• Nie Znaleziono Wyników

Repository - Scientific Journals of the Maritime University of Szczecin - Career decision making in the...

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2021

Share "Repository - Scientific Journals of the Maritime University of Szczecin - Career decision making in the..."

Copied!
9
0
0

Pełen tekst

(1)

of the Maritime University of Szczecin

Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie

2018, 55 (127), 95–103

ISSN 1733-8670 (Printed) Received: 20.03.2018

ISSN 2392-0378 (Online) Accepted: 30.08.2018

DOI: 10.17402/306 Published: 17.09.2018

Career decision making in the maritime industry:

research of merchant marine officers using

Fuzzy AHP and Fuzzy TOPSIS methods

Ali Yasin Kaya

a,b

, Ender Asyali

c

, Askin Ozdagoglu

d

a Dokuz Eylul University, Maritime Faculty

Department of Maritime Transportation Engineering

Adatape Buca, Izmir, Turkey, e-mail: aliyasin.kaya@deu.edu.tr

b Ordu University, Fatsa Faculty of Marine Sciences

Department of Maritime Transportation Engineering Evkaf Mah. 52400 Fatsa, Ordu, Turkey

c Maine Maritime Academy, Department of Marine Transportation

Pleasant Street Castine, U.S.A ME04420, e-mail: ender.asyali@mma.edu

d Dokuz Eylul University, Faculty of Business

Department of Production Management and Marketing Tınaztepe Yerleşkesi 35390 – Buca, Izmir, Turkey e-mail: askin.ozdagoglu@deu.edu.tr

corresponding author

Key words: maritime industry, individual career planning, career decision making, vessel types, Fuzzy AHP, Fuzzy TOPSIS

Abstract

Individual career planning plays a key role in achieving success, goals, and ideals in professional life. How-ever, managing to accomplish such favorable results depends on the correct decisions of graduates to choose suitable job opportunities. Oceangoing watchkeeping officers, who are responsible for the management and administration of vessels at sea, have several job options which are differentiated by vessel type, such as; bulk carriers, chemical tankers, general cargo ships, and container ships, etc. This study aims to discuss the criteria that Turkish oceangoing watchkeeping officers take into consideration and the values they attribute to such criteria regarding their vessel type preference. The aim is to provide instructions to oceangoing watchkeeping officer candidates and academicians who are interested in these issues and related parties of maritime industry. Attribution values of the criteria are determined by means of Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the most preferred alternative vessel type is revealed through Fuzzy TOPSIS methodology. According to the study results, the most important factors are; revenue, perception of occupational health and safety, and labor work density. The most preferred ship type among alternatives is the oil tanker.

Introduction

Traditionally careers have been accepted as a series of progressive upward moves, with steadi-ly increasing income, power, status and security, but nowadays a career is accepted as a series of lifelong work–related experiences with personal learning (Benardin & Russel, 1998). A career also involves the development and progression processes, and

can describes life stories of people (Barush, 2004: 3). Career planning is the process by which one selects career goals and the path to achieve those goals (Werther & Davis, 1993). After graduation, determining your working area is an important deci-sion making problem in terms of the career plan-ning. In addition, the consistency between the area of specialization and individual’s aptitude is also an important factor in becoming successful during

(2)

professional life. For individuals, selecting the most appropriate alternative among job options in the discipline, one has received education is of great importance in terms of high job satisfaction and productivity as well. Long-term training, skills, and experiences accumulated over time or which plan to be obtained in the future is termed the utilization in reaching welfare (Anafarta, 2001: 3). Career, for some people, is a result of a detailed planning pro-cess and for others is out of their control, however, successful people tend to make plans and have career goals, which they adhere to (Asyali & Tuna, 2004: 435). Career planning is to generate career expec-tations and targets in accordance with knowledge, skills and the interests of individual, with the aim to develop action plans on how to reach them by eval-uating him/herself and identifying his/her strengths and weaknesses (Uyargil et al., 2008: 309). This plan contains several phases such as self-recognition and valuation, recognition of alternative professions, organizations and industries, preparing organiza-tional life by matching up personal characteristics with alternatives, taking job recommendations, and choosing the best options from these recommenda-tions (Bingöl, 2010: 371).

