Dom Maklerski PKO BP ul. Pu³awska 15 02-515 Warszawa tel. (0-22) 521-80-00 Analityk:
Przemys³aw Smoliñski
Komentarz: WIG20, S&P 500
Wtorek 24.06.2014
WIG20 (Polska)
Na wykresie WIG20 pojawi³a siê wczoraj bia³a wieca, sugeruj¹ca kontynuacjê wzrostów. Dodatkowym, potwierdzeniem powy¿szego scenariusza bêdzie pokonanie 2485 punktów.
S&P 500 (USA)
S&P 500 od dwóch sesji stoi w miejscu. Dopóki jednak pozostaje powy¿ej niedawno prze³amanego oporu na poziomie 1951 punktów, obowi¹zuje scenariusz wzrostowy. Ewentualne cofniêcie siê poni¿ej tego poziomu, oznacza³oby jednak rozpoczêcie korekty.
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 22 28 5
May
12 19 26 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 100 95 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
2290 2300 2310 2320 2330 2340 2350 2360 2370 2380 2390 2400 2410 2420 2430 2440 2450 2460 2470 2480 2490 2500 2510 2520
2 10 April 16 23 30
May 14 21 28 4
June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 17 24 18
October 15 22 29 512
November 19 26 310
December 17 27 7
2013 14 21 28 411
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 2 8
April 15 22 29
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 29
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 412
November 18 25 29
December 16 23 7
2014 13 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 22 28 5
May 12 19 26 2
June 916 23 30
July 7
-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 10
2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250 2300 2350 2400 2450 2500 2550 2600 2650
16 23 30 May
714 21 29 4 June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 4 10
September 17 24 18
October 15 22 31
November 12 19 26 310
December 17 24 31 7
2013 14 22 28 411
February 19 25 4
March 11 18 25 1
April 815 22 29 6
May 13 20 28 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 3 9
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 411
November 18 25 29
December 16 23 30 6
2014 13 21 27 310
February 18 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 21 28 5
May 12 19 27 2
June 916 23 30
July
7
-7
-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Wskaznik srednioterminowy
1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 21 28
May
5 12 19 27 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
1805 1810 1815 1820 1825 1830 1835 1840 1845 1850 1855 1860 1865 1870 1875 1880 1885 1890 1895 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975
Wykres dnia: JSW
JSW silnie wczoraj zwy¿kowa³o prze³amuj¹ opór na poziomie ostatnich, lokalnych maksimów. Tym samym, po kilku miesi¹cach spadków, mo¿na za³o¿yæ rozpoczêcie korekty. Jej minimalny zasiêg nale¿y szacowaæ na 51,75 z³, a potencjalny na 54,15 z³ lub nawet 58,15 z³.
JSW (Polska)
9
ptember 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 4 12 18 November 25 2 9
December 16 23 7
2014 13 20 27 3 10
February 17 24 3 10
March 17 24 31 7
April 14 22 28 5
May 12 19 26 2
June 9 16 23 30 July 7 14
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
4 5
5 0
5 5
6 0
6 5
7 0
7 5
8 0
262 April 10 16232
May 7142129 4
June 1118252
July 91623306
August 132127310
September 17241
October 81524 29 512
November 1926310
December 17277
2013 1421284
February 1118254
March 1118252
April 81522296
May 1321 273
June 1017241
July 81522295
August 1221 2629
September 1623307
October 1421 28 411
November 182529
December 1623 6
2014 132027310
February 17243
March 10172431
April 7142228 5
May 1219262
June 10162330
July 7 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 11
15700 15800 15900 16000 16100 16200 16300 16400 16500 16600 16700 16800 16900 17000 17100 17200 17300 17400 17500 17600 17700 17800 17900 18000 18100 18200 18300 18400 18500 18600 18700 18800 18900 19000 19100 19200 19300 19400 19500 19600 19700 19800
3 March
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 22 28 5
May
12 19 26 2
June
10 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
15800 15900 16000 16100 16200 16300 16400 16500 16600 16700 16800 16900 17000 17100 17200 17300 17400 17500 17600 17700 17800 17900 18000 18100 18200 18300 18400 18500 18600 18700 18800 18900 19000 19100 19200 19300 19400 19500
23 30 7 May 14 21 28 4
June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 17 24 18
October 15 22 29 5
November 12 19 26 310
December 17 27 7
2013 14 21 28 411
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 2 8
April 15 22 29 6
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 29
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 411
November 18 25 29
December 16 236
2014 13 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 22 28 5
May 12 19 26 2
June 916 23 30
July 7
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 15
