a future policy after 2013
5.4. Research position to the CAP reform after 2013 respecting the strategic goals
5.4. Research position to the CAP reform after 2013 respecting the strategic goals
5HJDUGOHVV XS WR QRZ XQVHWWOHG ILQDO DSSHDUDQFH DQG SDUDPHWHUV RI WKH
&$3UHIRUPDIWHURQWKH(XURSHDQOHYHOGLVFXVVLRQVWRWKH&$3FKDQJHV
DQG WKH SUHSDUDWLRQV RI WKH UHTXLUHG GRFXPHQWV HJ IRU WKH 5'3 KDYH EHHQ
FRQWLQXLQJ LQ WKH &]HFK 5HSXEOLF ,W PXVW EH UHVSHFWHG WKDW D ILQDO &]HFK
SRVLWLRQZRXOGEHDUHDOSROLWLFDOGHFLVLRQEDVHGDOVRRQWKHSRVLWLRQRIPDQ\
QRQJRYHUQPHQWDORUJDQLVDWLRQVDVVWDNHKROGHUV
1HYHUWKHOHVV WKH UROH RI WKH HFRQRPLF UHVHDUFK LV LUUHSODFHDEOH LQ WKLV
SURFHVV7KHIROORZLQJSDUWSUHVHQWVWKHUHVHDUFKSRVLWLRQVWRWKHPDLQDVSHFWV
RIWKH&$3UHIRUPZKLFKQHHGQRWQHFHVVDULO\EHLQDIXOOFRPSOLDQFHZLWKILQDO
RIILFLDO JRYHUQPHQWDO SRVLWLRQV RI FRXUVH EXW EHLQJ LQ FRPSOLDQFH ZLWK WKH
SUHVHQWHGDQDO\VHVRIWKHSUHVHQWVLWXDWLRQRIWKH&]HFKDJULFXOWXUHDQGWKHORQJ
WHUPVWUDWHJLFJRDOV
:LWK UHJDUGVWR WKHLQGLYLGXDOVWUDWHJLFJRDOVWKH&]HFKSRVLWLRQV IURP
WKHUHVHDUFKSRLQWRIYLHZVKRXOGVXSSRUWWKHIROORZLQJPHDVXUHVLQWKHIXWXUH
&$3DQGLQWKHIXWXUH&]HFKDJULFXOWXUDOSROLF\
Improvement of relations of agriculture to environment
$SSOLFDWLRQRIVWULFWHU*RRG$JULFXOWXUDODQG(QYLURQPHQWDO&RQGLWLRQV
*$(& LQWKHFURVVFRPSOLDQFHHVSHFLDOO\ZLWKUHVSHFWWRSUREOHPVLQWKHVRLO
HURVLRQ
)XOO DSSOLFDWLRQ RI WKH JUHHQLQJ FRPSRQHQWV LQ GLUHFW SD\PHQWV EXW
UHVSHFWLQJ WKH &]HFK IDUP VWUXFWXUH DQG WKH VL]H RI IDUPV ,W PHDQV HJ WKH
DSSOLFDWLRQRIWKHJUHHQLQJRQO\RQIDUPVH[FHHGLQJKD,WLVDSSURYHGE\WKH
VXSSRVLWLRQWKDWWKHPDLQHQYLURQPHQWDOGDPDJHVDUHJHQHUDWHGRQELJJHUIDUPV
DQGWKH³JUHHQLQJEDUULHUV´IRUWKHPFDQSURGXFHDGHFLVLYHPDVVRIWKHSRVLWLYH
HQYLURQPHQWDOH[WHUQDOLWLHV