In this study; we revealed the criteria that Turkish oceangoing watchkeeping officers take into consid-eration when planning a career and values they attri-bute to such criteria with regard to the vessel types they prefer. To achieve aim, certain semi-structured face to face interviews were conducted with ten oceangoing watchkeeping officers. After the inter-views, face to face surveys were conducted with eighteen active Turkish oceangoing watchkeeping officers. After Interviews, the revealed criteria are: revenue, labor work density, longer periods of stay-ing in port, perception of occupational health and safety, distance from navigational region, and con-tract period. Eight ship types were presented in the survey as alternatives, as the majority of the officer’s work in these types of ships and study required a con-straint; the alternatives are; bulk carriers, chemical tankers, general cargo ships, container ships, tank-ers for oil products, cruise ship, RO/RO ships, and LPG/LNG tankers. Attribution values of the criteria are determined by means of the fuzzy analytic hier-archy process (AHP) and, thus, the most preferred alternative vessel type is revealed through the fuzzy tech- nique for order preference by similarity to ideal situation (TOPSIS) method. According to the study results, the most important criteria are; revenue, per-ception of occupational health and safety and labor work density. The most preferred ship type among

alternatives is oil tanker. As a result of these inter-views, almost all participants stated that the prefer-ence in vessel type to work on are influential for their career pathway. The participants also stated that, in case an oceangoing watchkeeping officers they con-tinue to work at sea as a master or a chief mate, gen-erally he/she works in the same vessel type which he/she has worked as second or third officer prior to this. Also ship owners and operators recruit masters or chief mates who have had prior experience and knowledge in the projected ship type. This study will provide significant contributions to the understand-ing of the decision-makunderstand-ing processes of oceangounderstand-ing watchkeeping officers’ marine career plans. The dif-ferences between sub-sectors in shipping transport, such as the transport of general cargo, and bulk car-go, etc., with respect to the working conditions and standards are revealed according to the perspectives of Turkish oceangoing watchkeeping officers. For various vessel types, there are remarkable differenc-es in working conditions and revenue. It To the bdifferenc-est of our knowledge, there isn’t any other study which reflects what are the factors affect the preferences of Turkish oceangoing watchkeeping officers on which vessel type they choose to work.

In the literature, there are studies utilizing the fuzzy AHP method relating to ship officers. Kececi et al. conducted a survey to determine the weight cri-teria that affects the performance of the ship officers via human resource managers in a shipping compa-ny, ship masters, and officers. The criteria affecting the performance of the ship officers were determined and data sets were analyzed using the fuzzy AHP method. According to study results; the most import-ant criterion was revealed as “adaptation to ship and sea life” for evaluating a ship officers’ performance (Kececi, Bayraktar & Arslan, 2015).

The advantages of supply-demand balance for officers

Globally there has been a chronic shortage of qualified officers in shipping industry. The ‘Man-power Report’ is a comprehensive update on the global manpower situation in the shipping indus-try prepared by the BIMCO and ICS, this has been undertaken every 5 years since its inception in 1990. According to BIMCO/ISF manpower report (BIM-CO/ISF, 2015), it is estimated that in 2025 global officer supply will be 805,000 and demand will be 952,500, resulting in a 147,500 shortage. The world merchant fleet for the purposes of the 2015 report was defined as 68,723 ships. The largest category was

(3)

general cargo ships with 31% of the total ships, fol-lowed by bulk carriers with 16% and offshore supply vessels making up 10% of the fleet. The report con-cludes that “it is crucial to promote careers at sea, enhance maritime education and training world-wide, address the retention of seafarers, and to con-tinue monitoring the global supply and demand for seafarers on a regular basis” (BIMCO/ISF, 2015). Due to a shortage between supply and demand of oceangoing watchkeeping officers in the shipping industry, especially well-trained officers, there are more options for choosing a vessel type during their careers. At this point, after graduation, the correct decisions of officers become very important for their career plans. Because their career plans identify all careers both at sea and within the shipping com-panies post their sea career. For different types of vessels, there are remarkable differences in terms of working conditions and revenue. The preferences of oceangoing watchkeeping officers in vessel types to work on are determinative for their career.

Methodology

Data collection and decision hierarchy

Throughout this study, the criteria that Turk-ish oceangoing watchkeeping officers consider while choosing which type of vessel they prefer to work on, are revealed based on data collected from semi-structured interviews conducted with ten offi-cers. The criteria determined are hierarchically

ordered, and by means of Fuzzy AHP and Fuzzy TOPSIS, a questionnaire – comprising the alter-natives – was prepared. After the interviews, the surveys were conducted face to face with eighteen active Turkish oceangoing watchkeeping officers. The criteria are; Revenue refers to the gain of offi-cers which differ according to the type of ship; lower workload intensity refers to the relatively low work load depending on the type of ship, longer duration of stay at ports refers to the ship remaining relatively longer period of time at ports depending on the type of ship; perception of occupational health and safety refers to the occupational health and safety which varies depending on the type of ship, proximity of navigational area refers to the nearness of the ship’s voyage (neighbor ports of Turkey such as in the Mediterranean region, can be different depending on the type of ship), duration of contract refers to the duration employment contract between ship owner or operator and the seafarer. The decision hierarchy is shown in the Figure 1.