1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250 2300 2350 2400 2450 2500 2550 2600
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 22 28 5
May
12 19 26 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 Oscylator krotkoterminowy
2210 2220 2230 2240 2250 2260 2270 2280 2290 2300 2310 2320 2330 2340 2350 2360 2370 2380 2390 2400 2410 2420 2430 2440 2450 2460 2470
ril 916 23 2
May 14 21 28 4
June 1325 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 17 24 18
October 15 22 29 6 12
November 19 26 310
December 17 24 8 14
2013 21 28 411
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 1
April 815 22 29 6
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 29
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 5 11
November 18 25 29
December 16 23 3013
2014 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 11 17 24 31 7
April 14 21 28 5
May 12 19 26 2
June 923 30
July 7
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 15
1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250 2300 2350 2400
3 March
11 17 24 31
April
7 14 21 28 5
May
12 19 26 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 100 95 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950
(Wêgry)
RTX (Rosja)
CECE (Europa rodkowo-
wschodnia)
6 23 30 7 May 14 21 28 4
June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 17 24 18
October 15 22 29 5
November 12 19 26 310
December 17 27 7
2013 14 21 28 411
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 2 8
April 15 22 29 6
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 29
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 411
November 18 25 29
December 16 23 6
2014 13 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 22 28 5
May 12 19 26 2
June 916 23 30
July 7
-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 11
6000 6500 7000 7500 8000 8500 9000 9500 10000 10500
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 22 28 5
May
12 19 26 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 Oscylator krotkoterminowy
8850 8900 8950 9000 9050 9100 9150 9200 9250 9300 9350 9400 9450 9500 9550 9600 9650 9700 9750 9800 9850 9900 9950 10000 10050 10100 10150
6 2 April 9 16 23 1
May 14 21 28 4
June 11 18 25 2
July 9 17 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 18 24 19
October 15 22 29 5 12
November 19 26 310
December 17 25 7
2013 15 21 28 412
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 1
April 815 22 30
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 816 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 29
September 17 24 30 7
October 15 21 28 5 11
November 18 25 29
December 16 24 30
2014 14 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 21 28 7
May 12 19 26 2
June 916 23 30
July
7
-15
-10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Wskaznik srednioterminowy
8000 8500 9000 9500 10000 10500 11000 11500 12000 12500 13000 13500 14000 14500 15000 15500 16000 16500 17000
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 21 28
May
7 12 19 26 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 100 95 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
13800 13850 13900 13950 14000 14050 14100 14150 14200 14250 14300 14350 14400 14450 14500 14550 14600 14650 14700 14750 14800 14850 14900 14950 15000 15050 15100 15150 15200 15250 15300 15350 15400 15450 15500 15550
12 19 26 5 April
16 23 2 May
14 21 28 4 June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 17 24 815
October 22 29 512
November 19 26 310
December 17 24 31
2013 14 21 28 418
February 25 4
March 11 18 25 1
April 15 22 2
May 13 20 27 3
June 1324 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 29
September 1630 14
October 21 28 411
November 18 25 29
December 16 23 30 6
2014 13 20 27 10 17
February 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 8
April 14 21 28
May 12 19 26 3
June 916 23 30
July 7
-10 -5 0 5 10 15 Wskaznik srednioterminowy
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250 2300 2350 2400 2450 2500
10 17 24 31
April
8 14 21 28 5
May
12 19 26 3
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080 2085 2090 2095 2100 2105 2110 2115 2120 2125 2130 2135 2140 2145 2150 2155 2160
DAX (Niemcy)
SHCOMP
(Chiny)
NIKKEI 225
(Japonia)
16 23 30 8 May 14 21 28 6
June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 28 310
September 17 24 18
October 15 22 29 5
November 12 19 26 310
December 17 247
2013 14 21 28 411
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 2 8
April 15 22 29 7
May 13 20 28 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 12 19 27 29
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 411
November 18 25 29
December 16 236
2014 13 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 22 28 6
May 12 19 27 2
June 916 23 30