7KH LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI DOO SURSHU DJURHQYLURQPHQWDO PHDVXUHV LQ WKH
5'3ZLWKDKLJKHUOHYHORIWKHLUVWLPXODWLRQ SD\PHQWV EXWZLWKVWULFWHUDQG
PHDVXUDEOHFRQGLWLRQVDERYHWKH*$(&DQGWKHJUHHQLQJFRQGLWLRQVIRUGLUHFW
SD\PHQWV ,Q WKLV ZD\ WR DYRLG D ³GRXEOHIXQGLQJ´ RI WKH HQYLURQPHQWDO
PHDVXUHV XQGHU WKH 5'3 ,Q VSLWH RI SRVVLEOH KLJKHU DGPLQLVWUDWLYH
UHTXLUHPHQWV WKH HQYLURQPHQWDO PHDVXUHV VKDOO EH PRUH WDUJHWHG DQG HYHQ
7KH0LQLVWU\RI(QYLURQPHQWVXJJHVWVDOVRWKHUHGXFWLRQRIWKHDFUHDJHRIILHOGVWRDERXW
KDDWPD[LPXP
WDLORUHGWRLQGLYLGXDOIDUPFRQGLWLRQV7KRVHPHDVXUHVVKDOOEHDSSOLHGHJLQ
WKH ZDWHUVKHGV DUHDV ZKHUH WKH DJULFXOWXUH VWLOO SURGXFHV PDQ\ QHJDWLYH
H[WHUQDOLWLHVWRWKHGHWULPHQWRIWKHTXDOLW\RIGULQNLQJZDWHU W\SLFDODQGYHU\
SROLWLFDOVHQVLWLYHLVWKHZDWHUVXSSO\IRUWKH3UDJXHUHJLRQ
7KH UHVHUYDWLRQ RI DERXW RI WKH GLUHFW SD\PHQWV IRU FRXSOHG
SD\PHQWV DQG WKH ODUJHVW SDUW RI WKHVH SD\PHQWV LQYHVW RQ VXSSRUW WR DOO
FDWHJRULHV RI UXPLQDQWV 7KH SD\PHQWV VKRXOG EH GHOLYHUHG SHU OLYHVWRFN XQLW
/8 ZLWKSUHIHUHQFHVIRUEUHHGLQJRQJUDVVODQG DQG/)$ EXWQRWSHUXQLWRI
SURGXFWLRQ%\WKLVDQHHGHGJURZWKLQWKHQXPEHURIKHDGVRIUXPLQDQWFDQEH
H[SHFWHGZLWKSRVLWLYHHIIHFWVRQWKHVRLOTXDOLW\EXWZLWKRXWDQ\VWDWHJXDUDQW\
IRUWKHVDOHRISURGXFWLRQDQGIDUPVLWVPDUNHWSULFHV
7KH FRQWLQXDWLRQ RI VXSSRUWV IRU ODQG FRQVROLGDWLRQ ZKLFK LV YHU\
LPSRUWDQW PHDVXUH WR VHWWOH GLVFUHSDQFLHV EHWZHHQ WKH ODQG XVH DQG WKH ODQG
RZQHUVKLS LQKHULWHG IURP WKH VRFLDOLVWLF HUD 8QGHU WKLV SURFHVV SULRULWLHV WR
HQYLURQPHQWDOLVVXHVVKRXOGDOVREHJLYHQ
$Q\ VXSSRUWV UHODWHG WR ULVN PDQDJHPHQW DQG HYHQ IRU ODUJHU QDWXUDO
GLVDVWHUV VKRXOG EH FRQGLWLRQHG E\ WKH UHDOLVDWLRQ RI SUHYHQWLYH PHDVXUHV RQ
IDUPVLQFOXGLQJEXLOGLQJXSODQGVFDSH³JUHHQHOHPHQWV´VXFKDVJUHHQ]RQHV