Eight ship types are presented for the purposes of this survey as alternatives (bulk carriers, chem-ical tankers, general cargo ships, container ships, tankers for oil products, cruise ship, RO/RO ships, LPG/LNG tankers) because the majority of the offi-cer’s work in these types of ships and the necessi-ty of the research to have a manageable constraint. Depending on the type of vessel there are differenc-es in terms of the criteria stated above and the large differences in terms of some criteria that makes the work worthwhile.

Goal: To determine the preferences of Turkish oceangoing watchkeeping officers to types of vessel which they

work on

Revenue workloadLower intensity Longer Duration of stay at ports Perception of Occupational Health and Safety Proximity of Navigational Area Duration of Contract Bulk

Carriers ChemicalTankers

General Cargo

Ships

Container

Ships Oil Products Tankers for CruiseShips RO/ROShips LPG/LNGTankers Figure 1. The decision hierarchy

(4)

Research Method

In this paper, a systematic and practical meth-odology is developed and presented for preferences of Turkish oceangoing watchkeeping officers to the type of vessel which they work on, considering their potential alternatives and statistically deriving the results using fuzzy models with linguistic variables. The sample study of the methodology was carried out with eighteen Turkish oceangoing watchkeep-ing officers who are actively workwatchkeep-ing or capable to work in the maritime industry. A literature review was completed to determine the criteria for the evaluation of which criteria are taken into account by. Moreover, the list of alternatives was collected and a questionnaire was prepared asking a pair wise comparison and evaluation of each criterion for each of the alternative vessel types based on fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS, respectively. The first phase of the methodology consists of weighting the hierar-chical criteria set via fuzzy-AHP method, so that the weights are calculated in a pair wise compari-son manner which is a major advantage of the AHP method. In the second phase, the alternative vessel types are evaluated by considering each criterion in the bottom level of the criteria set. The evalua-tion process is carried out according to the TOPSIS methodology which depends on linguistic variables and fuzzy logic. TOPSIS methodology concerns the distances of each alternative evaluation from the negative ideal solution and the positive ideal solu-tion. Thus, the results of the solution show the close-ness of each alternative that represents the impor-tance among others. There exist two reasons to use the TOPSIS model in the evaluation phase instead of an AHP method, especially when there are so many alternatives to be compared. In these cases, the AHP method may generate an inconsistency problem which is validated by so many studies in literature. The second reason is the complexity of the compar-ison process because alternatives should be evalu-ated more often than the criteria set, the higher the number of alternatives, the higher the complexity. It is therefore more practical to use TOPSIS which includes linguistic evaluations based on fuzzy log-ic. The mathematical formulations for phase 1 and phase 2 are given below.

Phase 1: Criteria importance weighting: Fuzzy-AHP methodology

To apply the hierarchical process, according to the method of Chang’s (Chang, 1992) extent anal-ysis, each criterion is taken and the extent analysis

for each criterion, gi, is performed. Therefore, the

m extent analysis values for each criterion can be obtained using the following notation (Chang, 1992; Kahraman, Cebeci & Ruan, 2004, p. 176; Kulak & Kahraman, 2005, p. 199; Tolga, Demircan & Kah-raman, 2005, p. 94–95): m g g g g g gi M i M i M i M i M i M1 , 2 , 3, 4, 5 ,...,

where gi is the goal set (i = 1,2,3,4,5,…,n) and all

the j

gi

M

(j = 1,2,3,4,5,…,m) are Triangular Fuzzy Numbers (TFNs). The steps of Chang’s analysis can elaborated as follows:

Step 1. The fuzzy synthetic extent value (Si) with

respect to the ith criterion is defined in the following

equation (1): 1 1 1 1            



n i m j j g m j j g i M i M i S (1) To obtain equation (2);

m i j j gi M (2)

perform the “fuzzy addition operation” of m extent analysis values for a particular matrix given in equa-tion (3) below, at the end step of calculaequa-tion, new (l, m, u) set is obtained:         

    m j j m j j m j j m j j g l m u M i 1 1 1 1 , , (3)

where l is the lower limit value, m is the most prom-ising value, and u is the upper limit value,

which gives the following equation (4):

