Flexible and Adaptive Port Planning (PPT)

Delft University of Technology

Flexible and Adaptive Port Planning (PPT)

Case Study of Port of Isafjordur

Eskafi, Majid; Dastgheib, Ali; Taneja, Poonam; Ulfarsson, Gudmundur F.; Stefansson, Gunnar;

Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I.

Publication date

2018

Document Version

Accepted author manuscript

Citation (APA)

Eskafi, M., Dastgheib, A., Taneja, P., Ulfarsson, G. F., Stefansson, G., & Thorarinsdottir, R. I. (2018).

Flexible and Adaptive Port Planning (PPT): Case Study of Port of Isafjordur. CoastGIS 2018 , Ísafjördur,

Iceland.

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Flexible and Adaptive Port Planning,

Case Study of the Port of Isafjordur

Majid Eskafi, Ali Dastgheib, Poonam Taneja, Guðmundur Freyr Úlfarsson,

Gunnar Stefánsson, Ragnheiður Inga Þórarinsdóttir

Harpa, Reykjavik, Iceland

October, 2018

Port Planning and The Traditional Practice

• Cargo Flow Forecast

• Shipping Forecast

• Technical (design) Lifetime of the Port Infrastructures is 25-50-100 years

Uncertainties

• Port planning

Economics

Global

Institutional

Political

Legal

Commercial

Standards

*

Social

Environmental

Technological

National

International

Regional

Local

Black Swan

Market

Demographic

Regulatory

Ecological

Others

Technology

• Port of Rotterdam

Area of Study

Uncertainties

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 M ar in e C at ch ( T o n ) Year

Flateyri

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 P asse n g er year C ru ise sh ip

Isafjordur

Number of Cruise Ship Number of Passenger

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Adaptive Port Planning (APP)

• (

P. Taneja, 2013

) The flexible port

• “... a port with the capability to change so as to be functional under

new, different, or changing requirements...” by means of minimal

additional investment while maintaining overall levels of efficiency,

reliability and quality of service.

Adaptive Port Planning (APP)

• First Step (Definition of Success)

Adaptive Port Planning (APP)

Stakeholder Groups

1- Internal stakeholders, 2- External stakeholders, 3- Legislative and public policy stakeholders,

4-Community stakeholders, and 5- Academic stakeholders

Criteria of Port Planning

1- Competitiveness, 2- Land use, 3- Safety and security, 4- Hinterland connectivity, 5- Flexibility,

6-Environmental implications, 7- Economic and social impacts, and 8- Financial performance

Adaptive Port Planning (APP)

• Stakeholder Mapping (2D & 3D)

Internal Stakeholders

External Stakeholders Legislation and Public

Policy Stakeholders Academics Stakeholders Community Stakeholders 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Po w er Interest

Stakeholder Salience

Context Setters

Players

Subjects

Bystanders

Adaptive Port Planning (APP)

• Stakeholders Attribute

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Competitiveness

Use of Land

Environmental Implications

Safety & Security

Economic & Social Impacts

Flexibility

Financial Performance

Adaptive Port Planning (APP)

• Definition of Success

Use of Land

Competitiveness

Thank you for your attention

“The best way to predict the future is to create it.”

(

Abraham Lincoln

and

Peter Drucker

)