EDONV EHWZHHQ ILHOGV HWF 2Q WKH RWKHU KDQG LQYHVWPHQW VXSSRUWV IRU WKHVH
SXUSRVHVFDQEHDSSOLHGXQGHUWKH5'3
7RDSSO\GLUHFWRULQGLUHFWVXSSRUWVIRUWKHLQFUHDVHRIWKHVKDUHRIRZQ
ODQGWRWKHGHWULPHQWRIOHDVHGODQGRQIDUPVWRVWLPXODWHWKHLQWHUQDOLVDWLRQRI
IDUPV\VWHPVLQDSURSHUDQGVXVWDLQDEOHFDUHIRUWKHLURZQODQG
Increase of effectiveness and competitiveness of farms
$V LW ZDV PHQWLRQHG LQFUHDVH LQ WKH HIIHFWLYHQHVV LQ WKH ORQJWLPH
KRUL]RQLVSULQFLSDOO\VXSSRUWHGE\PHDVXUHVUHODWHGWRHQYLURQPHQW,WFDQLVVXH
LQDUHGXFWLRQRIWKHGLUHFWSD\PHQWV 3LOODU, WRWKHEHQHILWRIVXSSRUWVXQGHU
WKH5'3 3LOODU,, 7KHUHGXFWLRQFRXOGDOVRVWLPXODWHDKLJKHURULHQWDWLRQRI
IDUPV RQ WKHLU HIIHFWLYHQHVV DQG UHVWUXFWXULQJ RYHUZKHOPLQJ WKHLU SUHVHQW
³VOHHSLQJSHULRG´XQGHUKXJHLQFRPHVXSSRUWV
+RZHYHU LW LV JHQHUDOO\ H[SHFWHG WKDW D GHFLVLYH UROH VKDOO SOD\
LQYHVWPHQWVXSSRUWVIRUPRGHUQLVDWLRQUHVWUXFWXULQJHWFXQGHUWKH5'37KLV
H[SHFWDWLRQVKRXOGEHWUHDWHGYHU\FDXWLRXVO\
7KH LQYHVWPHQW VXSSRUWV EDVHG DOVR RQ WKH &]HFK DQDO\VHV KDYH
DPELJXRXV HIIHFWV WKH\ UHDOO\ LPSURYH WKH HFRQRP\ RI VXSSRUWHG IDUPV EXW
VRPH VXSSRUWHG IDUPV FRXOG DQ\ZD\ LQYHVW HYHQ ZLWKRXW VXSSRUWV 7KLV IDFW
LQGLFDWHVVRPHGHDGZHLJKWORVVHVRIWKHVXSSRUWV2QHRIWKHVROXWLRQVFRXOGEH
WR OLPLW WKH VXSSRUWV RQO\ IRU VPDOO DQG PHGLXP VL]H IDUPV WRJHWKHU ZLWK
DORZHUWRWDOOLPLWRIWKHVXSSRUWVSHUIDUPDQGWKHEXGJHWDU\SHULRG
7KHVWDWHFDQJLYHVRPHSUHIHUHQFHVIRUWKHLQYHVWPHQWVXSSRUWVHJIRU
OLYHVWRFNSURGXFWLRQIUXLWVDQGYHJHWDEOHSURGXFWLRQHWF%XWWKHUHDUHVLJQDOV
IURP PRUH UHVHDUFK ILQGLQJV RQ WKH ULVNV RI VWDWH IDLOXUHV RQ PRUDO KD]DUG
SUREOHPVLQWKHLQYHVWPHQWVXSSRUWV)URPWKHODWHVWH[SHULHQFHVXSSRUWHGIDUPV
LQFUHDVHSURGXFWLRQDQG LI WKHUH DUH SUREOHPV RQ PDUNHWVWKH\ DVN IRU KLJKHU
PDUNHWSULFHRURSHUDWLRQDOVXSSRUWV
*HQHUDOO\KLJKHUSULRULWLHVLQWKHLQYHVWPHQWVXSSRUWVVKRXOGEHJLYHQWR
