Analiza Techniczna. Czwartek Komentarz: WIG20, S&P 500. WIG20 (Polska)

Informacje i komentarze zawarte w niniejszym raporcie nie stanowi¹ rekomendacji w rozumieniu Rozporz¹dzenia Rady Ministrów z dnia 19 paŸdziernika 2005 roku w sprawie informacji stanowi¹cych rekomendacje dotycz¹ce instrumentów finansowych, ich emitentów lub wystawców. DM nie ponosi odpowiedzialnoœci za decyzje inwestycyjne podjête na podstawie informacji zawartych w niniejszym opracowaniu.

Analiza Techniczna

Komentarz: WIG20, S&P 500

Dom Maklerski PKO BP S.A.

ul. Pu³awska 15 02-515 Warszawa tel. (0-22) 521-80-00 Analityk:

Przemys³aw Smoliñski

Czwartek 29.04.2010

Monika Milko 521-79-17 Przemys³aw Smoliñski 521-79-10 Zespó³ Klientów Instytucjonalnych Artur Szymecki 521-82-14 Piotr Dedecjus 521-91-40 Dariusz Andrzejak 521-91-39 Marcin Kuciapski 521-82-12 Krzysztof Kubacki 521-82-10 Krzysztof Zajkowski 521-82-13 Magdalena Kupiec 521-91-50 Tomasz Ilczyszyn 521-82-10 Maklerzy gie³dowi

Mariusz Musia³ 521-78-39

WIG20 (Polska)

Zgodnie z oczekiwaniami, wczorajsza sesja przynios³a spadek WIG20. Choæ indeks zamkn¹³ siê w okolicach wsparcia, to jednak na razie nie widaæ sygna³ów zakoñczenia korekty.

S&P 500 (USA)

S&P 500 lekko wczoraj zwy¿kowa³. Ca³y czas jednak pozostaje w korekcie i nie mo¿na wykluczyæ kontynuacji spadków.

11 18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 22 29 6

April

12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

2150 2200 2250 2300 2350 2400 2450 2500 2550 2600 2650

bruaryMarchApril May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 25

1500 2000 2500 3000

bruaryMarchAprilMay June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 20

650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500

11 19 25 1

February

8 16 22 1

March

8 15 22 29 5

April

12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

1040

1050

1060

1070

1080

1090

1100

1110

1120

1130

1140

1150

1160

1170

1180

1190

1200

1210

1220

1230

bruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 10 15 20 25 30 35 -5 0 5 Wskaznik srednioterminowy

10000 15000 20000 25000

11 18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 16 22 29

April

6 12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

20000 20500 21000 21500 22000 22500 23000 23500 24000 24500 25000 25500 26000

MarchApril May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 40

1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500

18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 22 29

April

6 12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

2300 2350 2400 2450 2500 2550 2600 2650 2700 2750 2800 2850 2900 2950 3000

FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010FebruaryMarch April Ma

-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 40

1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000

11 2010

18 25 1

February

8 15 24 1

March

9 15 22 29

April

5 12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250 2300 2350 2400 2450

BUX (Wêgry)

RTX (Rosja)

CECE (Europa œrodkowo-

wschodnia)

MarchApril May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 20

3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500

11 18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 22 29 6

April

12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

5400 5450 5500 5550 5600 5650 5700 5750 5800 5850 5900 5950 6000 6050 6100 6150 6200 6250 6300 6350 6400

FebruaryMarchApril May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Wskaznik srednioterminowy

7000 7500 8000 8500 9000 9500 10000 10500 11000 11500 12000 12500 13000 13500 14000 14500 15000

12 18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 23 29

April

5 12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

9800 9900 10000 10100 10200 10300 10400 10500 10600 10700 10800 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500

FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 20

2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000

11 18 25 1

February

8 22 1

March

8 15 22 29

April

6 12 19 26 3

Ma 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

2850 2900 2950 3000 3050 3100 3150 3200 3250 3300

DAX (Niemcy)

SHCOMP

(Chiny)

NIKKEI 225

(Japonia)

ruaryMarchApril May June JulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 10 15 20 25 30 -5 0 5 Wskaznik srednioterminowy

3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500 8000 8500 9000 9500

11 18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 22 29 6

April

12 19 26

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

6100 6200 6300 6400 6500 6600 6700 6800 6900 7000 7100 7200 7300 7400 7500 7600 7700 7800 7900 8000 8100 8200

March April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 10 15 20 25 30 35 -5 0 5 Wskaznik srednioterminowy

30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160

18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 22 29 5

April

12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88

April MayJune July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 15

5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0

18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 22 29

April

5 12 19 26 3

Ma 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

5.35 5.40 5.45 5.50 5.55 5.60 5.65 5.70 5.75 5.80 5.85 5.90 5.95 6.00 6.05 6.10 6.15 6.20

MiedŸ

(LME)

Obligacje 10-letnie (Polska)

Ropa Brent

(Wielka Brytania)

AprilMay June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch AprilMay June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch April Ma

-10

-5 0 5 10 15 20 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 25

2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0

18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 22 29

April

5 12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

2.80 2.85 2.90 2.95 3.00

17 24 31 7 April 14 21 28 5

May 12 19 26 2 9

June 16 23 30 7

July 14 21 28 4 11

August 18 25 1 8 15

September 22 29 6 13

October 20 27 3 10

November 17 24 1 8

December 15 22 29 5

2009 12 19 26 2 9

February 16 23 2 9

March 16 23 30 6

April 13 20 27 4

May 11 18 25 1 8

June 15 22 29 6

July 13 20 27 3 10

August 17 24 31 7 14

September 21 28 5 12

October 19 26 2 9

November 16 23 30 7 14

December 21 28 4

2010 11 18 25 1 8

February 15 22 1 8

March 15 22 29 5

April 12 19 26 3

May

10 -9-8

-7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1012 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 17

3.10 3.15 3.20 3.25 3.30 3.35 3.40 3.45 3.50 3.55 3.60 3.65 3.70 3.75 3.80 3.85 3.90 3.95 4.00 4.05 4.10 4.15 4.20 4.25 4.30 4.35 4.40 4.45 4.50 4.55 4.60 4.65 4.70 4.75 4.80 4.85 4.90 4.95 5.00 5.05

18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 22 29

April

5 12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

3.85 3.90 3.95 4.00 4.05

April May June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2009 FebruaryMarch AprilMay June July AugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember2010 FebruaryMarch AprilMa

-10

-5 0 5 10 Wskaznik srednioterminowy

1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.45 1.50 1.55 1.60

18 25 1

February

8 15 22 1

March

8 15 22 29

April

5 12 19 26 3

M 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 100

1.31 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.40 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.46

USD/PLN

EUR/USD

EUR/PLN