1 1 1         



n i m j j gi M (4)

Next there is the performance of a “fuzzy addition operation” of j

gi

M

(j = 1,2,3,4,5,…,m) values, giv-ing the equation (5):

      



     n i i n i i n i i n i m j j g l m u M i 1 1 1 1 1 , , (5)

and then computation of the inverse of the vector in the equation (6) such that

                    



      n i i n i i n i i n i m j j g l m u M i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 , 1 , 1 (6)

(5)

Step 2. The degree of possibility of M2 = (l2, m2, u2) ≥ M1 = (l1, m1, u1) is defined in equation (7)

M M

 

x

 

y

V M M x y min 1 , 2 sup 1 2      (7)

and x and y are the values of the axis of membership function for each criterion. This expression can be equivalently written as given in equation (8):

                otherwise ) ( ) ( , if , 0 , if ,1 ) ( 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 l m u m u l u l m m M M V (8) 1 M2 M1 μ(d) O l2 m2 l1 u2 m1 u1 μ d

Figure 2. The intersection between M1 and M2 (Zhu, Jing & Chang, 1999, p. 452)

Where d is the highest intersection point, M1

and M2 (see Figure 2) (Zhu, Jing & Chang, 1999, p. 451). To compare M1 and M2; we need both the

values of V(M2 ≥ M1) and V(M1 ≥ M2).

Step 3. The degree possibility for a convex fuzzy

number to be greater than k convex fuzzy numbers Mi (i = 1,2,3,4,5,…,k) is defined in equation (9):

V(M ≥ M1,M2,M3,M4,M5,M6,…,Mk) = V[(M ≥ M1)

and (M ≥ M2) and (M ≥ M3) and (M ≥ M4) and …

and (M ≥ Mk)] = min V(M ≥ Mi), i = 1,2,3,4,5,…,k

(9) It is assumed that the expression in equation (10) is:

(A

i) = min V(Si ≥ Sk) (10)

For k = 1,2,3,4,5,…,n; k ≠ i. Then the weight vector is given by equation (11):

= (dı(A

1),dı(A2),dı(A3),dı(A4),dı(A5),…,dı(An))T

(11) where Ai (i = 1,2,3,4,5,6,…,n) are n elements.

Step 4. Through normalization, the normalized

weight vectors are given in equation (12) below: W = (d(A1),d(A2),d(A3),d(A4),d(A5),d(A6),…,d(An))T

(12) where W is nonfuzzy numbers. To evaluate the ques-tions, people only select the related linguistic vari-able, then for calculations they are converted to the following scale including triangular fuzzy numbers developed by Chang (Chang, 1996) and generalized for such analysis, as given in Table 1.

Table 1. TFN Values (Kahraman, Cebeci & Ruan, 2004, p. 180) Statement TFN Absolute (7/2, 4, 9/2) Very strong (5/2, 3, 7/2) Fairly strong (3/2, 2, 5/2) Weak (2/3, 1, 3/2) Equal (1, 1, 1)

By using these linguistic statements and those given in Table 2, criteria set is evaluated with the equations given in phase 1 (equation (1) through to (12)), the weight of each criterion is obtained and so that the weights can be used in the TOPSIS method-ology, they are converted to trapezoidal fuzzy num-ber such as (a,a,a,a).

Phase 2: TOPSIS and linguistic variables for ratings

With consideration of the above concepts, the TOPSIS model is implemented according to the fol-lowing steps:

1) Normalization of the evaluation matrix: xij is

the evaluation matrix R of alternative i under the evaluation criterion j. After normalization, the ele-ments of the matrix R convert into rij. Normalization

is carried out one of the methods which convert them into the numerical value, i.e. between 0–1, accord-ing to the characteristics of the problem (Chen, Lin & Huang, 2006).

2) Construct the weighted normalization matrix according to the values determined for each criteri-on. These weights (wij) can be obtained by any

meth-od such as; eigenvector, AHP, fuzzy numbers, linear programming models, etc., then this weight vector is multiplied by the normalized matrix R to obtain the weighted normalized matrix vij.

3) Next is the determination of the negative and positive ideal solutions.

4) Calculation of the separation measure. This measure is selected among the measures for

(6)

calculating the distances. This can be a Euclidean distance (Chen & Tzeng, 2004) or vertex distance (Chen, Lin & Huang, 2006).