DOODVSHFWVRILQQRYDWLRQV LQFOXGLQJWKHTXDOLW\RISURGXFWLRQ DQGLQYHVWPHQWV
RQDQLPDOZHOIDUHHQHUJ\VDYLQJVZDVWDJHWUHDWPHQWHWF
7KH HFRQRPLF SRVLWLRQ RI VHOHFWHG FRPPRGLWLHV ZLWK D KLJKHU ODERXU
LQSXWV IUXLWV YHJHWDEOHV HWF VKRXOG QRW EH SURYLGHG E\ D KLJKHU FRXSOHG LQFRPHVXSSRUWVEXWZLWKVXSSRUWVRQYDULRXVIRUPVRISURGXFHURUJDQLVDWLRQV
7KHVHVXSSRUWVFDQEHDSSOLHGRQRWKHUFRPPRGLWLHVRIFRXUVH
8QGHU WKH FOLPDWLF FKDQJH DQG H[SHFWHG YRODWLOLW\ RI PDUNHWV WKH ULVN
PDQDJHPHQW ZLOO EH D VHULRXV SUREOHP LQ IXWXUH 7KH VWUDWHJ\ SURPRWHV
DKROLVWLFDSSURDFKLQWKLVILHOGPRUHEDVHGRQWKHRZQSUHYHQWLYHDFWLYLWLHVRQ
IDUPVVXSSRUWHGE\WKHHIIHFWVRIGLUHFWSD\PHQWVDQGGLYHUVLILFDWLRQRQIDUPV
DQG E\ VSHFLDO HYHQ WKRXJK OLPLWHG SROLF\ PHDVXUHV HJ E\ VXSSRUWV RI
LQVXUDQFHSD\PHQWV
1HYHUWKHOHVV PXFK KLJKHU VWUHVV VKRXOG EH JLYHQ WR WKH UHVHDUFK DQG
WHFKQRORJLFDOGHYHORSPHQWDFFRPSDQLHGE\LPSURYHGFKDQQHOVIRUWKHWUDQVIHU
RI UHVHDUFK LQWR SUDFWLFH 7KH &]HFK 5HSXEOLF VKRXOG FUHDWH DQ HIIHFWLYH
$JULFXOWXUDO.QRZOHGJHDQG,QQRYDWLRQ6\VWHP $.,6 DQGGRLWVEHVWLQWKH
XWLOLVDWLRQ RI WKH URRP XQGHU WKH (XURSHDQ ,QQRYDWLRQ 3DUWQHUVKLS (,3 DQG
VSHFLILFIRUPVRIFRRSHUDWLRQV
Balanced approach to distribution of supports
7KHSUREOHPLVPRUHOLQNHGZLWKWKHGLVWULEXWLRQRI WKHGLUHFWSD\PHQWV
DQG WKH /)$ SD\PHQWV DV WKH GHFLVLYH SDUWV RI LQFRPH VXSSRUWV ,W VKRXOG EH
UHVSHFWHGWKDWLQFRPHVXSSRUWVWKHPVHOYHVVKDOOQRWJHQHUDWHWKHGLIIHUHQFHVLQ
WKHIDUPHFRQRP\DPRQJIDUPFDWHJRULHVOLNHLWLVXSWRQRZ
)LUVWWKHLQFRPHDQGRWKHUVXSSRUWVIRUVPDOODQG\RXQJIDUPVVKDOOEH
SURPRWHG LPSURYLQJ WKH DJH VWUXFWXUH RQ IDUPV DQG EULQJLQJ LQWR WKH VHFWRU
D³QHZEORRG´PRUHIOH[LEOHLQWKHUHDFWLRQRQSROLF\DQGPDUNHWVWLPXOL,WLV
DOVRRQHRIWKHSUHSRVLWLRQVIRUWKHLQFUHDVHRIWKHHIIHFWLYHQHVVRQIDUPV
