial ons ovement of m extreme rain should model. high resolu f AQPE wa and HARM eld obtained f UTC d QPE in mm mulated QPE provides QP with 30 m ra tial phase an d by Otto an QPE, QPE is l resolutions KNMI rada is converted er time. AQ Figure 2. AQ ARMONIE, a of IDRA, HARMONIE , respectivel KNMI and I l distribution model initial nfall events be assimi ution of ID as captured ONIE model from KNMI ra . Panel b) 2 hr m obtained from E (AQPE) PE at the alti ange resolutio nd reflectivit nd Russchenb s assumed t of 10, 5, a ars, and ID from mm hr QPE from 12 QPE fields b), were clip c). The mea E, and IDRA ly. Although DRA radars ns of AQPE lization and s, weather r lated by DRA, the sp better than l. adars showing r and 20 min f m a) KNMI ra itude on. It ty to berg, to be and 1 DRA, hr-1 to 200 – from ipped an of A are h, the s are E are QPE radar the patial n the Ackn This w RainG weath REFE Krikk in [http: Otto IDRA Europ Hydro Overe Extre frequ Resea Schel rainfa predic Resou Wang precip polari Ocea g a squall line forecasted QP adars, b) HAR owledgement work was sup Gain. The auth her radar and H

ERENCES ken, F., 2012: HARMON //www.knmi.n T., and Russc A, the polarim pean Confe ology. eem, A., T. eme rainfall a ency curves arch, 45, W10 llart, A., W. S all estimation ction at a s urces, 45, 65-7 g, Y., and pitation estim ization radar nic Technolog moving east o PE field. RMONIE mod ts ported by INT hors acknowle HARMONIE Sensitivity a NIE. Train nl/knmi-librar chenberg 2012 metric X-band rence on A. Buishand nalysis and e using weath 0424,doi: 10.1 Shepherd, and error and spa small urban 75. V. Chandra mation in t network. Jo gy, 27, 1665 –

over the Nethe

del, and c) IDR

TERREG IVB edge KNMI fo data. analysis for a inee Repo ry/traineerepo 2: Rainfall rat d radar at Ca Radar Met d, and I. H estimation of her radar. W 029/2009WR d A. Saul, 201 atial variability scale. Adva asekar, 2010 the CASA ournal of At – 1676.   erlands at 142   RA radar. B NWE projec or providing a model physi ort, KNM ort.html]. te retrieval wi abauw, NL. teorology a olleman, 200 depth-duratio Water Resourc R007869. 12: Influence y on sewer flo nces in Wat 0: Quantitati X-band dua tmospheric a 2  20 ct ics MI ith 7th nd 09: on-ces of ow ter ive al-nd

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