5) Calculation of the negative closeness to the ideal solution. The relative closeness of the ith

alter-native, with respect to the ideal solution, is calculat-ed by the negative distance over the total distance.

6) Rank the priority: a set of alternatives sorted according to descending order of relative closeness.

Fuzzy triangular and trapezoidal numbers are used to evaluate each alternative. The linguistic variable for evaluation lies between “very poor” and “very good”, the membership function set is given in Figure 3, and as an example, the linguistic variable ‘‘Very Good (VG)’’ can be represented as (8,9,9,10), the membership function of which is given in the following equation (13):               10 9 ,1 9 8 , 8 9 8 8 , 0 ) ( Good Very x x x x x  (13) Very poor Poor Medium poor

Fair Medium good Good Very good

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Figure 3. Linguistic variables for ratings (Chen, Lin & Huang, 2006)

In fact, evaluation of the preferences of the Turk-ish oceangoing watchkeeping officers to the types of vessel which they work on is a multiple-criteria decision-making problem, which may be described by means of the following sets (Chen, Lin & Huang, 2006):

(1) a set of K users called E = {D1; D2; …; DK};

(2) a set of m possible alternatives called A = {A1; A2;

…; Am};

(3) a set of n criteria, C = {C1; C2; …; Cn} with which

performances are measured;

(4) a set of performance ratings of Ai (i = 1; 2; …; m)

with respect to criteria Cj (j = 1; 2; …; n), called

X = {xij; i = 1; 2; …; m; j = 1; 2; …; n}.

It is assumed that a decision group has K decision makers, and the fuzzy rating of each decision-maker,

Dk (k = 1; 2; …, K), can be represented as a positive

trapezoidal fuzzy number R~k (k = 1; 2; …; K) with

a membership function, ~ (x)

k

R

 . A good aggregation method should consider the range of fuzzy ratings of each decision-maker. This means that the range of aggregated fuzzy rating must include the ranges of all decision-makers’ fuzzy ratings. Let the fuzzy ratings of all decision makers be trapezoidal fuzzy numbers R~k= (ak; bk; ck; dk), k = 1; 2; …; K. Then the

aggregated fuzzy rating can be defined as R~ = (a; b; c; d), k = 1; 2; …; K. Equation (14) to (17) shows these detailed computations:

where,

 

k k a a min (14)

  K k k b K b 1 1 (15)

  K k ck K c 1 1 (16)

 

k k d d max (17)

After the ratings are aggregated into a single matrix, then a normalized weighted matrix is con-structed by calculating equation (18):

Vij = wij × rij (18)

As previously noted, the weight of each criteri-on is calculated using the Fuzzy-AHP method which produces crisp weights through fuzzy numbers. Thus, in order to aggregate weights with ratings, the weights are assumed to be trapezoidal fuzzy num-bers which have equal values (a = b = c = d). Then the rating matrix is multiplied by weight matrix, and finally the weighted normalized matrix is obtained.

According to the weighted normalized fuzzy-de-cision matrix, normalized positive trapezoidal fuzzy numbers can also approximate the elements

j i vij, ,

~  . Then, the fuzzy positive-ideal solution (FPIS, A*) and fuzzy negative-ideal solution (FNIS,

A) can be defined as:

), ~ ,..., ~ , ~ ( * * 2 * 1 * n v v v A  A(v~1,~v2,...,v~n), Where the values can be calculated by equation (19) and (20):

 

4 * max ~ ij i j v v  (19) and

 

1 min ~ ij i j v v  (20) i = 1; 2; …; m, j = 1; 2; …; n.

(7)

The distance of each alternative (…) from A* and

A can be accurately calculated by equations (21)

and (22): m i v v d d n j v ij j i (~ ,~ ,) ,12, , 1 * *

 (21) m i v v d d n j v ij j i (~ ,~ ,) ,12, , 1   

   (22)

where dv (.,.) is the vertex distance measurement

between the two trapezoidal fuzzy numbers and is calculated by equation (23):

 

 

 

4 ) ~ , ~ ( 2 4 4 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 n m n m n m n m n m dv          (23) A closeness coefficient is defined to determine the ranking order of all possibilities once di* and

di– of each alternative Ai (i = 1; 2; …; m) has been

determined. The closeness coefficient represents the distances to the fuzzy positive-ideal solution (A*)

and the fuzzy negative-ideal solution (A)

simulta-neously, by taking the relative closeness to the fuzzy positive-ideal solution. The closeness coefficient (CCi) of each alternative (…) is calculated in

equa-tion (24): m i d d d i i i i , ,12, , CC *      (24) CCi = 1 if Ai = A* and CCi = 0 if Ai = A–. In

short, alternative … Ai is closer to the FPIS (A*)

and farther from FNIS (A–) as CC

i approaches to 1.