,W LV WUXH WKDW WKH ODUJHVW SDUW RI WKH LQFRPH VXSSRUWV UHFHLYH D OLPLWHG
QXPEHU RI YHU\ ODUJH IDUPV LQ PDMRULW\ ZLWK H[WHQVLYH V\VWHPV YHU\ ORZ
HPSOR\PHQWDQGZHDNOLQNVWRUXUDOFRPPXQLWLHV7KHFHLOLQJVDQGPRGXODWLRQV
RI WKH VXSSRUWV DFFRUGLQJ WR VL]H RI IDUPV EXW UHVSHFWLQJ WKH HPSOR\PHQW RQ
IDUPVFDQEHDFFHSWHG
)RUWKH/)$SD\PHQWVDQ\UHDVRQDEOHGHJUHVLYLW\RIWKHSD\PHQWVVKRXOG
EH UHDOLVHG $ERYH LW WKH /)$ SD\PHQWV IRU WKH QHZ GHILQHG 1DWXUDO
+DQGLFDSSHG$UHDV±1+$ VKDOOUHVSHFWWKHQHZVFKHPHIRUWKHSD\PHQWV RQ
DOODJULFXOWXUDOODQGXSWRQRZRQO\RQJUDVVODQG WKHSUHVHQWVLWXDWLRQLQWKH
UHVWUXFWXULQJ RI /)$ IDUPV DQG WKH VROXWLRQ LQ FRXSOHG GLUHFW SD\PHQWV IRU
UXPLQDQWV 6SHFLDO GHJUHVVLYH VFKHPH VKRXOG EH SUHSDUHG IRU WKH IDUPV XS WR
QRZUDQJHGLQWKH/)$EXWH[FOXGHGIURPWKH1+$E\LWVQHZGHILQLWLRQ
Agriculture and renewable energy
,WLVDSROLWLFDOO\VHQVLWLYHJRDOZKRVHIXOILOPHQWLVJOREDOO\LQIOXHQFHGE\
WKHFRPSHWLWLRQEHWZHHQIRRGDQGQRQIRRGXVHRIDJULFXOWXUDOSURGXFWLRQDQG
E\ WKH FDUH RI JRYHUQPHQWV RQ WKH OHYHO RI FRQVXPHU SULFHV IRU IRRG ,Q WKH
&]HFK5HSXEOLFLWLVVWUHQJWKHQHGE\WKHFDUHRIWKHJRYHUQPHQWRQWKHOHYHORI
HQHUJ\ SULFHV ZKLFK KHDYLO\ LQFUHDVHG DIWHU WKH UHFHQW HQRUPRXV VXSSRUWV IRU
WKHVRODUHQHUJ\1HYHUWKHOHVVWKH&]HFKDJULFXOWXUDODUHDKDVKXJHSRWHQWLDOV
IRU HYHQ VXVWDLQDEOH LQFUHDVH LQ WKH SURGXFWLRQ RI WKH ELRPDVV IRU IRRG DQG
QRQIRRGXVH
8QGHU VXSSRVHG (8 DQG GRPHVWLF IXWXUH JHQHUDO FRQGLWLRQV LQ WKH
VXSSRUWVRQUHQHZDEOHHQHUJ\ HJWKHUHGXFWLRQRIWKH(8JRDOVLQWKHVKDUHRI
WKHILUVWJHQHUDWLRQELRIXHOWRWKHDQQRXQFHGUHGXFWLRQRUHYHQDEROLWLRQRI
GRPHVWLF VXSSRUWV IRU ELRHOHFWULFLW\ DIWHU HWF WKH GHYHORSPHQW LQ WKLV
ILHOGFDQEHWRDODUJHH[WHQW HYHQWKRXJKWHPSRUDULO\ VXSUHVVHG
+RZHYHU VRPH LQYHVWPHQW DQG RSHUDWLRQDO VXSSRUWV HJ IRU ELRJDV