July 7
-11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 10
6200 6300 6400 6500 6600 6700 6800 6900 7000 7100 7200 7300 7400 7500 7600 7700 7800 7900 8000 8100 8200 8300 8400 8500
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 22 28
May
6 12 19 27 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 Oscylator krotkoterminowy
6300 6350 6400 6450 6500 6550 6600 6650 6700 6750 6800 6850 6900 6950 7000 7050
714 21 28 4 June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 17 24 18
October 15 22 29 5
November 12 19 26 310
December 17 24 31 7
2013 14 21 28 4 11
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 1
April 8 15 22 29 6
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 2 9
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 411
November 18 25 29
December 16 23 30 6
2014 13 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 21 28 5
May 12 19 26 2
June 916 23 30
July 7
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Wskaznik srednioterminowy
86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 21 28
May
5 12 19 26 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
102.5 103.0 103.5 104.0 104.5 105.0 105.5 106.0 106.5 107.0 107.5 108.0 108.5 109.0 109.5 110.0 110.5 111.0 111.5 112.0 112.5 113.0 113.5 114.0 114.5 115.0 115.5 116.0 116.5
30 May
7 14 21 28 4 June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 3 10
September 17 24 1 8
October 15 22 29 512
November 19 26 3 10
December 17 277
2013 14 21 28 411
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 2 8
April 15 22 29 6
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 19 26 2 9
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 411
November 18 25 29
December 16 23 30 6
2014 13 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 22 28 5
May 12 19 26 2
June 916 23 30
July 7
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 Wskaznik srednioterminowy
2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 22 28
May
5 12 19 26 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 100 95 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
3.40 3.45 3.50 3.55 3.60 3.65 3.70 3.75 3.80 3.85 3.90 3.95 4.00 4.05 4.10 4.15 4.20 4.25 4.30 4.35 4.40
(LME)
Obligacje 10-letnie (Polska)
Ropa Brent
(Wielka Brytania)
14 21 28 4 June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 17 24 18
October 15 22 29 5
November 12 19 26 310
December 17 24 31 7
2013 14 21 28 411
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 1
April 8 15 22 29 6
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 8 15 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 2 9
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 411
November 18 25 2 9
December 16 23 30 6
2014 13 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 21 28 5
May 12 19 26 2
June 916 23 30
July 7
-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Wskaznik srednioterminowy 11
2.95 3.00 3.05 3.10 3.15 3.20 3.25 3.30 3.35 3.40 3.45 3.50 3.55 3.60 3.65
0 17 24 31
April
7 14 21 28
May
5 12 19 26 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
2.990 2.995 3.000 3.005 3.010 3.015 3.020 3.025 3.030 3.035 3.040 3.045 3.050 3.055 3.060 3.065 3.070 3.075
16 23 30 7 May 14 21 28 4
June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 17 24 1 8
October 15 22 29 5
November 12 19 26 310
December 17 24 31 7
2013 14 21 28 411
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 1 9
April 15 22 29 6
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 815 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 29
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 411
November 18 25 29
December 16 23 30 6
2014 13 20 27 310
February 17 24 4 10
March 17 24 31 7
April 14 21 28 5
May 12 19 27 2
June 916 23 30
July 7
-5.0 -4.5 -4.0 -3.5 -3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 Wskaznik srednioterminowy
4.00 4.05 4.10 4.15 4.20 4.25 4.30 4.35 4.40 4.45
10 17 24 31
April
7 14 21 28
May
5 12 19 27 2
June
9 16 23
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Oscylator krotkoterminowy 105
4.075 4.080 4.085 4.090 4.095 4.100 4.105 4.110 4.115 4.120 4.125 4.130 4.135 4.140 4.145 4.150 4.155 4.160 4.165 4.170 4.175 4.180 4.185 4.190 4.195 4.200 4.205 4.210 4.215 4.220 4.225 4.230 4.235 4.240 4.245 4.250 4.255
14 21 28 4 June 11 18 25 2
July 916 23 30 6
August 13 20 27 310
September 17 24 18
October 15 22 29 5
November 12 19 26 310
December 17 24 31 7
2013 14 21 28 411
February 18 25 4
March 11 18 25 1
April 8 15 22 29 6
May 13 20 27 3
June 10 17 24 1
July 8 15 22 29 5
August 12 19 26 2 9
September 16 23 30 7
October 14 21 28 411
November 18 25 2 9
December 16 23 30 6
2014 13 20 27 310
February 17 24 3
March 10 17 24 31 7
April 14 21 28 5
May 12 19 26 2
June 916 23 30
July 7