According to the descending order of CCi, the

rank-ing order of all alternatives … is determined and the best result among a set of feasible … alternatives are selected. For evaluation processes, approval status for each alternative is defined in Table 2, which can also be used for further evaluation when a decision is required for any alternative ….

Table 2. The approval status (Chen, Lin & Huang, 2006, p. 296)

Closeness coefficient (CCi) Evaluation status

CCi ∈ [0;0,2) Do not recommend

CCi ∈ [0,2;0,4) Recommend with high risk

CCi ∈ [0,4;0,6) Recommend with low risk

CCi ∈ [0,6;0,8) Approved

CCi ∈ [0,8;1,0) Approved and preferred

Computational results

According to the criteria set, hierarchy structure and pair wise comparisons within Fuzzy-AHP local and global importance weights are obtained, as giv-en in the Table 3.

Table 3. Fuzzy – AHP Results for each Criterion

Criterion Name Importance level

Criterion 1 Revenue 0.44430

Criterion 2 Lower Workload Intensity 0.12358 Criterion 3 Longer Duration of Stay at Ports 0.00000 Criterion 4 Perception of Occupational Health

and Safety 0.43212

Criterion 5 Proximity of Navigational Area 0.00000 Criterion 6 Duration of Contract 0.00000

It is observed from Table 3 that the most import-ant criterion is “Revenue” with a weight of 0.44430, and the second criterion is “Occupational health and safety perception” which is closely weighted at 0.43212, and the third criterion is “Lower work density” with a weight of 0.12358. An interesting result is that “Longer Duration of Stay at Ports”, “Proximity of Navigational Area” and “Duration of Contract” criteria have no importance or any effect on the selection and/or evaluation of alternative ves-sel types, even if these criteria are in the model for evaluation. Using the TOPSIS methodology, after the criterion weights are obtained, these weights are distributed to the evaluation matrix, consisting of alternative ratings in terms of each criterion. For this purpose, a simple matrix multiplication is applied, as given in the equation (18), to obtain [Vij] matrix. The

next step in this methodology is to define the FPIS and FNIS from Vij, so that the distances from these

solutions can be calculated.

Table 4 represents the FPIS and FNIS values for each criterion, with trapezoidal fuzzy numbers (a, b, c, d), elements placed in each cell.

For each value of [Vij], both distances from FNIS

and FPIS is calculated using the vertex distance (equation (23)). The distance values are given in Table 5 and Table 6 for FPIS and FNIS, respectively. When this stem has been completed, the trapezoi-dal fuzzy numbers are ‘defuzzificated’ to single val-ues. In the next step, all distance values from each row are summed to reach the overall distance of the alternative representing evaluations, in terms of all criteria for both the FPIS and FNIS. Then, the CCi

(8)

alternative … (see equation (24)) and these results are given in Table 7.

According to the approval status scale, given in Table 2, and the CCi results, in Table 7, none of the

alternatives are in the “approved and preferred sta-tus”. However, none of the alternatives are not in the “Do not recommend” nor “Recommend with high risk” groups. Only petrol tanker is in “approved” category. All others are in the “Recommend with low risk” division.

Conclusions

The working preferences of oceangoing watch-keeping officers for vessel types differ according to their priorities and goals of their individual career planning processes. Several criteria in this decision making processes have impact on the choices with different weights. In terms of significance level, in descending order, the criteria are “Revenue”, “Occu-pational health and safety perception”, and “Lower

Table 4. FPIS & FNIS Values for each Criterion

Criterion FPIS FNIS

Revenue 0.44430 0.44430 0.44430 0.44430 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 Lower Workload Intensity 0.12358 0.12358 0.12358 0.12358 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 Longer Duration of Stay at Ports 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 Perception of Occupational Health and Safety 0.43212 0.43212 0.43212 0.43212 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 Proximity of Navigational Area 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 Duration of Contract 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 Table 5. Distances between alternatives and FPIS with respect to each Criterion

Positive Distance Revenue Lower Work Density Longer Duration of Stay at Ports of Occupational Perception Health and Safety