VWDWLRQV RQ IDUPV DQG IRU ORFDO XVH VKRXOG EH SUHVHUYHG EXW XQGHU VWULFWHU
FRQGLWLRQV XWLOLVDWLRQ RI ZDVWDJH VOXUU\ IURP SLJ EUHHGLQJ HWF D KLJKHU
XWLOLVDWLRQ RI SURGXFHG KHDW 1HYHUWKHOHVV PDQ\ RSHQ TXHVWLRQV LQ WKLV ILHOG
UHPDLQIRUWKHIXWXUH
Agriculture and rural development
$JULFXOWXUHKDVPDQ\OLQNVWRUXUDODUHDV MRERSSRUWXQLWLHVWKHTXDOLW\RI
KXPDQDQGVRFLDOFDSLWDOUXUDOLQIUDVWUXFWXUHHWF$OPRVWDOODERYHPHQWLRQHG
SROLF\PHDVXUHVDUHUHODWHGWRWKHVHDVSHFWVSDUWLFXODUO\
6SHFLILFVXSSRUWVIRUOLYHVWRFNIUXLWVDQGYHJHWDEOHSURGXFWLRQVZLWKWKH
DLPWRLQFUHDVHMRERSSRUWXQLWLHVLQUXUDODUHDV
7KHVDPHDSSO\IRUVXSSRUWVRQGLYHUVLILFDWLRQRIIDUPDFWLYLWLHVDVDSDUW
RIWKHULVNPDQDJHPHQWRQIDUPV
6SHFLILF VXSSRUWV IRU VPDOO IDUPV DQG \RXQJ IDUPHUV ZKLFK FRXOG
VWLPXODWH PRUH SRVLWLYH H[WHUQDOLWLHV LQ GHYHORSPHQW RI WKH KXPDQ DQG
VRFLDOFDSLWDOLQUXUDODUHDV
5.5. Conclusions
7KHSUHVHQWHGDSSURDFKWRWKHVWUDWHJ\IRUWKH&]HFKDJULFXOWXUHEDVHGRQ
WKH REMHFWLYH DQDO\VHV RI LWV GHYHORSPHQW DIWHU (8 DFFHVVLRQ DQG XQGHU WKH
SUHVHQW &$3 UHSUHVHQWV WKH UHVHDUFK SRVLWLRQ IRU WKH GLVFXVVLRQV ZLWK WKH
JRYHUQPHQWDQGZLWKQRQJRYHUQPHQWDORUJDQLVDWLRQV3DUWLFXODUO\LWUHJDUGVWKH
LPSOHPHQWDWLRQ RI WKH VWUDWHJLF JRDOV LQWR SROLF\ PHDVXUHV IRU WKH &$3 DIWHU
7KHUHVHDUFKDSSURDFKFDQEHXWLOLVHGLQWKHDVVHVVPHQWRIDQ\UHDO(8
DQG GRPHVWLF SRVLWLRQV IRU WKH IXWXUH &$3 EDVHG RQ SROLWLFDO GHFLVLRQV DQG
FRPSURPLVHV
References
%DãHN9HWDO ýHVNp]HPČGČOVWYtãHVWOHWSRYVWXSXý5GR(8
&]HFK DJULFXOWXUH VL[ \HDUV DIWHU (8 DFFHVVLRQ 5HVHDUFK VWXG\ ,$(,
3UDJXH
%DãHN9'RXFKD7 ýHVNêSRWUDYLQiĜVNêSUĤP\VO±MHKRãDQFH
DUL]LNDGREXGRXFQRVWL &]HFKIRRGLQGXVWU\±LWVFKDQFHVDQGULVNVIRU
WKHIXWXUH 3RWUDYLQiĜVNiUHYXH )RRG,QGXVWU\5HYLHZ SS
&]HFK6WDWLVWLFDO2IILFH$*52&(16863UDJXH
'RXFKD7%DãHN9 (FRQRPLFSRVLWLRQDQGFRPSHWLWLYHQHVVRI