Proximity of Navigational Area Duration of Contract Bulk Carriers 0.28363 0.06199 0.00000 0.26890 0.00000 0.00000 Chemical Tankers 0.22815 0.09396 0.00000 0.23298 0.00000 0.00000 General Cargo Ships 0.28986 0.06555 0.00000 0.25010 0.00000 0.00000

Container Ships 0.28441 0.08127 0.00000 0.22078 0.00000 0.00000

Tankers for Oil Products 0.14757 0.08736 0.00000 0.21187 0.00000 0.00000

Cruise Ships 0.21788 0.07664 0.00000 0.19243 0.00000 0.00000

RO/RO Ships 0.29924 0.06514 0.00000 0.26981 0.00000 0.00000

LPG/LNG Tankers 0.18517 0.08972 0.00000 0.23202 0.00000 0.00000

Table 6. Distances between alternatives and FNIS with respect to each Criterion

Negative Distance Revenue Lower Work Density Longer Duration of Stay at Ports of Occupational Perception Health and Safety

Proximity of Navigational Area Duration of Contract Bulk Carriers 0.24387 0.08643 0.00000 0.24386 0.00000 0.00000 Chemical Tankers 0.34449 0.06407 0.00000 0.30748 0.00000 0.00000 General Cargo Ships 0.22243 0.08146 0.00000 0.24657 0.00000 0.00000

Container Ships 0.22781 0.07092 0.00000 0.26188 0.00000 0.00000

Tankers for Oil Products 0.34710 0.06694 0.00000 0.31022 0.00000 0.00000

Cruise Ship 0.31900 0.07475 0.00000 0.31260 0.00000 0.00000

RO/RO Ships 0.21388 0.08201 0.00000 0.25990 0.00000 0.00000

LPG/LNG Tankers 0.34735 0.06578 0.00000 0.30959 0.00000 0.00000

Table 7. Computations of di*, di and CCi

Alternative Total d* Total d d* + d CC i

Tankers for Oil

Products 0.44679 0.72427 1.17106 0.61847 Cruise Ship 0.48695 0.70634 1.19329 0.59193 LPG/LNG Tankers 0.50691 0.72272 1.22963 0.58776 Chemical Tankers 0.55509 0.71604 1.27112 0.56331 Container Ships 0.58646 0.56061 1.14707 0.48873 Bulk Carriers 0.61452 0.57416 1.18868 0.48302 General Cargo Ships 0.60551 0.55046 1.15597 0.47619 RO/RO Ships 0.63419 0.55578 1.18997 0.46705

(9)

work density”. The criteria of “Longer Duration of Stay at Ports”, “Proximity of Navigational Area”, and “Duration of Contract” have no considerable effect on the decision-making process. In brief, oceango-ing watchkeepoceango-ing officers prefer vessel types which give opportunity to earn more. Secondly, they pre-fer ship types that have better conditions in terms of occupational health and safety, in accordance with their own perceptions. Thirdly, they prefer vessel types which have a lower work density. Decision making processes for alternative vessel types were analyzed by Fuzzy Topsis methods. According to the “revenue” criteria, the most preferred vessel type is a “LPG/LNG Tanker”; according to “lower work density criteria” the most preferred vessel type is a “Bulk Carrier”; According to the “perception of occupational health and safety” criteria, the most preferred vessel type is a “cruise Ship”. When all criteria weights are considered, the most preferred ship type are “tankers for oil products”. Only the “tankers for oil products” alternative is considered as “approved”, other alternative vessel types, which are bulk carriers, chemical tankers, general cargo ships, container ships, cruise ships, RO/RO ships, LPG/LNG tankers are considered “recommend with low risk”. According to the participants’ evaluations, none of alternatives are considered “approved and preferred status”, “do not recommend” or “recom-mend with high risk”; these expressions define the grades of the preference scale according to the fuzzy TOPSIS method.

References

1. Anafarta, N. (2001) Orta Düzey Yöneticilerin Kariyer Planlamasına Bireysel Perspektif. Akdeniz İ.İ.B.F. Dergisi 2, pp. 1–17.

2. Asyali, E. & Tuna, O. (2004) Career Path in Logistics Companies: A Survey Among Turkish Logistics Employ-ee. The International Association of Maritime Economists

(IAME) Annual Conference, Izmir, Vol. 1, pp. 435–443, 30

June – 02 July, 2004.