WKH &]HFK DJULFXOWXUH DQG IRRG LQGXVWU\ XQGHU WKH &$3 DQG RQ WKH (8
VLQJOH PDUNHW >LQ @ (XURSHDQ 8QLRQ )RRG 6HFWRU DIWHU WKH ODVW
HQODUJHPHQWV ± FRQFOXVLRQV IRU WKH IXWXUH &$3 ,QVW\WXW (NRQRPLNL
5ROQLFWZD L *RVSRGDUNL ĩ\ZQRĞFLRZHM 5DMJUyG 1R :DUVDZ
SS
'RXFKD7)ROWêQ, 0RGHOOLQJWKHPXOWLIXQFWLRQDOLW\RI&]HFK
DJULFXOWXUH:RUNLQJ3DSHU1R(1$535,&(36%HOJLXP0D\
'RXFKD7)ROWêQ, &]HFK$JULFXOWXUHDIWHUWKHDFFHVVLRQWRWKH
(XURSHDQ8QLRQ±,PSDFWVRQWKH'HYHORSPHQWRILWV0XOWLIXQFWLRQDOLW\
$JULFXOWXUDO(FRQRPLFV9RO1RSS
'RXFKD7)ROWêQ,+XPSiO- 3URILWDELOLW\RIGDLU\DQGVXFNOHU
FRZVEUHHGLQJRQ&]HFKIDUPV$JULFXOWXUDO(FRQRPLFV9RO1R
SS
,$(, 3RGNODG\NHNRQFHSþQtPRWi]NiPþHVNpKR]HPČGČOVWYtVH
]DPČĜHQtP QD MHKR KODYQt NRPRGLW\ ýiVW $ ± $QDOê]D GRVDYDGQtKR
YêYRMH %DVLVWR WKHFRQFHSWXDOTXHVWLRQV RIWKH &]HFK DJULFXOWXUH ZLWK
RULHQWDWLRQ RQ LWV PDLQ FRPPRGLWLHV 3DUW $ ± $QDO\VLV RI WKH KLWKHUWR
GHYHORSPHQW :RUNLQJ GRFXPHQW ,$(, IRUWKH 0LQLVWU\ RI $JULFXOWXUH
3UDJXH
0LQLVWU\ RI $JULFXOWXUH ± ,$(, =SUiY\ R VWDYX þHVNpKR
]HPČGČOVWYt 5HSRUWVRQWKH&]HFKDJULFXOWXUH 3UDJXH
0LQLVWU\RI$JULFXOWXUH 6WUDWHJLHSURUĤVW 6WUDWHJ\IRUJURZWK
:RUNLQJGRFXPHQW3UDJXH
3URI/HRQDUGR&DVLQL'U&DWHULQD&RQWLQL'U*DEULHOH6FR]]DIDYD
8QLYHUVLWjGHJOL6WXGLGL)LUHQ]H
6. The new CAP reform: an analysis of impacts at the sub-national level. The case of Tuscany
6.1. Introduction
7KH 6FLHQWLILF DQG 3ROLF\ 5HSRUW E\ WKH -RLQW 5HVHDUFK &HQWUH RI WKH
(XURSHDQ&RPPLVVLRQ>7HUUHVHWDO@SRLQWVRXWKRZWKHULVNRIIDUPODQG
DEDQGRQPHQWLVDSKHQRPHQRQWKDWYDU\LQJO\FRQFHUQVWKHWHUULWRU\RI(XURSH
7KHUHSRUWUHVXOWVLGHQWLI\WKHUHJLRQRI7XVFDQ\DVRQHRIWKHDUHDVPRVWDWULVN
RI DEDQGRQPHQW EHFDXVH RI WKH ORZ HFRQRPLF SHUIRUPDQFH RI IDUPV 7KH
VFHQDULR WKDW ZRXOG WDNH VKDSH LQ WKH HYHQW RI D VLJQLILFDQW DEDQGRQPHQW RI