3. Baruch, Y. (2004) Managing Careers. Essex: FT Prentice Hall, Pearson Education.

4. Benardin, H.J. & Russel, J.E.A. (1998) Human resources

management: an experimental approach. Boston: Irwin

Mc-Graw-Hill, pp. 207–229.

5. BIMCO/ISF (2015) Manpower Report 2015. The global supply and demand for seafarers in 2015.

6. Bingöl, D. (2010) Insan Kaynakları Yonetimi. Istanbul: Beta Basım A.Ş.

7. Chang, D.Y. (1992) Extent Analysis and Synthetic Deci-sion. Optimization Techniques and Applications 1, p. 352– 355.

8. Chang, D.Y. (1996) Applications of the Extent Analysis Method on Fuzzy-AHP. European Journal of Operational

Research 95, pp. 649–655.

9. Chen, C.-T., Lin, C.-T. & Huang, S.-F. (2006) A fuzzy ap-proach for supplier evaluation and selection in supply chain management. International Journal of Production

Econom-ics 102, pp. 289–301.

10. Chen, M.F. & Tzeng, G.H. (2004) Combining grey rela-tion and TOPSIS concepts for selecting an expatriate host country. Mathematical and Computer Modeling 40, pp. 1473–1490.

11. Kahraman, C., Cebeci, U. & Ruan, D. (2004) Multi-At-tribute Comparison of Catering Service Companies Using Fuzzy AHP: The Case of Turkey. International Journal of

Production Economics 87, pp. 171–184.

12. Kececi, T., Bayraktar, D. & Arslan, O. (2015) A ship offi-cer performance evaluation model using fuzzy-ahp. Journal

of Shipping and Ocean Engineering 5, pp. 26–43.

13. Kulak, O. & Kahraman, C. (2005) Fuzzy Multi-Attribute Selection Among Transportation Companies Using Axiom-atic Design and Analytic Hierarchy Process. Information

Sciences 170, pp. 191–210.

14. Tolga, E., Demircan, M.L. & Kahraman, C. (2005) Oper-ating System Selection Using Fuzzy Replacement Analysis and Analytic Hierarchy Process. International Journal of

Production Economics 97, pp. 89–117.

15. Uyargil, C., Adal, Z., Atalay, I.D., Acar, A.C., Özçelik, O.A., Sadullah, Ö., Dündar, G. & Tüzüner, L. (2008) İnsan Kaynakları Yönetimi. Istanbul: BETA basım yayım dağıtım A.Ş.

16. Werther, W.B. & Davis, K.J. (1993) Human Resources

and Personnel Management (4th ed.). New York, NY:

Mc-Graw-Hill.

17. Zhu, K.-J., Jing, Y. & Chang, D.-Y. (1999) Discussion on Extent Analysis Method and Applications of Fuzzy AHP.

European Journal of Operational Research 116 (2), pp.

Cytaty

Powiązane dokumenty

Wykorzystanie analizy sieciowej jako narzędzia badania procesów przepływu wiedzy w organizacji budowa organizacji uczącej się Na podstawie analizy sieciowej możliwe jest

Za podstawowe mierniki rozwoju sektora płatności elektronicznych uznać można liczbę kart płatniczych na jednego mieszkańca (rys. 1), liczbę transakcji bezgotówkowych

Wprowadzenie Nauczanie zdalne wspierane interaktywną techniką komputerową staje się coraz powszechniej wykorzystywaną przez wyższe uczelnie metodą prowadzenia zajęć

Zastosowanie wybranych metod taksonomicznych w klasyfikacji krajów UnII Europeisklej z punktu widzenia poziomu rozwoju gospodarczego poszczególnych krajów Rozwój gospodarczy

Najwy˝szy poziom zawartoÊci o∏owiu w tej grupie soków oznaczono w soku firmy „Fortuna”, poza tym sok ten jest najubo˝szym êród∏em magnezu, cynku i miedzi.. W soku

Narzędziem umożliwiającym pomiar i ocenę jest analiza ekonomiczna, a podstawowymi miernikami są skuteczność i ekonomiczność, mierzona na poziomie procesów przedsiębiorstwa

Miesiąc laktacji (tabela 2) istotnie różnicował skład wszystkich omawianych kwasów tłuszczowych mleka owczego, bez względu na rasę owiec. Jedyny wyjątek stanowił kwas kapronowy

Spożywanie pewnych ilości tłuszczu jest jednak konieczne, przy czym szczególnie ważne są tłuszcze roślinne oleje, margaryny miękkie, które zawierają niezbędne nienasycone