IDUPLQJ LQ 7XVFDQ\ ZRXOG EH H[WUHPHO\ DODUPLQJ EHFDXVH WKH SKHQRPHQRQ
ZRXOGKDYHDQHJDWLYHLPSDFWQRWRQO\RQWKHUHJLRQ¶VSURGXFWLRQV\VWHPEXW
DOVRRQDVHULHVRIVHUYLFHVWKDWDJULFXOWXUHRIIHUVVRFLHW\VXFKDVWKHSURWHFWLRQ
RIWKHODQGVFDSHDQGRIWKHWHUULWRU\LQJHQHUDO
7KH UHIRUP RI WKH &$3 IRU WKH SHULRG FDQ DVVXPH LQ WKLV
FRQWH[WDQLPSRUWDQWUROHLQGHILQLQJWKHIXWXUHVFHQDULRIRULWFDQFRQWULEXWHWR
DYRLGLQJWKHDEDQGRQPHQWRIIDUPLQJDFWLYLWLHVLQVRIDUDVLWZLOOEHDEOHWRKHOS
WKHVHFWRUJHWWKURXJKFULWLFDOPRPHQWV
7KLVSDSHUSXUSRVHVWRDQDO\VHWKHUHGLVWULEXWLYHHIIHFWVRIWKHGHFRXSOHG
DLGV RI WKH UHIRUP¶V ILUVW SLOODU E\ FRPSDULQJ WKH SUHVHQW VLWXDWLRQ ZLWK WKH
VLWXDWLRQFUHDWHGDIWHUPRGLI\LQJWKHSURFHGXUHVIRUPDNLQJGLUHFWSD\PHQWV,Q
SDUWLFXODU WKH DQDO\VLV VHHNV WR YHULI\ WKH LPSDFW RI WKH QHZ SURSRVDO RQ WKH
DGGHG YDOXH RI 7XVFDQ IDUPV 7RZDUGV WKLV HQG WKH VWXG\ H[DPLQHV WKH IDUP
DQG WHUULWRULDO HIIHFWV XWLOLVLQJ WKH GDWDEDVH RI 7XVFDQ IDUPV RI WKH 7XVFDQ
5HJLRQDO$JHQF\IRU([SHQGLWXUHVLQ$JULFXOWXUH $57($ XSGDWHGWR
7KHDSSURDFKIROORZHGZLOOPDNHLWSRVVLEOHWRDQDO\WLFDOO\FRQVLGHUDOORI
WKHIDUPVWKDWKDYHUHFHLYHGD&$3FRQWULEXWLRQLQ7KHRYHUDOOSLFWXUHRI
WKHHIIHFWVRIPRGLI\LQJWKH&$3WKHUHIRUHHQVXHVIURPWKHVXPPDWLRQQRWDWLRQ
RI WKH VLQJOH IDUP VLWXDWLRQV DQG LV IRU WKLV UHDVRQ PRUH SUHFLVH DQG IDLWKIXO
FRPSDUHGWRDQDO\VHVFRQGXFWHGRQWKHVDPSOHOHYHO
,Q WKH QH[W SDUDJUDSK IROORZV D EULHI UHYLHZ RI WKH PRGLILFDWLRQV
LQWURGXFHGZLWKWKHSURSRVHG&$3UHIRUPDQGDFULWLFDODQDO\VLVRIWKHVWDWHRI
WKHDUWRIWKHSULQFLSDOVFLHQWLILFFRQWULEXWLRQVSURGXFHGWKXVIDU:HZLOOWKHQ
LOOXVWUDWHWKHPHWKRGDGRSWHGWRVLPXODWHWKHUHGLVWULEXWLYHHIIHFWVDQGGHVFULEH
WKHFDVHVWXG\,QWKHFRQFOXVLRQVWKHHIIHFWVUHODWHGWRWKHVFHQDULRLQWURGXFHG
E\WKHQHZSROLF\ZLOOEHFRPPHQWHGXQGHUOLQLQJWKHZHDNSRLQWV